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At the Races: Eyes on the ball and the ballot

Welcome to At the Races! Each week we bring you news and analysis from the CQ Roll Call campaign team. Know someone who’d like to get this newsletter? They can subscribe here. By Mary Ellen McIntire and Daniela Altimari Call it a sports week. New Yorkers are ecstatic after the Knicks went…

Roll Call

Billionaire Tom Steyer’s record spending dominates California governor race

Steyer, a former hedge fund manager and now prominent liberal activist, has already committed over $195 million to broadcast TV, cable, and radio advertisements, a figure that continues to climb, according to data compiled by advertising tracker AdImpact

The Independent UK

Ad in Texas GOP Runoff Attacks Cornyn on Immigration, Islam

By Saranac Hale Spencer ANALYSIS — A TV ad attacking incumbent Texas Sen. John Cornyn for supporting “Muslim mass immigration” misleadingly cites a 2021 quote from Cornyn about certain Afghan refugees and claims that “Cornyn has a special place in his heart for radical Islam.” The ad, which started airing on May 12…

Roll Call

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Donald Trump targets Thomas Massie as purge of Republican critics intensifies

President Donald Trump is backing a challenger against Representative Thomas Massie in Kentucky's Republican primary. This race is the most expensive House primary ever. Trump wants to remove Massie for criticizing him and voting against aid to Israel.

The Economic Times

Massie Taunts Trump 'Losing Sleep' and AIPAC Over Emergency $3M Cash Injection to Save Failing Kentucky Campaign

Kentucky Congressman Thomas Massie faces intense attacks from Donald Trump and significant financial opposition in a record-breaking primary, using the attention to bolster his fundraising efforts.

International Business Times UK

Here are the megadonors and dark money groups bankrolling John Cornyn and Ken Paxton’s Senate primary

The incumbent senator has dominated financially, thanks to an array of megadonors and dark money groups. The Tribune assembled a guide to the money behind the most expensive Senate primary ever.

The Texas Tribune

Outside cash floods U.S House runoffs in Texas

PACs have accounted for 89% of ad spending in Texas’ congressional runoffs as crypto, AI and mystery groups flood the contests.

The Texas Tribune

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Inside the wild $25 million fight to oust top GOP Trump critic Thomas Massie

One group is running ads depicting Jewish billionaire Paul Singer with a rainbow Star of David.

Axios

Trump-backed Republicans win big in Indiana primaries in coup for president

Party’s incumbents had resisted Trump’s bruising campaign to pressure them into redrawing congressional districts

The Guardian - US

On the issues: A Q&A with Ken Paxton and John Cornyn

As Cornyn and Paxton head to the runoff, we updated our Q&A to reflect the two candidates. Both declined to participate, so we used their past statements and voting history to show where they stand on foreign policy, AI and other key issues.

The Texas Tribune

How millions in taxpayer dollars are helping fund House members' reelection bids

A top House Democrat said he plans to review the practice if his party takes power.

Axios

AI-aligned super PACs are pouring millions into Texas congressional races

Groups funded by artificial intelligence industry leaders have spent more than $2.8 million in the state, mostly on U.S. House GOP candidates who favor a light regulatory touch.

The Texas Tribune

Illinois Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton wins Democratic primary for Durbin’s seat

Illinois Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton won the Democratic primary Tuesday for the state’s open Senate seat, defeating Reps. Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly in a hard-fought contest that centered more on style than substance. Stratton had 40 percent of the vote when The Associated Press called the Democratic race to…

Roll Call

Illinois' $50 million primary experiment

Raja Krishnamoorthi is hoping the better-funded candidate wins in Illinois' Senate Democratic primary.

Axios

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Axios

James Talarico wins Democratic primary in Texas' U.S. Senate race

The state lawmaker defeated U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett of Dallas.

The Texas Tribune

Big money moved the needle and down-ballot chaos reigned in Texas’ action-packed primaries

Two blockbuster Senate primaries dominated attention, chaos reigned in down-ballot races and an intense runoff season looms.

Roll Call

Cornyn flatlines in the polls ahead of Texas Republican primary

With less than two weeks before the March 3 primary, Texas Sen. John Cornyn may be worse shape than he was four months ago.

The Texas Tribune

Rick Perry says his political group will spend “whatever we need” to support John Cornyn in Senate primary

The former Texas governor chairs the Lone Star Freedom Project, a group that has already spent almost $18 million boosting Cornyn against Attorney General Ken Paxton and Rep. Wesley Hunt.

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The Texas Tribune

On the issues: a Q&A with the Texas Republicans running for U.S. Senate

GOP candidates John Cornyn, Wesley Hunt and Ken Paxton refused to participate in a candidate Q&A on major issues, ranging from foreign policy to artificial intelligence. We used their past statements and voting history to show voters where they differ.

The Texas Tribune

Talarico began 2026 with bigger war chest than Crockett in Democratic Senate primary awash in cash

Crockett raised about $2 million between her Dec. 8 campaign launch and year’s end, about one-third of Talarico’s haul over the first three weeks of his Senate bid.

The Independent UK

Shocking new poll shows deep-red congressional district could be next stop for Democrats’ ‘blue tsunami’

A special election next month could give Democrats another unexpected boost

Axios

Dems outpace GOP ad spending for Tuesday's elections

The party's spending is among the reasons Democrats are favored to win most of the key races.

Axios

U.S. government pays for 2025's most expensive political ad campaign

The next closest ad campaign is the $41 million effort to support California's redistricting measure.

Latin Times

ICE Launches Multimillion-Dollar Recruitment Campaign as Trump Ramps Up Deportation Efforts

The 30-second spots began airing in mid-September in several cities across the United States, and in recent weeks, it has expanded to additional major hubs including Miami, Dallas and Houston.

The Independent UK

ICE targets frustrated officers in fresh recruitment drive amid mass deportation plans

Millions of dollars are being spent on TV recruitment ads targeting officers

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