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HISTORICAL FACTS: Claudia sahm | History Defined

'This is the test': All eyes on US Fed to tackle high inflation

The US Federal Reserve goes into a key rate-setting meeting this week with markets expecting policymakers to pull the trigger on a rate hike to tackle persistently high inflation -- and analysts say central bank chief Kevin Warsh's credibility is on the line. In recent weeks, however, several Fed policymakers…

The Economic Times

Kevin Warsh's Fed Faces Split Verdict on Inflation Data: Sahm Notes 'Good News,' Schiff Says Calls Out 'Misleading' CPI Rise

July’s consumer price index (CPI) report drew conflicting interpretations from economists on Wednesday, as the same data was read as a sign of disinflation, a case against current Fed policy, and grounds to question the numbers themselves.

Benzinga

Former Fed Economist Claudia Sahm Warns Kevin Warsh Could Invite Burns-Nixon Comparisons: 'We Should Not Have to Rely on Anonymous Sourcing'

Former Federal Reserve economist Claudia Sahm criticized reports citing anonymous sources to explain Fed Chair Kevin Warsh‘s policy thinking, saying the public should not have to rely on unnamed officials to understand the central bank’s direction.

Benzinga

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Fed stalwart Claudia Sahm fears Kevin Warsh's policies could undo 20 years of policy progress

"That progression has happened over 20 years at the Fed and it's going to be near impossible and probably very misguided to put the cat back in the bag."

Fortune

‘This is not normal’: Former Fed economist sounds alarm on Kevin Warsh after one-sided confirmation

Claudia Sahm worked with Warsh when they were at the Fed but doesn’t know him personally. She told Fortune that his disrespect for Democrats was striking.

Fortune

Americans have never been this gloomy about the economy. Wall Street has never cashed in harder

“Stock markets respond to risks shifting around,” top economist Claudia Sahm told Fortune. “Households respond to reality.”

Fortune

Economists agree: You’re not crazy for feeling like the rich get richer, and the poor are doing worse. Welcome to the 'K-shaped economy'

What was a niche argument about five years ago is suddenly everywhere you look, and it’s taking on the shape of a letter with two jagged edges.

Fortune

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'I just don't have a good feeling about this': Top economist Claudia Sahm says the economy quietly shifted while policymakers wait for the wrong alarm

EXCLUSIVE: The creator of the Sahm Rule on why she’s concerned about the long-term health of America’s economy.

Fortune

Fed up: inside Trump’s unprecedented bid to exert control over the US central bank

The US president and his allies spent 2025 attacking the Federal Reserve amid a rollercoaster year for the US economy

The Guardian - US

The cash bazooka: Why Trump wants to send you money

Trump has talked up tariff-funded rebate checks, a $1,776 "warrior dividend" and plans to send billions to farmers.

Axios

The Fed delivers a rare ‘hawkish cut’ as Powell tries to steady a softening job market

The Fed is clearly deeply divided. Three officials dissented, in opposite directions.

Fortune

‘Be careful what you wish for’: Top economist warns any additional interest rate cuts after today would signal the economy is slipping into danger

Jerome Powell’s Federal Reserve will likely deliver its final cut of the year on Wednesday. But Claudia Sahm is already looking ahead.

Fortune

Economists agree: You’re not crazy for feeling like the rich get richer, and the poor are doing worse. Welcome to the ‘K-shaped economy’

What was a niche argument about five years ago is suddenly everywhere you look, and it’s taking on the shape of a letter with two jagged edges.

Fortune

PCE data paints a solid picture, but hidden cracks show tariffs quietly squeezing U.S. consumers—and weak job growth could put them over the edge

Never underestimate the U.S. consumer, economists say.

Fortune

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Fortune

A $100 billion mystery is unfolding on tariffs and inflation and economists are cracking the case

The hottest question in economics is why the massive price hikes tariffs were supposed to bring still haven’t materialized halfway through 2025.

The Independent UK

Hiring slows across US amid uncertainty over Trump’s tariffs

The number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits has risen to the highest level in eight months

The Independent UK

US employers added a solid 139,000 jobs in May despite uncertainty over trade wars

U.S. employers slowed hiring last month, but still adding a solid 139,000 jobs amid uncertainty over Trump’s trade wars

Fortune

‘The smell of stagflation’ is mounting as Trump’s Liberation Day arrives

Stagflation fears are mounting, warns Deutsche Bank, as Donald Trump's latest tariff announcements tick closer.

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Fortune

How were so many economists wrong on whether we’d have a recession? Northern Trust’s Ryan Boyle points to 3 culprits

Recession red flags had a track record that “was never perfect, but they have really failed us during the past two years,” says Boyle.

Fortune

Markets are finally believing Fed chair Jerome Powell will pull off his soft landing

"The general direction of U.S. employment signals an economy very far from 'recession,'" wrote UBS chief economist Paul Donovan.

Fortune

BofA details clients’ 5 major economic fears—then knocks them all down

“For now, we think the broader macro data flow does not point to recession," Bank of America's economics team wrote Monday.

Fortune

The Fed and chair Powell are 24 hours away from making market-moving news. Here’s what to expect

"The equity markets have remained resilient, particularly favoring value and dividend-paying stocks this quarter. This inclination may gain momentum as the Fed begins to implement rate cuts."

The Conversation

What’s a recession – and how can we tell if we’re in one?

This article is part of The Conversation’s “Business Basics” series where we ask experts to discuss key concepts in business, economics and finance.

Kiplinger

What Is the Sahm Rule, and What Does It Mean?

This will be the first significant test of the Sahm rule under relatively normal circumstances.

The Guardian - AU

Unemployment is rising and Australia’s economy is weak – but don’t hit the recession alarm just yet

Are we headed for a recession? The answer is complex – although for young people it already feels like one

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