THE TRUTH ABOUT: Mrci | History Defined

May Corn Futures: Is Another Contract Low Coming?

Could May 2027 corn futures be headed toward another contract low? A weaker Brazilian real, a declining daily trend, and a historically bearish November seasonal pattern are putting the $4.50¼ level in focus. Here's what traders should watch.

Barchart · 15h ago

Corn and Soybeans: What If the Low Comes Before Harvest?

What if one of the oldest seasonal tendencies in corn and soybeans is starting to change? The combine in the field may not tell the whole story.

Barchart · Sep 28

Crude Oil Three Rallies Before the Fall

The EPA changes the gasoline equation every fall. What happens next can matter to crude oil traders.

Barchart · Sep 21

Could Lean Hogs Be the Next Big Opportunity?

Is the next high-probability trade setting up in October Lean Hogs? From July 22–August 3, October hog futures have finished lower in 14 of the past 15 years (93%). Softening summer demand, expanding hog supplies, and heavy managed money short positioning all point to a seasonal window worth watching. The…

Barchart · Jul 20

Wheat's Bullish Fundamentals Are Growing—So Why Do Prices Keep Falling?

Don't argue with the market. Everything about wheat's fundamentals says prices should be stronger... yet the trend has been down since May. Is the market wrong—or is it quietly signaling another leg lower? My latest article examines the battle between fundamentals, technicals, and seasonality to uncover what traders may be…

Barchart · Jul 13

Has the Bond Market Missed the Oil Collapse? The Case for Lower Treasury Yields Into Early September

Crude oil has fallen back into the $60-$70 range, inflation fears are fading, and traders are pricing in a less restrictive Fed. Could Treasury yields be the next market to catch up? We break down the fundamentals, seasonals, and technicals, pointing toward lower yields into early September.

Barchart · Jul 6

Real Money Flows + Fed Pause + Seasonal Timing: The AUD Setup Traders Are Watching!

The AUD seasonal setup into the June futures expiry is one of the cleanest in months. EOFY repatriation and hedging flows are hitting as Aussie firms square books ahead of June 30, while winter wheat and canola exports drive real trade flows into Asia. Add a pausing Fed that's erasing…

Barchart · May 25

Can November Soybeans Challenge Contract Highs? Strong Crush Demand and Seasonal Strength Say It's Possible

November soybeans may be setting up one of the better seasonal opportunities in ag markets right now. Record crush demand, bullish technicals, and a weather market season are all lining up at the same time. MRCI research also shows Nov beans closed higher in this seasonal window 12 of the…

Barchart · May 23

Seasonal Tailwinds Are Aligning for 30 & 10-Year Treasuries – Here's the Setup

There's a historically bullish seasonal window for longer-dated interest rates from now through early August. Lower liquidity in summer often leads to a "search for yield," big coupon reinvestment flows in June/July, and the classic "Sell in May" rotation into safer assets, which tends to support Treasuries. Add in softer…

Barchart · May 11

Oil Shock + Hawkish Fed = Major EUR/USD Downside? Don't Miss These Trading Opportunities

Pressure is building fast on EUR/USD — and two powerful macro forces could send it lower in May. Higher oil prices from Strait of Hormuz disruptions are hammering European growth… while a potentially more hawkish Fed under Kevin Warsh is supercharging the US Dollar. Bearish EUR/USD isn't just a trade…

Barchart · May 4