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UNBELIEVABLE: 5 - The Untold Story

Labor gains 52–48 lead in Newspoll and Redbridge as poll trend to Labor continues

A national Newspoll, conducted March 31 to April 4 from a sample of 1,250, gave Labor a 52–48 lead, a one-point gain for Labor since the March 27–29 post-budget Newspoll. This is Labor’s biggest lead in Newspoll since May 2024. This poll was mostly taken before Donald Trump’s tariff announcement…

The Conversation

Labor leads in three recent national polls, four weeks from the election

The federal election will be held in four weeks. A national YouGov poll, conducted March 28 to April 3 from a sample of 1,622, gave Labor a 51–49 lead, a one-point gain for Labor since the previous non-MRP YouGov poll taken March 14–19.

The Conversation

'Bad for your mental health': MPs downplay polls trend

Labor could be in the box seat to form the next government, according to three major opinion polls, but both major parties are playing down their significance.

AAP

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Labor gains lead in post-budget Newspoll; would be one seat short of majority in YouGov MRP poll

Labor’s regaining of polling momentum has continued into the first week of the formal election campaign. A national Newspoll, conducted March 27–29 from a sample of 1,249, gave Labor a 51–49 lead, a two-point gain for Labor since the previous Newspoll, three weeks ago. This is Labor’s first Newspoll lead…

The Conversation

Labor’s in with a fighting chance, but must work around an unpopular leader

The Albanese government has a fighting chance of winning the 2025 election, but will need to achieve in five weeks of campaigning what it hasn’t in three years in office. That is, work out a narrative explaining what it’s about and that can persuade Australians to back it for a…

The Conversation

Anthony Albanese gains in Newspoll, but the race remains neck-and-neck

A national Newspoll, conducted March 3–7 from a sample of 1,255, gave the Coalition a 51–49 lead, unchanged since the previous Newspoll, three weeks ago. Primary votes were 39% Coalition (up one), 32% Labor (up one), 12% Greens (steady), 7% One Nation (steady) and 10% for all Others (down two).

The Conversation

Voters despair as economic hurdles cloud future

Australians' confidence in the government is at its lowest point since the Black Summer bushfires as their hope for the future wanes.

AAP

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Two polls predict a thumping victory for Labor in WA election, the first with a reformed upper house

The Western Australian state election will be held on Saturday, with polls closing at 9pm AEDT. A Newspoll, conducted February 27 to March 5 from a sample of 1,061, gave Labor a 57.5–42.5 lead, a 1.5-point gain for Labor since an early February WA Newspoll.

The Conversation

Coalition leading narrowly in four polls and would likely win an election held now

A national Newspoll, conducted February 10–14 from a sample of 1,244, gave the Coalition a 51–49 lead, unchanged from the previous Newspoll, three weeks ago. Primary votes were 38% Coalition (down one), 31% Labor (steady), 12% Greens (steady), 7% One Nation (steady) and 12% for all Others (up one).

The Conversation

View from The Hill: Labor faces risk of Victorians using federal poll as referendum on both Allan and Albanese governments

The weekend byelection in the outer suburban seat of Werribee saw the widely-anticipated slap-in-the-face to Victorian Labor, which is absolutely on the nose. The question is: to what degree were electors venting against federal Labor too?

The Conversation

WA Labor has thumping Newspoll lead a month before election; federal Labor improves

The Western Australian state election will be held on March 8. A Newspoll, conducted January 29 to February 4 from a sample of 1,039, gave Labor a 56–44 lead, from primary votes of 42% Labor, 32% Liberals, 3% Nationals, 12% Greens, 4% One Nation and 7% for all Others.

The Conversation

'A Labor win is precious': PM dismisses worsening poll

Anthony Albanese remains confident of a second Labor term, despite a Newspoll showing more voters expect the coalition to win the next election.

AAP

Victoria could be a key election battleground: Newspoll

Victoria could be a big player in deciding the next federal election result, according to a new Newspoll analysis.

AAP

Newspoll returns to a tie after Coalition leads, but Labor has worst result this term in Resolve

A national Newspoll, conducted December 2–6 from a sample of 1,258, had a 50–50 tie, a one-point gain for Labor since the previous Newspoll in early November. Primary votes were 39% Coalition (down one), 33% Labor (steady), 11% Greens (steady), 7% One Nation (up two) and 10% for all Others…

The Conversation

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AAP

PM's character in question in latest poll

While Anthony Albanese remains Australia's preferred prime minister, his character has been called into question in the latest Newspoll.

The Conversation

Coalition retains narrow Newspoll lead as Dutton gains; where Democrats may have erred in US election

A national Newspoll, conducted November 4–8 from a sample of 1,261, gave the Coalition a 51–49 lead, unchanged since the previous Newspoll in early October. Primary votes were 40% Coalition (up two), 33% Labor (up two), 11% Greens (down one), 5% One Nation (down two) and 11% for all Others…

The Conversation

LNP wins Queensland election, likely with a clear majority

With 45% of enrolled voters counted in today’s Queensland state election, The Poll Bludger’s results have the Liberal National Party (LNP) winning 38 of the 93 seats, Labor 26, Katter’s Australian Party (KAP) three and independents one.

The Guardian - AU

Kevin Rudd had secret agreement with Julia Gillard to hand over power after two terms, new book claims

Political memoir by former factional boss Kim Carr also alleges Gillard used 'tricked-up’ polling funded by the mining industry to build case to oust rival

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The Conversation

Coalition seizes Newspoll lead, but other polls have Labor improving

A national Newspoll, conducted October 7–11 from a sample of 1,258, gave the Coalition a 51–49 lead, a one-point gain for the Coalition since the previous Newspoll, three weeks ago. After three 50–50 ties in a row, this is the first time this term the Coalition has led in Newspoll.

AAP

Coalition ahead but Labor not hitting poll panic button

Labor is trailing the opposition for the first time since 2022, but experts say the government should not be worried yet about its electoral fortunes.

The Conversation

Federal Newspoll still tied but Albanese’s ratings up; Queensland Newspoll has big LNP lead

A national Newspoll, conducted September 16–20 from a sample of 1,249, had a 50–50 tie for the third consecutive time. Since the last Newspoll three weeks ago, primary votes were 38% Coalition (steady), 31% Labor (down one), 13% Greens (up one), 6% One Nation (down one) and 12% for all…

AAP

LNP leads Labor by 10 points before Qld election: poll

A Newspoll survey suggests Liberal National Party leader David Crisafulli is on track to end Labor's nine-year grip on power in Queensland.

The Conversation

Newspoll remains tied at 50–50, but Albanese’s net approval slumps

A national Newspoll, conducted August 26–30 from a sample of 1,263, had a 50–50 two-party tie between Labor and the Coalition, unchanged from the previous Newspoll three weeks ago. This is the first time this term there have been two successive ties in Newspoll.

AAP

Albanese's approval rating slides in Newspoll

Newspoll puts Labor and the coalition neck-and-neck on a two-party-preferred basis while the prime minister's personal approval rating has slipped.

The Conversation

Labor still struggling in polls as Newspoll tied

A national Newspoll, conducted August 5–9 from a sample of 1,266, had Labor and the Coalition tied at 50–50, a one-point gain for the Coalition since the last Newspoll, three weeks ago. Primary votes were 39% Coalition (up one), 32% Labor (down one), 12% Greens (down one), 6% One Nation…

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