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YOU WONT BELIEVE: 3 - You Need To See This

US Government Shutdown Could Drag On 'Five, Six Weeks,' Warns Moody's Economist Mark Zandi

Despite a last-minute Pentagon maneuver to ensure U.S. troops were paid this week, the federal government shutdown continues with no end in sight, prompting Moody’s Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi to warn that the impasse could still last for a record “five, six weeks.”

Benzinga

'A Tale of Two Economies:' Steve Eisman Warns AI Spending Is Masking America's Weak Growth Reality — Rest Of Country 'Is Barely Growing'

Investor Steve Eisman, known for accurately calling the 2008 financial crisis, is sounding the alarm once again, this time on the growing disconnect between America’s booming tech sector and its stagnating broader economy.

Benzinga

US Growth Hides Trouble Beneath — Economist Warns Low-Income Americans Are 'Hanging On By Fingertips'

Even with the U.S. economy growing by 3.8% last quarter, and unemployment holding at 4.3%, Moody's (NYSE:MCO) Analytics said that roughly half of all U.S. states are actually seeing their economies shrink.

Benzinga

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Roughly half of U.S. states are effectively in a recession and ‘hanging on by their fingertips,’ Moody’s chief economist says

Moody’s chief economist, Mark Zandi, tells Fortune parts of America are already in recession, with 22 states contracting despite strong national GDP growth.

Fortune

Moody's Chief Economist Says Not Having BLS Data Is 'A Serious Problem,' But Cites Private Data To Warn That Job Market Is 'Sputtering'

Moody’s Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi declared the U.S. job market is “weak and getting weaker,” delivering his warning after piecing together an analysis from private-sector data.

Benzinga

America saw 'essentially no job growth' last month, warns Moody's, and any roles added were in three wealthy states

Moody’s warns U.S. job growth has stalled as the shutdown halts official labor data, forcing Wall Street and the Fed to rely on patchy private reports.

Fortune

The job market is weak and getting weaker, top economist says, while Trump looks to the future

“Our big year won’t be really next year—it’ll be the year after,” Trump told reporters recently.

Fortune

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The 10 Industries That Exist 'Only To Service The Very Rich'—From $750,000 Mattresses To Horse Massages And Tiara Repairs

Reddit recently lit up with thousands of responses to the question: “What’s an industry that exists only to service the very rich?” The answers, drawn from firsthand experiences and industry insiders, reveal just how many entire businesses cater exclusively to the ultra-wealthy.

Benzinga

Top Economist Warns Recession Risks Remain 'Uncomfortably High' Despite Receding As Market Valuation Nears 'Y2K Bubble' Peak

Despite an encouraging upward revision of the U.S. economic growth during its third estimate release, a prominent economist is cautioning that significant risks persist, with stock market valuations reaching levels not seen since the dot-com era.

Benzinga

The U.S. economy is running even hotter than previously thought, and GDP growth could reach 4% in Q3

Stronger GDP also means the Federal Reserve will be under less pressure to lower rates aggressively.

Fortune

Your boomer parents are probably living in a house too big for them. They're frozen in place because of taxes, top economists say

Nearly 6 million older Americans reside in houses far larger than necessary, while growing families are crammed into spaces that are too small.

Fortune

The Wealthy Are Keeping the U.S. Economy Alive—For Now

Despite elevated living costs and a tight job market, the U.S. economy is still strong. Moody's Chief Economist Mark Zandi says it's wealthy people who are keeping the economy afloat.

Benzinga

If you can't work out why you're struggling when the economy is doing OK, it's because you're on the losing side

Oxford Economics finds that tariffs, labor dynamics, and policy shifts have hit younger and lower-income households hardest.

Fortune

'Oracle of Wall Street' says boomers control the housing market, and their enormous equity will keep them in place — 'There will be no quick fixes'

New financial products are keeping them in place, Meredith Whitney said: "This has made it easier for seniors to hold on to their homes by tapping into some of this built-up equity."

Fortune

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Fortune

The Fed's cut was 'more hawkish than anticipated,' Moody's Zandi says — and warns it won't be enough to stave off a looming jobs recession

The market didn’t get the dovish signal it was looking for.

Benzinga

US Can Avoid Recession If 'Well-To-Do' Continue To Spend, Says Moody's Economist: 'If They Turn More Cautious...'

Mark Zandi, the chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, highlighted the role of the wealthy in driving the U.S. economy.

Fortune

The economy's prospects are reliant on the 'fortunes of the well-to-do' says Moody's, if the ultra-rich get nervy that means recession

Mark Zandi says of the rich: "If they turn more cautious, for whatever reason, the economy has a big problem."

Benzinga

Moody's Mark Zandi Warns Of 'Uncomfortably High' 48% Probability Of US Recession In Next 12 Months

The U.S. economy faces an “uncomfortably high” 48% probability of slipping into a recession within the next 12 months, according to Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody's Analytics.

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Fortune

This housing data is the 'most critical economic variable' for predicting recessions, and it's now at the lowest level since pandemic shutdowns

Moody’s own leading economic indicator that uses machine learning has estimated the odds of a recession in the next 12 months are now at 48%.

Benzinga

Moody's Chief Economist Mark Zandi Warns Fed Faces High Bar To Avoid Rate Cuts As Weak Jobs Trump Inflation Risks Ahead Of CPI Report

Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi said the Federal Reserve is more likely to cut rates next week despite inflation running above target, citing a stalled labor market and rising recession risks.

Fortune

The Fed 'desperately' wants to avoid a recession because it doesn't want to get blamed and put its independence at risk, top economist says

"Obviously nobody wants a recession. But also in the context of Fed independence, they really don't want to get blamed for going into a downturn because that would impair their ability."

Fortune

Congressional Budget Office says Trump's immigration crackdown will shrink U.S. population faster than expected, a threat to inflation and GDP growth

Economists have warned the president’s immigration policies could drive a labor shortage threatening to shrink U.S. GDP growth and amplify inflation.

Fortune

The most troubling feature of the job market is how thinly spread gains are, top economist says — 'this only happens when the economy is in recession'

"Since the beginning of the year, the economy has created a paltry 600k jobs, but without the job growth in these industries, there would be zero job growth."

Benzinga

US Labor Market On The Edge: Moody's Economist Warns Shrinking Workforce Signals Looming Economic Recession

The U.S. labor market is showing alarming signs of contraction, prompting Moody’s Analytics‘ top economist Mark Zandi to warn that a full-blown recession could be on the horizon.

Fortune

America’s job growth has flatlined—and Mark Zandi believes June may have been the start of a recession

June’s job loss was the first since the pandemic, a flashing-red signal that the economy’s growth momentum has stopped.

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