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FORGOTTEN HISTORY: 4 | History Defined

UK recession fears swirl as factory output falls and house prices slide – as it happened

Nationwide reports average house prices fell 3.8% in year to July, biggest annual drop in 14 years, while manufacturers suffer worst month of 2023

The Guardian - UK

Rep. Khanna Questions Fed’s 2% Inflation Target Amid Calls For Re-evaluation

As the inflation rate sits above 4%, Khanna asks why not set the target at 3% to address modern needs.

Zenger

Mortgage turbulence continues as HSBC pulls deals; UK house prices ‘to fall 10%’ – business live

HSBC temporarily removes mortgage products for new customers, as borrowers face higher rates

The Guardian - UK

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Mohamed El-Erian’s advice to Jerome Powell: ‘Talk less, smile more’

The Federal Reserve has a communication problem, and it could be damaging the stock market, says El-Erian.

Fortune

Top economist Mohamed El-Erian warns that ‘erosion in trust’ caused by banking crisis will lead to ‘economic contagion’

El-Erian warned “fallout” from recent banking stress is adding to pressure on the economy.

Fortune

Customers scramble to withdraw money from First Republic as stock drops almost 50%

Efforts to reassure the public that First Republic is safe have so far been unsuccessful as bank's shares plunge.

Fortune

Top economist Mohamed El-Erian says unlimited deposit guarantee is hard to reverse after SVB fallout: ‘We are now in a different world’

The economist also said that the Fed will likely now “retreat” on interest rate hikes.

Fortune

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SVB's collapse could lead to 'contagion' among regional banks—but experts say it's not a systemic risk to the entire financial system

“We do not believe there is contagion risk for the rest of the banking sector on the heels of SVB's struggles,” David Trainer, CEO of the investment research firm New Constructs, told Fortune.

Fortune

'It really shouldn't be this way': Top economist Mohamed El-Erian blames the Fed for bad messaging and stock volatility

Fed's Jerome Powell hinted in February that inflation hikes would slow because disinflation was underway. But on Tuesday, he seemed to backtrack.

Fortune

‘Reason to be optimistic:’ Bank chief offers hope on interest rate hikes

Interest rates are no longer expected to rise as high as feared this year, a Bank of England chief said on Friday.

Evening Standard

Top economist Mohamed El-Erian says the Fed has a small ‘window’ to reduce inflation after missing hard on other opportunities

He said the Fed already missed two opportunities to curb inflation—once in 2021 and then again in 2022.

Fortune

Top economist Mohamed El-Erian sees inflation getting 'sticky' at 4%—and a growing chorus sees the dawn of a new world in investing

At the World Economic Forum in Davos, the world’s business leaders fretted over the possibility that inflation won’t fall back to central banks’ targets.

Fortune

Prepare for a 'slowcession' in 2023, says one of the first economists to predict the 2008 financial crash

The year ahead will no doubt be tough for the U.S. economy, but the chief economist at Moody’s Analytics wants us to be a little more optimistic.

Fortune

Inflation means raises next year may not make a huge difference for US employees

Inflation eroded employees' purchasing power this year. 2023 will likely be more of the same.

Fortune

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Fortune

Top economist Mohamed El-Erian says there’s a ‘new definition’ for a soft landing and argues ‘we can’t avoid a recession’

Americans may have to accept higher inflation, or face a serious recession as the Federal Reserve raises interest rates to get to its 2% inflation target, El-Erian warns.

Fortune

Top economist Mohamed El-Erian says the Fed will face these two ‘unpleasant choices’ next year

“This is what happens when an inflationary moment is allowed to get embedded into the economic system,” El-Erian said.

Fortune

Top economist Mohamed El-Erian says crypto is a canary in the coal mine for an era of ‘irresponsible risk taking’—and the fallout could lead to ‘financial accidents’

Mohamed El-Erian is worried that crypto’s risk-taking behavior is just an example of what became the norm over the past decade.

Fortune

Top economist Mohamed El-Erian says the Fed is still doing ‘too little, too late’ and warns there are ‘clouds on the horizon’

“Inflation remains a problem. Yes, it’s coming down, but it’s not coming down fast enough,” economist Mohamed El-Erian warned over the weekend, pointing to the stronger-than-expected jobs report as evidence.

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Fortune

Bank of America CEO says the latest jobs report supports his prediction of a 'mild' recession

“The belief was when the Fed started raising rates that there would be an immediate snap to the economy,” Brian Moynihan said. “That didn't happen.”

Fortune

Bank of America sees inflation falling to this number by the end of next year—but it’ll take a recession to get there

Bank of America says a “mild recession” will raise the unemployment rate to 5.5% next year and cool inflation.

Fortune

Top economist Mohamed El-Erian says inflation could get 'stuck' at an uncomfortably high number because of supply chain issues and a 'change in globalization'

Mohamed El-Erian says that inflation may get stuck at 4% as the global economy goes through a “profound” shift—and warns investors not to fall in love with the “short and shallow” recession theory.

Fortune

Top economist Mohamed El-Erian says we’re not just headed for another recession, but a ‘profound economic and financial shift’

The former CEO of PIMCO sees three trends that suggest a transformation in the global economy is under way.

The Guardian - UK

UK facing ‘grim economic outlook’ as Jeremy Hunt warned against excessive austerity – business live

Investors and economists warns that markets want to see growth plans as well as fiscal responsibility

Benzinga

Top Economist El-Erian Says 'Only Part Of Drama Has Come To Light So Far' In 'Incredible' FTX Saga

Allianz chief economic adviser and noted economist Mohamed El-Erian believes the whole FTX saga is incredible and that only part of it has come to light so far.

StockNews.com

Bull vs. Bear Debate Reignited!

Why have stocks jumped from the October lows and more investors have become bullish? But why have many bears refused to throw in the towel? What is it that they see points to lower lows for the S&P 500 (SPY) in the months ahead? Let’s review the updated bull vs.…

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