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REVEALED: 39 - The Real Truth

Michael Pascoe: Why you might never see that ‘wage growth’ we hear about

One thing we know for sure about the RBA – it knows even less about the outlook for wage growth than it does about inflation.

The New Daily

Housing prices gain pace as auction listings increase across Australia’s capital cities

CoreLogic researcher Tim Lawless says current spike in migration countering effect of Reserve Bank’s rate hike earlier this month

The Guardian - AU

‘Significantly weaker’: Unemployment rise sparks fears for Australian jobs

A surprise uptick in unemployment in April has stoked fears the labour market may be starting to turn, as forecasts predict a jobs downturn.

The New Daily

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Alan Kohler: The confusing, ridiculous state of economic forecasting

There was a time when we were sure that interest rates wouldn’t change for three years. That illusion was cruelly dashed a year ago.

The New Daily

‘Highly probable’: RBA tipped to hike interest rates in June after wage data

Economists are predicting another interest rates hike after wage growth rose in the March quarter, with risks around low productivity growth.

The New Daily

Wages growth hits a decade high, but no smoking gun for another RBA interest rate hike

Wages growth is at its highest level since 2012, with around 50 per cent of workers seeing pay increases above 3 per cent, but it is still well behind inflation.

ABC News

Australian wages rise again but still lag behind cost of living, March quarter figures reveal

Wage price index increase to annual rate of 3.7% will be scrutinised by Reserve Bank

The Guardian - AU

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Wage data looms as key to another potential interest rates hike

The potential for another painful hike in interest rates is balanced on a knife’s edge ahead of crucial new wages growth data.

The New Daily

Threat of higher rates remains, but peak may be in sight

The Reserve Bank is prepared to hike interest rates again in June, but has signalled mortgage bills may now be high enough cool inflation.

The New Daily

Interest rates unlikely to fall amid 'once-in-a-generation' inflation battle, warns former RBA boss Glenn Stevens

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) warns further interest rate increases are still possible, as a former RBA governor says the low-rate era is over, leaving households feeling like Australia is heading for recession.

ABC News

Decision to lift interest rates influenced by higher-than-forecast rent increases, RBA says

Minutes from recent meeting say surprise call was ‘finely balanced’ and aimed at diminishing the risks of high inflation becoming entrenched

The Guardian - AU

Treasurer wants energy transition to be his legacy – as it happened

This blog is now closed.

The Guardian - AU

‘Slightly less terrible’: Why the budget won’t worsen inflation

Opposition Leader Peter Dutton has accused the Albanese government of delivering an inflationary budget, but not all experts think so.

The New Daily

Leading bank says budget won’t add to inflation

The federal government's latest budget is not expected to drive up inflation with the biggest bank saying the direction for rates is likely to be downward.

The New Daily

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ABC News

RBA research finds Australia has up to an 80 per cent recession risk to get inflation under control

Previously unpublished internal research from the Reserve Bank estimates that Australia's risk of recession over this year and next could be as high as 80 per cent.

The Guardian - AU

Has Jim Chalmers’ budget really poured fuel on the inflation fire? Don’t believe the hype

Headlines stoked fears of ‘stimulatory’ measures but you only need to look at the big banks and markets to see the reception was calm

The Conversation

No, the budget does not make further interest rate rises more likely

Inflation, as Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has said, is “a tax on the poor”.

The New Daily

Michael Pascoe: Still waiting for the real budget boot to drop

There’s some interesting stuff, some good things, some “spinning”, and there are certainly things to be disappointed about in the budget.

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The Guardian - AU

Instead of winning plaudits, why did Jim Chalmers’ budget surplus leave pundits nonplussed?

There’s a glorious irony that a surplus, after so many deficits, attracted such little attention

The New Daily

Chalmers defends budget’s ‘meaningful’ help amid split on interest rate risks

Treasurer Jim Chalmers has defended his second budget as offering "meaningful relief to households" – while not contributing to inflation.

The Guardian - AU

Economists say federal budget unlikely to have much effect on interest rates

While the 2023 budget is unlikely to budge the RBA, experts are watching for inflationary pressure from a population boom and energy prices

Reuters

Australian government rejects concerns budget may worsen inflation

Australia's Labor government said on Wednesday the billions in cost-of-living relief unveiled in the federal budget for families and businesses will not worsen inflationary pressures and put more pressure on the central bank to lift rates further.

ABC News

Federal budget 2023: Does a budget focused on the cost of living mean inflation and interest rates could get worse?

Treasurer Jim Chalmers is adamant that his budget will not make inflation worse and force the Reserve Bank's hand on interest rates — but economists are divided, with some saying it paves the way for a rate hike in the coming months.

The Guardian - AU

Inflation rate to halve, bringing wage growth by 2024, federal budget predicts – with hope of mortgage relief

Australia’s economy remains resilient as global growth slows to its worst performance in more than two decades

The New Daily

‘Disingenuous’: Inflationary trade-off in Jim Chalmers’ budget

Jim Chalmers claims his cost-of-living package won't worsen inflation, but experts take a different view, saying it will.

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