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Fortune
Fortune
Diane Brady

FORGOTTEN HISTORY: Insuring against trump tariffs - The Untold Story

(Credit: Carolyn Kaster—AP)

Good morning.

Insurance is the science of balancing probability and consequence. The higher the odds that something will happen, the more it will cost you to insure against its consequences. The more you do to lower that probability—whether it’s installing alarms or visiting a president-elect who’s threatened to impose 25% tariffs on everything you export to their country—the less likely those negative consequences will presumably occur.

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