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BIZARRE: Demosau - You Need To See This

Special poll has Labor barely winning majority as One Nation continues to gain

A special Redbridge poll that was mostly taken before the federal budget had Labor winning 76 of the 150 House of Representatives seats (a majority of one), with One Nation on 53 and the Coalition 12.

The Conversation

FED:One Nation's polling could herald messy hung parliament

One Nation has eclipsed Labor in opinion polling for the first time, with political analysts suggesting Australia could be headed for future hung parliaments.

AAP

One Nation's polling could herald messy hung parliament

One Nation has eclipsed Labor in opinion polling for the first time, with political analysts suggesting Australia could be headed for future hung parliaments.

AAP

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One Nation’s rise turns around as Newspoll and Resolve both have Labor well ahead

Has One Nation reached its polling peak? That’s the intriguing question from the latest batch of polls.

The Conversation

DemosAU gives Labor one of its worst poll results this term

A DemosAU poll has Labor down three points on primary votes since February to just 26%, with Labor and One Nation now tied. The total vote for the Coalition and One Nation was steady at 49% while the total for Labor and the Greens was down two points to 39%.

The Conversation

Labor’s slide continues in federal polls, as special DemosAU poll has Coalition winning just nine seats

Labor is still ahead, but the latest federal polls suggest a move against them. A DemosAU MRP poll has One Nation winning 52 of the 150 House seats and the Coalition just nine. A Victorian poll has the Coalition gaining a 52–48 lead over Labor.

The Conversation

One Nation forecast to become federal opposition: poll

A new poll has shown the coalition slipping to as low as nine seats in federal parliament as One Nation surges in support among voters.

AAP

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Labor set for landslide in final South Australian polls with One Nation ahead of Liberals

The South Australian state election is Saturday, with polls closing at 6:30pm AEDT. The 47 lower house seats will be elected in single-member electorates using preferential voting.

The Conversation

Challenges ahead for popular premier as poll approaches

Navigating minority government has barely troubled Chris Minns but he faces fresh problems as voters turn towards One Nation and the coalition rebuilds.

AAP

Two Victorian polls have One Nation at 23–24%, but differ on which party is in the lead

Two Victorian polls have One Nation at 23–24% with Labor on top on primary votes in one and the Coalition in the other. Labor has a huge lead in New South Wales as the right vote is split under optional preferential voting. A record number of candidates will contest the…

The Conversation

Labor down in Newspoll and Redbridge polls, with One Nation still in a clear second position

New federal polls from Newspoll and Redbridge have Labor’s primary vote dropping, with One Nation seven or nine points ahead of the Coalition in second place.

The Conversation

2 of 3 new federal polls have the Coalition gaining from One Nation, but Labor clearly ahead

The Morgan and YouGov federal polls have the Coalition gaining from One Nation since Angus Taylor replaced Sussan Ley as Liberal leader. Unlike the DemosAU and Fox & Hedgehog polls that I reported Tuesday, these two polls have Labor clearly ahead of the Coalition and One Nation after preferences.

The Conversation

Two new federal polls have One Nation gaining on Labor

Two new federal polls by DemosAU and Fox & Hedgehog have the combined primary vote for Labor and the Greens dropping as One Nation continues to surge. There’s no sign of a boost for the Coalition from Angus Taylor replacing Sussan Ley.

The Conversation

SA Newspoll shows Liberal wipeout likely; Victorian Morgan poll puts One Nation first on primaries

A South Australian Newspoll has given the Liberals just 14% of the primary vote, four weeks before the state election.

The Conversation

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The Conversation

The Coalition leads in Victorian DemosAU poll, with One Nation posting 21% support

One Nation is just two points behind Labor in a Victorian state DemosAU poll, with the election in November. A federal Resolve poll has One Nation and the Coalition tied at 23% each with Labor well ahead.

AAP

'Wildcard' One Nation eyes seats as surge hits state

Support is surging for One Nation in arguably Australia's most progressive state as the party prepares to field candidates at the upcoming election.

The Conversation

One Nation surges into second place in two polls, but Labor remains well ahead after preferences

Five federal polls have been released in the last week, with three of them having some fieldwork after the Coalition split on January 22. One Nation is in second place on primary votes in the YouGov and DemosAU polls, leading the Coalition by five points in YouGov and three points…

The Conversation

One Nation surges above Coalition in Newspoll as Labor still well ahead, in contrast with other polls

The aftermath of the Bondi terror attacks has brought about a shift in polling for the Albanese government, which has been riding high since its thumping win in the 2025 federal election.

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The Conversation

Three early January polls have Labor down, but disagree on One Nation’s vote

Three early January national polls have Labor sliding to between 52–53% two party preferred against the Coalition, down from around 55% to Labor before Anika Wells’ expenses scandal and Bondi. These polls are the worst for Labor since they unexpectedly won the May 2025 federal election in a landslide.

The Conversation

Who’s going to the ballot box this year? Here’s the election state of play

This article covers the March South Australian state election and November Victorian state election. The United States will hold midterm elections in November, giving Democrats an opportunity to take control of Congress.

The Conversation

Labor gains in Resolve poll as DemosAU poll has One Nation winning 12 House seats

Labor expanded its national lead in a Resolve poll as a DemosAU MRP poll had One Nation winning 12 House seats. In Victoria, the Coalition has a 51–49 lead in a Resolve poll. As the SA Liberal leader resigned, a new poll gave Labor a 61–39 lead.

The Conversation

61% of Australians would struggle with an expense of a few thousand dollars: new poll

A new federal Resolve poll has found 61% of respondents would struggle to afford an expense of a few thousand dollars, compared to just 24% who said they would not. The 37-point margin is the highest since Resolve began asking this question in February 2023.

The Conversation

Coalition’s primary vote plunges to record low and One Nation surges to record high in Newspoll

The Coalition’s primary vote slumped four points to a record low 24% in the latest Newspoll, while One Nation was up four points to a record high 15%. One Nation also surged to 15% in an Essential poll.

The Conversation

Liberals easily win most seats at Tasmanian election, but Labor may form government

With 63% of enrolled voters counted in today’s Tasmanian state election, The Poll Bludger is projecting that the final results will give the Liberals 39.7% of the statewide vote (up 3.0% since the March 2024 election), Labor just 25.7% (down 3.1%), the Greens 14.1% (up 0.2%), the Shooters 3.2% (up…

The Conversation

Hung parliament still likely outcome of Tasmanian election, with Liberals well ahead of Labor in new poll

A new Tasmanian DemosAU poll gives the Liberals a 34.9–24.7 statewide vote lead over Labor, implying the Liberals will win the most seats but be short of a majority at this Saturday’s election. I also cover how the Coalition’s vote was inefficiently distributed at the federal election, as well as…

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