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Mixed results for One Nation and the Coalition in latest federal polls

There have been mixed messages emerging from the three federal polls released this week. In the DemosAU poll, the Coalition was up four points on the primary vote to 25% and One Nation was down five points to 24%.

The Conversation · Aug 26

Further post-budget polls have Labor down, but retaining a clear lead

One Nation has gained one to three points in all five federal post-budget polls. The YouGov and Morgan polls agree with the Resolve poll in having Labor down, but retaining a clear lead.

The Conversation · May 20

2 of 3 new federal polls have the Coalition gaining from One Nation, but Labor clearly ahead

The Morgan and YouGov federal polls have the Coalition gaining from One Nation since Angus Taylor replaced Sussan Ley as Liberal leader. Unlike the DemosAU and Fox & Hedgehog polls that I reported Tuesday, these two polls have Labor clearly ahead of the Coalition and One Nation after preferences.

The Conversation · Feb 26

Tasmania likely heading for another minority government after next month’s snap election

Tasmania’s election on July 19 will be a welcome circuit breaker following the recent mayhem and dysfunction which has addled state politics.

The Conversation · Jun 12, 2025

Labor gains in Redbridge poll of marginal seats and seizes lead in a Morgan poll

A poll of 20 marginal seats by Redbridge and Accent Research was conducted for the News Ltd tabloids on February 20–25, from a sample presumably over 1,000. The Coalition led by 50.5–49.5, a 1.5-point gain for Labor since the February 4–11 marginals poll.

The Conversation · Mar 2, 2025

Papers, polls, PR and politics: meet the powerful lobby firm with a finger in every Tasmanian pie

Font Public Relations shares ownership with a polling company and a network of local newspapers. Some call it the saviour of independent news – but others claim it’s damaging transparency

The Guardian - AU · Feb 1, 2025

Under-16 social media ban supported by 77% as economic sentiment lifts

A national YouGov poll, conducted November 15–21 from a sample of 1,515, had a 50–50 tie, unchanged from the previous YouGov poll in September. Primary votes were 38% Coalition (down one), 30% Labor (steady), 13% Greens (down one), 9% One Nation (up two) and 10% for all Others (steady).

The Conversation · Dec 1, 2024

Newspoll remains tied at 50–50, but Albanese’s net approval slumps

A national Newspoll, conducted August 26–30 from a sample of 1,263, had a 50–50 two-party tie between Labor and the Coalition, unchanged from the previous Newspoll three weeks ago. This is the first time this term there have been two successive ties in Newspoll.

The Conversation · Sep 1, 2024

Labor slightly helped by Victorian and WA draft federal redistributions

The electoral commission today released draft boundaries from a federal redistribution of Victoria and Western Australia. In WA, the new seat of Bullwinkel was created, while in Victoria, Higgins was abolished.

The Conversation · May 31, 2024

Voters 'not convinced' on new Labor opposition leader

The first opinion polling since the Tasmanian election shows support for the new Labor opposition leader is below his predecessor.

AAP · May 29, 2024