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INSANE: 4 | Vintage Vibes

30-Year Bond Yields Around the World Surge to Critical Warning Levels: The Highest Since 2007

Stubborn inflation, mounting sovereign debt, and wary investor sentiment are pushing 30‑year government bond yields sharply higher across the U.S., Japan, Germany, the U.K., Canada and the eurozone, heralding a new era of elevated borrowing costs and heightened recession risk worldwide.

Eurozone growth forecasts cut amid uncertainty over Trump trade war

Eurozone growth forecasts cut amid uncertainty over Trump trade war

Impact of tariffs demands ‘considerable downgrade’, to 0.9% this year and 1.4% in 2026, says European Commission

The Guardian - UK

Trump Tariffs Force EU To Cut 2025 Eurozone Growth Forecast

Trump Tariffs Force EU To Cut 2025 Eurozone Growth Forecast

The EU on Monday sharply cut its eurozone economic growth forecast for 2025 because of global trade tensions sparked by US President Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs.

International Business Times

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Eurozone grows 0.3% at the start of the year, industrial output soars

Eurozone GDP grew 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025, with strong gains in Ireland and Spain. Employment rose 0.3%, beating forecasts. March industrial output surged 2.6%, the fastest in five years.

German economic sentiment rebounds in May as tariff fears ease

Germany’s economic sentiment rebounded to 25.2 in May, surpassing forecasts amid easing trade tensions and political stability. Eurozone sentiment also improved. Despite weak current conditions, optimism grows across key sectors.

Eurozone recovery stalls as services lose momentum despite manufacturing uptick

Eurozone growth barely advanced in April as services stagnated despite a manufacturing rebound. Cooling inflation boosts hopes for an ECB rate cut, but weak demand and falling confidence cloud the outlook.

Unemployment in the eurozone remains at a record low in March

The amount of citizens out of a job remains historically low, although the eurozone is bracing itself for the effect of US tariffs.

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Eurozone Inflation Holds Above Expectations In April

Eurozone Inflation Holds Above Expectations In April

Inflation in the eurozone remained unchanged in April, staying higher than analysts expected, official data showed on Friday, but was unlikely to sway the European Central Bank from its interest rate-cutting cycle.

International Business Times

Stock Index Futures Gain on U.S.-China Trade Optimism, Jobs Report in Focus

Stock Index Futures Gain on U.S.-China Trade Optimism, Jobs Report in Focus

June S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESM25) are up +0.44%, and June Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQM25) are up +0.30% this morning as sentiment got a boost after China said it is assessing the possibility of trade talks with the U.S., with the focus now shifting to the key U.S. payrolls…

Eurozone Economy Grows More Than Expected Despite US Tariff Turmoil

Eurozone Economy Grows More Than Expected Despite US Tariff Turmoil

The eurozone economy expanded more than expected at the start of the year, official data showed on Wednesday, despite US President Donald Trump's tariffs but global trade tensions threaten more pain and near stagnation in 2025.

International Business Times

Eurozone GDP beats expectations with 0.4% growth in first quarter

Eurozone GDP beats expectations with 0.4% growth in first quarter

The eurozone economy grew 0.4% in Q1 2025, doubling the previous quarter's pace and beating forecasts. Ireland led growth, followed by Spain, while Germany rebounded.

Week ahead: Eurozone inflation, Apple and Meta earnings in focus

Week ahead: Eurozone inflation, Apple and Meta earnings in focus

It is set to be a busy week for financial markets, with key economic data, including the eurozone’s flash inflation figures for April and the US non-farm payrolls, due for release. Additionally, big tech earnings, particularly Apple’s quarterly results, will be closely watched.

Eurozone consumer confidence falls to 18-month lows as tariffs bite

Eurozone consumer confidence falls to 18-month lows as tariffs bite

Eurozone consumer confidence hits 18-month low as US tariffs bite. IMF cuts global growth forecasts while Lagarde urges policy flexibility

Spain to reach NATO's spending goal of 2% of GDP on defense this year

Spain to reach NATO's spending goal of 2% of GDP on defense this year

Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez said Spain will meet NATO’s defense spending target this year as pressure grows on the eurozone’s fourth-largest economy and NATO laggard to boost its military expenditure

The Independent UK

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Markets this week: Global manufacturing PMIs and Tesla earnings in focus

Investors will closely watch the trajectory of global business activity in the manufacturing and services sectors this week. Meanwhile, major US tech companies—including Tesla, Microsoft, and Alphabet—are set to report first-quarter earnings, driving the market movements.

Why economists believe the ECB will keep on cutting interest rates

Economists predict that the ECB will continue its rate-cutting cycle as global trade tensions rise and eurozone growth slows. Markets expect up to 75 basis points of easing by September, pushing the deposit rate down to 1.5%.

ECB's Lagarde: Trade tariffs are a negative shock for the eurozone

Lagarde said the ECB’s rate cut reflected confidence in disinflation and rising growth risks from tariffs, which are set to weigh on demand. The bank dropped its “restrictive” stance and stressed a data-driven, flexible approach.

The Guardian - UK

ECB cuts rates for third time this year as Europe braces for Trump tariffs

Quarter-point cut in main rate to 2.25% aims to tackle slowing eurozone growth and impact of US border taxes

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International Business Times

ECB Ready To Cut Rates Again As Trump Tariffs Shake Eurozone

European Central Bank policymakers look increasingly likely to cut interest rates again on Thursday, with US President Donald Trump's stop-start tariff announcements sowing concern in the eurozone.

ECB set to cut interest rates as insurance against trade tariffs

ECB expected to cut rates by 25bp to 2.25%—its sixth straight reduction—as inflation cools and tariff risks rise. Economists see the move as insurance amid growth shocks and US-EU tensions weighing on sentiment and policy outlook.

Trump the unifier? How Europe could benefit from Trump’s policies

Despite a strong likelihood of the eurozone being hit by a recession by mid-2025, a new report sheds light on how Trump’s policies could boost the bloc’s economic perspectives in the years to come.

International Business Times

Trump Tariff Rollercoaster Complicates ECB Rate Call

US President Donald Trump's on-and-off tariffs have clouded the picture for European Central Bank policymakers meeting this week to decide whether to lower eurozone interest rates again.

Economists slash eurozone growth forecasts as US tariffs shake outlook

Economists are slashing eurozone growth forecasts after Trump’s 20% tariffs on EU exports. Weaker trade, confidence, and investment now dominate outlooks, boosting expectations for ECB rate cuts, with April seen as likely. Inflation risks take a back seat for now.

Dollar Turns Lower on Weak US Economic News

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is down by -0.10%. The dollar today gave up an early advance and turned lower after today’s US job openings and ISM reports were weaker than expected. The dollar is also under pressure due to concerns that US tariffs would derail economic growth. The...

International Business Times

Eurozone Inflation Eases In March As Tariff Threat Looms

Inflation in the eurozone slowed further in March, official data showed on Tuesday, indicating possible breathing room for policymakers despite the threat of turbulence from US trade tariffs.

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