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DARK SECRETS: 3 | Vintage Vibes

Lengthy trade wars could cut global investment by one-tenth, warn economists

Uncertainty around trade will have a major impact on global growth, reducing business investment in the EU and the UK by 2% this year, Oxford Economics finds.

Euronews

Euro falls as eurozone inflation sees downward revisions in February

Eurozone inflation eased to 2.3% in February, with core inflation at 2.6%, its lowest since January 2022. France had the lowest rate (0.9%), Hungary the highest (5.7%). The euro slipped ahead of Wednesday’s Fed meeting.

Euronews

Dollar Slides and Gold Jumps to a Record High as Global Bond Yields Fall

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is down by -0.30%. The dollar is under pressure from falling bond yields as the 10-year T-note yield dropped to a 6-week low today, which weakened the dollar’s interest rate differentials. Also, today’s strength in stocks has reduced liquidity demand for the dollar. The...

Barchart

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France, Germany Stall Eurozone Growth In Fourth Quarter

Eurozone growth slowed to a halt in the fourth quarter last year, dragged by contractions in major powers Germany and France which were held back by economic headwinds and political instability.

International Business Times

Nasdaq Futures Climb as Investors Weigh Big Tech Earnings, U.S. GDP Data and Apple Results in Focus

March Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQH25) are trending up +0.54% this morning as investors digested earnings reports from big U.S. tech companies.

Barchart

Nasdaq Futures Gain as Investors Weigh Big Tech Earnings, U.S. GDP Data and Apple Results in Focus

March Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQH25) are trending up +0.54% this morning as investors digested earnings reports from big U.S. tech companies.

Barchart

Europe's economy showed zero growth at end of 2024 as eurozone's biggest economy Germany struggled

Europe’s economy has stagnated at the end of last year as former growth engine Germany floundered to the end of a second straight year of shrinking output

The Independent UK

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Lagarde Says ECB Will Continue To Cut Interest Rates

European Central Bank chief Christine Lagarde said Monday eurozone policymakers would keep cutting interest rates and warned that higher US tariffs under President-elect Donald Trump could hit growth in the bloc.

International Business Times

Amid Weak Eurozone And Political Turmoil, ECB To Cut Rates Again

Faced with a stuttering economy, political turbulence in the eurozone and the prospect of renewed trade tensions with the United States, the European Central Bank is Thursday set to cut interest rates again.

International Business Times

S&P Futures Gain With Focus on U.S. ADP Jobs Report and Powell’s Remarks

December S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESZ24) are trending up +0.24% this morning as investors awaited a fresh batch of U.S. economic data and remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.

Barchart

Eurozone manufacturers see ‘no sign of recovery’ as UK orders slow

France, Germany and Austria are especially hard hit, as British factory owners cut jobs and investment

The Guardian - UK

Eurozone Inflation Rises, ECB Likely To Cut Interest Rates

Eurozone inflation rose to 2.3% in November, impacting ECB interest rate decisions and economic growth prospects. Germany's stable inflation rate may influ...

Top News

French sovereign borrowing costs rise to highest premium in 12 years

Government faces risk of collapse over planned austerity budget

The Guardian - UK

Dollar Supported by Weak Stocks and Higher T-Note Yields

The dollar index (DXY00 ) Wednesday rose by +0.47%. Higher T-note yields Wednesday and weakness in stocks supported moderate gains in the dollar. Also, weakness in EUR/USD benefitted the dollar on dovish comments from ECB Vice President Guindos, who said he expects the ECB to continue lowering interest rates. Hawkish...

Barchart

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S&P Futures Soar as Trump Claims Election Victory, FOMC Meeting on Tap

December S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESZ24) are trending up +2.37% this morning as Donald Trump declared victory in the U.S. presidential election, while investors also geared up for the start of the Federal Reserve’s two-day policy meeting.

The Guardian - UK

ECB cuts interest rates to support flagging eurozone economy

Fall in inflation enables central bank to bring in quarter point cut to 3.25% after business and consumer slowdown

International Business Times

ECB Set To Cut Rates Again As Inflation Cools

European Central Bank policymakers meet on Thursday with fading price pressures and weaker economic activity in the eurozone nudging them towards making another cut to interest rates.

Barchart

Stocks Muted Before the Open With U.S. Economic Data in Focus

December S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESZ24) are down -0.09%, and December Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQZ24) are down -0.21% this morning as investors awaited a new round of U.S. economic data and remarks from a Federal Reserve official.

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Barchart

Stocks Slip Before the Open as Middle East Tensions Rise, U.S. Economic Data on Tap

December S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESZ24) are down -0.32%, and December Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQZ24) are down -0.45% this morning as risk-off sentiment prevailed due to the potential for escalating conflict in the Middle East, while investors awaited a new round of U.S. economic data and remarks from a…

Barchart

Stock Index Futures Mixed Ahead of U.S. JOLTs Report and Fed Speak, Nike Earnings on Tap

December S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESZ24) are down -0.13%, and December Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQZ24) are up +0.06% this morning as investors awaited the latest reading on U.S. job openings, comments from Federal Reserve officials, and an earnings report from the world’s largest shoemaker Nike.

Top News

Eurozone Inflation Falls Below ECB Target, Rate Cut Expected

Eurozone inflation falls below ECB's target as energy prices decrease, potentially leading to further rate cuts.

International Business Times

Eurozone Inflation Falls Under 2% For First Time Since 2021

The eurozone's annual inflation rate fell to its lowest level in three-and-a-half years in September, official data showed Tuesday, dropping below the European Central Bank's two-percent target and fuelling expectations of a rate cut.

Fortune

German economy is ‘stuck in stagnation,’ ING says

“The German economy is back where it was a year ago: the growth laggard of the eurozone with few signs of an imminent improvement.”

Barchart

Stocks Set to Open Higher as Investors Await Key U.S. Inflation Data and Fed Speak

December S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESZ24) are up +0.19%, and December Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQZ24) are up +0.25% this morning as market participants looked ahead to speeches from Federal Reserve officials, earnings reports from several notable companies, and the release of the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge later in the…

Barchart

Stocks Set for Muted Open as Investors Await Key U.S. Inflation Data and Fed Speak

December S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESZ24) are up +0.08%, and December Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQZ24) are up +0.16% this morning as market participants looked ahead to speeches from Federal Reserve officials, earnings reports from several notable companies, and the release of the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge later in the…

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