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BIZARRE: Fed funds - What They Never Told You

Forget tariffs and the Iran oil shock—a top economist says the Fed is blind to the real inflation threat

"We have an aggregate demand issue, not a supply disruption issue," says William Luther, an associate professor at Florida Atlantic University.

Fortune

Fed favorite Rick Rieder knows more about the bond market than anyone in America

As he eyes the next Fed chair, nothing’s a bigger deal in Trump’s policy decisions than what makes the bond market thrive or tank.

Fortune

Why are U.S. Bonds and Interest Rates Stuck in Neutral in Early 2026?

The U.S. long bond futures and the TLT ETF have remained within their trading ranges since the October 2023 low. While short-term rates have declined, longer-term interest rates remain elevated in late January 2026.

Barchart

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Platinum Hits $2,128! Time to Chase or Wait for the Dip?

The metals sector is overextended after months of gains driven by tariffs, rate jitters, industrial demand & geopolitics. Early buyers are smiling big, but new entries at these levels? Caution advised: Pullbacks will be coming in hot markets.

Barchart

How keeping down borrowing costs for mortgages and other loans is built into the Fed’s ‘dual mandate’

What’s the point of monetary policy?

The Conversation

Berkshire-Backed Lennar Slides After Weak Q3 Earnings

Buffett's latest bet just reported earnings after a 20% rally. With its bottom line cratering, interest rates will be key to determining Lennar's next move.

MarketBeat

Will Bonds Rally?

The U.S. Federal Reserve’s main monetary policy tool is the control of short-term interest rates through the Fed Funds Rate. The market expects the Fed to reduce rates at the September FOMC meeting, but lowering short-term rates does not guarantee that longer-term interest rates will decline.

Barchart

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Fed Funds Rate To Fall Below 4% In 2025, But Strategist Urges Caution On Predictions: Govs 'Don't Know Any Better Than My 7-Year-Old'

The bond market is aggressively pricing in a Federal Reserve easing cycle that would see two interest rate cuts by the end of this year, pushing the Fed Funds Rate below 4%.

Benzinga

‘Goldilocks’ is ignoring the three bears, Wall Street says

“Another week, another tariff salvo, and another market shrug,” Barclays analyst Christian Keller told clients.

Fortune

Why is the Trend in Bonds Bearish?

The U.S. Federal Reserve conducts monetary policy using the short-term Fed Funds Rate as its most effective tool. Meanwhile, longer-term interest rates are a function of supply and demand and market sentiment.

Barchart

3 Big Reasons Covered Calls Make Sense Now

The combination of high implied volatility along with near record stock prices and stock valuations sets up ideally for selling calls against your stock.

StockNews.com

Yen Carry Trade is Yesterday's News, Seasonal Play is Next Opportunity

Recent concerns about the unwinding of yen carry trades and its potential impact on financial markets have proven less disruptive than anticipated. Despite other countries raising interest rates to combat post-pandemic inflation, Japan has kept borrowing costs low to address its long-term economic stagnation. Although the Bank of Japan (BoJ)…

Barchart

3 Reasons Why AI May Mean Artificially Inflated For Microsoft (MSFT)

Microsoft (MSFT) continues to make new highs. The real question is it too high to keep flying. Caution may be warranted in MSFT.

StockNews.com

Seasonal Downtrend in Interest Rates Gains Momentum

Another Federal Reserve Board meeting has left the Fed Funds rate unchanged at 5.25 to 5.50%. Due to the stickiness of inflation being higher than their 2% target, they have reduced the chances of rate cuts to only once this year instead of the original 3-4 times. The 10-year Treasury…

Barchart

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Barchart

FOMC, CPI and Other Can't Miss Items This Week

This week we have several news releases and other headlines to watch out for with the biggest potential mover being the FOMC release on Wednesday.

Barchart

FOMC, CPR and Other Can't Miss Items This Week

This week we have several news releases and other headlines to watch out for with the biggest potential mover being the FOMC release on Wednesday.

Barchart

PMI's, Job Data and Other Key Things to Watch This Week

This week coming up is a week full of potentially market-moving news. There is Monday PMI data, Jobs data, and Non-Farm payrolls.

StockNews.com

All We Are Saying Is Give Puts A Chance

Lower IV and higher rates make a put purchases more attractive on a richly valued S&P 500.

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International Business Times

Gold Shines, Bitcoin, Stocks Search For Direction Amid Volatility On Wall Street—What Is Next?

One catalyst behind Wall Street's heighten volatility during the week was higher oil prices, growing Middle East tensions, and more robust economic data from China early in the week.

Barchart

Fed Funds, PMI and Other Can't Miss Items This Week

We had some wild trading last week with both CPI and PPI coming in hotter than expected. CPI came in slightly elevated, and the market rallied after some initial selling.

Barchart

The Fed, Earnings and Other Can't Miss Items This Week

Earnings last week proved to be exciting with many companies posting better-than-expected results and their stocks reacting the next session.

Barchart

Carnage in the Bond Market- How Low Can the Long Bond Futures Fall?

The Fed Funds Rate’s rise from zero percent in March 2022 to 5.375% in October 2023 and quantitative tightening to reduce the central bank’s swollen balance sheet have put upward pressure on interest rates, causing bonds to fall. In early October, the U.S. long bond futures fell to the lowest…

Fortune

Two economists from different camps see peril in Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments on inflation and interest rates from Jackson Hole

The Fed chair’s “long way to go” concept is wrongheaded, because at the current clip, inflation is already running near the Fed’s target, say two top economists.

Fortune

Why is the stock market reeling? The Fed is now risking an unnecessary crash landing, according to a noted economist

"I would have expected that the Fed's language around rate hikes would have softened as we got closer to the its goal, but that hasn't happened," says economist Will Luther.

StockNews.com

3 Big Changes Since The S&P 500 Was Trading This High

Higher interest rates and more expensive stock valuations combined with the cheapest implied volatility prices in years sets up ideally for a couple option strategies in SPY.

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