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DARK SECRETS: 11 - The Real Truth

Rising Treasury yields emerge as key risk to Wall Street’s record rally

Investors in the US stock market are monitoring Treasury yields closely, aware that they may hinder any potential rally. The benchmark ten-year yield is nearing levels that could disrupt equity valuations. While robust corporate earnings currently mitigate rising borrowing costs, the focus is shifting to inflation and interest rates. Should…

The Economic Times

Global bond slump looks painful, but its nothing like the 2022 rout

Global bond markets are experiencing a selloff, though less severe than four years ago. Current yield increases are smaller, providing some market reassurance and new opportunities. Heavy government spending and AI financing are adding pressure to bond markets. Higher yields offer investors a better income cushion against falling prices. Bond…

The Economic Times

US stocks today: US markets rebound from lows, but inflation, Iran war worries persist

US stocks rebounded from a three-day selloff, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow ending higher. However, persistent inflation concerns, a global bond selloff and escalating US-Iran tensions kept investors cautious, while weak jobs data raised concerns about corporate spending and the US economic outlook.

The Economic Times

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'Critical employees will begin to retire': Trump’s new pay plan will deny most federal roles a raise, and it has workers warning of a retention crunch

“Such a large raise for Federal employees while most Americans still struggle with the consequences of the Biden Administration’s giant inflation spree is unacceptable,” Trump said.

Fortune

Berkshire Hathaway CEO Greg Abel sees AI, power demand as new engines of growth

Berkshire Hathaway sees AI opportunities beyond technology stocks. The company is investing in Alphabet, a significant player in artificial intelligence. Berkshire Hathaway Energy could benefit from data center power demands. Consumers still face economic pressures from inflation and mortgage rates. Long-term investments in Japanese trading houses remain a strategic focus.

The Economic Times

August Jobs Report Preview: Key Insights From Experts

The August jobs report will be released Friday morning. Here's what the data are expected to show.

Kiplinger

Stocks Push Higher as Crude Oil and Bond Yields Stabilize

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) is up by +0.50% today, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up by +0.79%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up by +0.17%. E-mini S&P futures (ESU26 ) are up +0.49%, and September E-mini...

Barchart

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Diesel Prices Have Surged Back Toward April's High. That's Another Problem For America's Inflation Fight.

The national average reached $5.688 a gallon Tuesday. U.S. distillate inventories have fallen sharply during August.

International Business Times

Rising global bond yields, FCNR-B inflows and SEBI's CAS to shape market dynamics: HDFC Securities CEO Dhiraj Relli

India is grappling with rising global bond yields and surging oil prices, which are heightening imported inflation. These economic challenges pose a threat to sustained corporate profits. Meanwhile, SEBI's auction initiative aims to bolster market integrity and enhance price discovery. Although RBI's new deposit guidelines provide some temporary relief amidst…

The Economic Times

Dollar Erases Early Gains as Crude Oil and T-note Yields Move Lower

The dollar index (DXY00 ) fell from a 2.5-week high today and is down by -0.11%. The dollar gave up an overnight advance and turned lower today when WTI crude oil dropped from a 6-week high and moved lower, which eased inflation expectations, a dovish factor for Fed policy. The...

Barchart

Fed's Williams ties rising bond yields to strong economy, CNBC reports

John Williams, the President of the New York Fed, emphasizes the impact of robust economic growth on increasing bond yields. He highlights the Federal Reserve's essential role in managing inflation and achieving its goals. As he continues to analyze data for upcoming interest rate adjustments, recent economic indicators show promise…

The Economic Times

Bond Yields Continue To Rise. New York Fed President Claims It's Because Of a Strong Economy.

John Williams said there are no clear signs that current monetary policy is enough to lower inflation.

International Business Times

Inside the Push for New York City’s Municipal Grocery Stores: Progress, Plans, and Pushback

As grocery inflation continues to strain household budgets across the country, New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s high-profile municipal grocery store initiative is moving from campaign promise to operational reality. The core objective of the plan is simple: tackle soaring food costs by introducing a network of city-owned supermarkets designed…

Grocery Coupon Guide

1 Trade to Make Now as Inflation Fears Swirl in September

December U.S. T-Bond futures present a selling opportunity on more price weakness.

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The Economic Times

US stocks today: S&P 500, Dow gain as AI strength offsets US-Iran friction

US stocks gained on Wednesday as strength in AI stocks helped the S&P 500 and Dow offset renewed US-Iran tensions and rising inflation concerns. Investors also weighed higher Treasury yields and growing bets on a September Fed rate hike, while Friday’s jobs report could provide the next major market signal.

Euronews

Iranian rial in freefall as dollar breaks 2.1 million mark

The rial has lost 63% of its value against the dollar since March, with the euro hitting 2.55 million rials and gold coins changing hands at 2.26 billion. Iran's central bank governor pledged a $2 billion injection while acknowledging inflation had placed "heavy pressure on people's livelihoods."

The Economic Times

Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole encore may put Trump's inflation record under a microscope

Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh must decide on interest rate hikes soon. His actions will be closely watched by the public and investors. Investors see a strong chance for a rate increase later this month. This decision comes just before key congressional elections. Warsh's credibility hinges on his independent policy actions.

The Economic Times

Indian bonds join global debt selloff, bruised by oil and US Treasury yields

Indian government bonds faced further declines for the fifth consecutive session as U.S. Treasury yields approached three-year peaks. The surge in oil prices reignited inflation concerns, particularly impacting India due to its status as a major importer. This scenario intensified expectations for monetary policy adjustments by the RBI. Critical upcoming…

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The Economic Times

Quote of the day by Bernard Baruch: "Not even the “safest” investment is without some risk and some element of speculation"

Bernard Baruch’s investing wisdom highlights that no asset is completely risk-free. Even conservative investments face inflation, interest-rate and credit risks. Investors should understand these uncertainties, assess risk-reward trade-offs and use diversification while aligning portfolios with financial goals.

The Independent UK

The three reasons behind the bond market shock and what it means for Andy Burnham’s first Budget

Ten-year gilts have risen well above 5% this year on the back of the Iran war

The Economic Times

Trump pledged fiscal restraint. Instead, debt tops $40 trillion as borrowing costs rise

US debt: While voters may not focus on the issue until the country's fiscal problems translate into benefit cuts or tax hikes, the fallout hits them just the same in the form of high mortgage interest rates that track yields on government debt and inflation outpacing wage hikes.

Barchart

S&P Futures Tick Higher as Oil Prices and Bond Yields Fall, U.S. ADP Jobs Report and Broadcom Earnings on Tap

September S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESU26) are up +0.12% this morning, finding some footing after three straight sessions of losses as oil prices and bond yields retreated.

The Economic Times

View: Leveraging monetary policy for India’s youth

Q1 GDP: The release of the latest data coincided with the significant assertion at the SCO meet, of India’s vision of ‘transforming shared geography into shared opportunities through the three pillars off Security, Connectivity, and Opportunity’.

The Economic Times

Global Market: European shares hover near one-month low as bond yields, oil prices surge

European shares hovered near a one-month low on Wednesday as rising government bond yields and escalating US-Iran tensions fuelled concerns over higher energy prices and inflation. The STOXX 600 was broadly flat, while Germany’s 10-year bond yield hit its highest level since April 2011, raising expectations of tighter ECB policy.

The Guardian - UK

Global bond sell-off intensifies as US-Iran tensions stoke inflation fears

UK borrowing costs driven up, adding to challenges facing John Healey as he prepares for first budget

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