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HISTORICAL FACTS: 3 - Caught on Camera

Soybean Farmers Under Pressure: Which Comes First $8 or $12 Beans?

Soybean prices are under intense pressure as the market grapples with record-high beginning stocks, signaling an oversupply issue that traders can't ignore. Strong yields have kept production levels high despite a reduced planted acreage, adding to the glut. Meanwhile, export demand remains sluggish, weighed down by shifting global trade dynamics…

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Can Gold Keep Climbing? The Shocking Signals Traders Shouldn't Ignore

Gold is defying expectations, soaring to record highs despite rising interest rates and a strong dollar—two factors that should traditionally hold it back. Gold doesn't generate income, unlike other assets, making it less appealing when bonds and cash offer attractive yields. Yet, its resilience sends a powerful message in today's…

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Trump's Bump in the S&P 500 is the Side of Extreme Rarely Seen, But That's Why it's Needed

The S&P 500 continues its bull market run from the October 2023 lows. While there are claims about the market being over-extended, the bull move does not seem ready to rest. President Trump has announced numerous outside investments in the US. An optimal seasonal buy window is approaching. Technically, the…

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It's All About the Crude Oil Insiders Knowing Something We Don't

Peter Lynch had a fantastic run managing the Magellan Fund, using the basic concept that equity investors should only buy a stock if they understand the business and are confident of holding it through market turbulence. Futures markets can be as rewarding. Traders only need to respect what the brilliant…

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Less = More with the New Gold Futures Contract

Have you ever felt that gold was priced out of your league to trade or invest? Retail traders will soon be able to trade gold with much less capital requirements. As the Chinese New Year looms, so does the pent-up seasonal demand for gold. Would you like to participate in…

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Who Else Wants to Know the Mystery Behind the Corn Market?

Sometimes, the markets seem rational, while other times, there appears to be a mystery behind their actions. The corn market seems to be in that mystery thriller mode. The producers are aggressively adding short positions while managed money is building long ones. To unravel this mystery, we must carefully examine…

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Can the Stock Market Offer You Cash for Christmas? Absolutely!

Let's face it: With inflation still above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, everybody could use a little more cash as the holiday season approaches. As traders scramble to find opportunities in this extended bull market, they must look no further than the S&P 500 index during December. Here's why…..

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Couldn't Find Your Gift on Black Friday? Check Out Black Gold!

How many hours did you spend surfing for a Black Friday special on Amazon? How did that work for you? One thing is for sure: whatever you found was priced higher than last year. Check out this Black Gold opportunity and see if it helps you be more merry as…

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Tariff Talks, Weak Currency, and a Seasonal Sell Could Pressure the Canadian Dollar

President Trump announced possible tariffs on two countries with currencies trading at multi-year lows. With a weak currency and potential tariffs, the Canadian dollar seasonal sell pattern may have a fundamental catalyst needed for traders to profit.

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Will the S&P 500 Put Cash in Your Christmas Stocking or a Lump of Coal?

After the S&P 500 battled volatility from the Bank of Japan's surprise interest rate hike in August, the market found new buying and has since rallied to multiple new highs. It has kept intact four consecutive higher quarterly closes. Will this quarter make it five?

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Which Way Are Crude Oil Prices Going for the Remainder of 2024?

Crude oil prices have ground lower in a highly volatile way since peaking in April 2024. Contributing to this volatility are the upcoming election, the Israel/Iran conflict, and Opec + flip-flopping from increasing production to not. The recent rally of the US dollar has not helped oil prices find much…

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Buy This Dividend Yielding and 130% 5-year Return Stock After the Corn Harvest in October

Equity traders often overlook seasonality (market cycles). Commodity traders are well aware of the significance that seasonal patterns play. Here is an opportunity for equity traders to capitalize on a seasonal pattern in the corn market that has helped to create an astonishing 130% 5-year return for this company. As…

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Feel Like You Missed the Recent Gold Rush? No Worries, Another Opportunity is Waiting

When investing in gold, investors frequently ask, "Is now the right time to buy?" Hindsight makes it easier to pinpoint when gold's value surged the most but does not allow making profits after the fact. Considering gold's typically inverse relationship with stocks, interest rates, and the US Dollar, following price…

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Corn Prices Stumble: Is the Rally Over or Just Getting Started?

Corn prices are correcting the uptrend from the $3.85 level after reaching $4.34 for the December futures contract. The recent United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) crop production and World Agricultural Supply Demand Estimate (WASDE) report weigh heavily on the market. Producers have been waiting for a price rally to…

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Tired of Being Beaten Up by the Equity Markets? Try This Strategy

Investing in the stock market can seem complicated, but one of the simplest and most effective strategies is to buy an ETF that tracks the S&P 500. ETFs like the SPDR S&P 500 ETF allow investors to own shares in 500 of the largest U.S. companies with just one trading…

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Corn Producer Relief Rally Underway – Will Stored Old Crop Corn Finally Be Priced?

Managed money began liquidating their record short positions in mid-July. Prices declined until late August when a potential seasonal low was $3.85. Producers of unpriced stored carry-over corn have patiently waited for this speculative short-covering rally to sell into. Could producers get a more substantial rally than expected and hedge…

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Does Your Portfolio Have Room for a 79% 5-Year Track Record ETF?

Equity investors often overlook market seasonality. Unfortunately, seasonality is usually tied to future markets. However, there are instances where the seasonality of commodities can enhance an Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF). Two significant commodities are entering a seasonal buy that will impact an outperforming homebuilder ETF. The Federal Reserve (FED) appears ready…

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Holding Corn? Ready to Sell at Higher Prices?

A corn trader should look to buy when prices approach levels near the cost of production, as further downside risk may be limited. With corn futures already down about 18% year-to-date due to increased supply expectations, traders should consider that prices at or below production costs tend to create upward…

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Cheaper Gasoline Prices And Higher Crude Oil Prices: But Why?

Gasoline prices typically fall in the autumn and early winter as demand decreases and gasoline retailers switch to cheaper winter-blend fuels. Additionally, Americans take fewer trips during this period, further reducing demand. OPEC is expected to increase production in December, which could contribute to further price declines. These combined factors…

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Could the US Government Fiscal Year-End Fund Your Trading Account?

The US government's fiscal year significantly impacts financial markets because the federal budget process influences economic policy, government spending, and fiscal stability. As the fiscal year draws to a close on September 30, market participants closely monitor budget negotiations, potential government shutdowns, and funding decisions, which can create uncertainty and…

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Could the US Government's Fiscal Year End Fund Your Trading Account?

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Yen Carry Trade is Yesterday's News, Seasonal Play is Next Opportunity

Recent concerns about the unwinding of yen carry trades and its potential impact on financial markets have proven less disruptive than anticipated. Despite other countries raising interest rates to combat post-pandemic inflation, Japan has kept borrowing costs low to address its long-term economic stagnation. Although the Bank of Japan (BoJ)…

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Good Inflation Numbers and Hints of Lower Interest Rates Support the Stock Market's Seasonal Rally

Recently released inflation numbers were tamer than expected, leading market participants to anticipate the Fed will cut rates at their next meeting. The stock market's seasonal buy will use this bullish information as wind to its back. The recent selloff in the stock market created an opportunity for bullish investors.…

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Tumbling Corn Prices Have More Room to the Downside

Corn market participants have seen a steep fall after prices peaked in the Spring of 2022. Last year's planting season rally saw prices peak at $6.30 based on the new crop December 2023 futures. Many farmers/producers held onto their crops, anticipating higher prices. However, record production in the US and…

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CPI Report Indicating Lower Inflation: What to Buy and What to Sell?

After the recent CPI numbers were released, investor sentiment indicated an 85% likelihood of a rate cut at the Federal Reserve's September meeting, up from approximately 70% the prior trading session. This expectation shift has boosted the appeal of gold, as declining interest rates make gold more attractive. Following the…

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