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HISTORICAL FACTS: 8 - Caught on Camera

Germany halves GDP forecast from 1% to 0.5% due to Iran war fallout

The German government has officially halved its economic growth forecast for 2026, citing the severe impact of energy shocks stemming from the Iran war. This revision reflects a significant cooling for Europe's largest economy.

Euronews

America's national debt is heading to 175% of GDP. Here's why no president—including Trump—has the will to stop it

The Trump FY27 budget is just the latest installment in a decades-long bipartisan failure of spending discipline. Only a constitutional fix can break it.

Fortune

The $100 oil shock is hitting the middle class like a margin call

As gas tops $4 a gallon, Wall Street debates inflation. But middle-class families and female breadwinners are absorbing the shock with little margin left.

Fortune

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Alphabet at $4 Trillion: Why the King of Tech Is Feeling Cramped on Planet Earth

Alphabet has successfully defended its dominance, effectively becoming a proxy for the global economy. While its current valuation is sound, its huge scale now creates a growth ceiling tethered to global GDP, forcing a dilemma where future outperformance depends on inventing entirely new market paradigms.

Barchart

UK 'On Brink' Of Recession — 250,000 People Could Lose Jobs By Mid-2027 Due To Iran War

EY Item Club warns the UK will 'flirt with recession' as the Iran conflict oil shock pushes unemployment to 5.8 per cent and halves GDP growth forecast.

International Business Times UK

Falling fertility, debt and AI: is the US headed toward a population crisis?

Americans having fewer kids plus an ageing population could be a recipe for disaster that further erodes social stability

The Guardian - US

The one metric Warren Buffett says can crash the stock market just hit a dizzying new high

The “Buffett Indicator” has been a closely watched stock market valuation gauge ever since the legendary investor explained his reasoning in a 2001 article in Fortune.

Fortune

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Which European countries will be the richest by 2030?

IMF projections show significant increases in GDP per capita in euro terms across Europe by 2030, but the rankings do not change significantly in terms of purchasing power.

Euronews

Putin finally admits Russia's economy is in trouble and grasps for answers, after warnings about a financial crisis have been piling up

Putin revealed that GDP shrank by combined 1.8% in January and February, adding that manufacturing, industrial production, and construction were negative.

Fortune

A world going broke: IMF says America's $39 trillion national debt is actually a global problem—and AI may be the only rescue

Global public debt is barreling toward 100% of world GDP, the fund warned Wednesday. Governments everywhere are spending money they don’t have.

Fortune

Stocks buoyed by Tesco and welcome GDP surprise

The FTSE 100 closed up 30.41 points, 0.3%, at 10,589.99.

Evening Standard

The world's most — and least — miserable economies in 2025, ranked

Venezuela tops a new global misery index covering 178 countries, while Taiwan claims the happiest economy title for the second year running.

Fortune

Has Marles bowed to Trump’s wishes on defence spending? The figures are as clear as mud

The defence minister insists that increases in spending did not happen because of thinktanks, retired generals ‘or washed-up bureaucrats’

The Guardian - AU

India Is No Longer In The Top 5, But Experts Still See A Top 3 Economy Ahead

That sounds like a setback, but the actual story is more complex than a simple “India fell behind.” The ranking is based on nominal GDP in US dollars, not domestic purchasing power or local-currency growth. So a country can keep growing at home and still fall in the global table…

Times Life

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Evening Standard

Donald Trump's Iran war threatens to torpedo London's economic uplift, warn business chiefs

The latest GDP figure shows an unexpected boost to growth before the Iran war kicked off

The Guardian - UK

IMF chief Georgieva warns ‘everyone will feel the impact’ of energy price shock, as UK growth beats forecasts – as it happened

There will be flight cancellations ‘soon’ if oil supplies are not restored in coming weeks, says head of IEA

The Conversation

Albanese government will commit to boosting defence spending to 3% of GDP, but under a revised definition

The Albanese government will increase defence spending to about 3% of GDP by 2033 in its 2026 National Defence Strategy to be unveiled on Thursday.

The Guardian - AU

Labor to boost defence spending by $53bn over next decade – but plan still short of Donald Trump’s demands

New strategy to be unveiled by Richard Marles will see defence spending rise to about 2.4% of GDP – but US president has urged allies to spend 3.5%

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Barchart

2% Inflation Is Holding the Federal Reserve Hostage: This Is What the Stock Market Desperately Needs to Keep Growing

If the Fed refuses to allow inflation to linger at 3%-4%, the stock market will become dehydrated and eventually stop growing altogether.

The Conversation

Guns over people: Rising military spending is eroding quality of life around the world

As Canada celebrates meeting the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) target of spending two per cent of GDP on defence, it’s important to remember this spending isn’t counted within the concept of what’s known as social GDP, an alternative metric focused on measuring a nation’s social development, well-being and sustainability…

The Independent UK

‘It’s time for China and India to really start providing foreign aid’

INTERVIEW: Exclusive: In a wide-ranging interview, the head of the Norwegian Refugee Council also warns that potential plans by Nato nations to boost military spending to five per cent of GDP are a ‘major strategic mistake’

Euronews

EU’s largest economies vs top US states: How do they compare in GDP?

Top EU countries and US states appear one after the other in economic size rankings. However, US states surpass the top EU economies in GDP per capita, both in nominal terms and purchasing power.

Barchart

Dollar Falls in Hopes of De-escalation of Middle East Hostilities

The dollar index (DXY00 ) fell by -0.36% on Thursday and held just above Wednesday's 4-week low. Weaker-than-expected US economic news on Thursday weighed on the dollar. Q4 GDP was unexpectedly revised lower, Feb personal income and spending rose less than expected, and weekly jobless claims rose more than expected...

Barchart

Dollar Slips on Weak US Economic News

The dollar index (DXY00 ) is down by -0.24% today and just above Wednesday's 4-week low. Weaker-than-expected US economic news today is weighing on the dollar. Q4 GDP was unexpectedly revised lower, Feb personal income and spending rose less than expected, and weekly jobless claims rose more than expected to...

Barchart

Stocks Slip Before the Open as Oil Rebounds Amid Fragile U.S.-Iran Ceasefire, PCE Inflation and GDP Data in Focus

June S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESM26) are down -0.31%, and June Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQM26) are down -0.25% this morning as oil prices advanced amid waning optimism about the U.S.-Iran ceasefire.

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