DARK SECRETS: 2 - The Real Truth

Harris embarks on media interview blitz as polls show her tied with Trump

As many as a quarter of US voters say they want to learn more about the vice president ahead of November’s election.

Al Jazeera · Oct 8, 2024

Experts split on who has '24 "advantage"

One month out from Election Day, the race for the White House and control of Congress is as close as it gets

Salon · Oct 5, 2024

Harris leads Trump in the polls – here’s what they really tell us about her chances

Poll data shows that Kamala Harris now leads Donald Trump in the US presidential election campaign. She has an average vote intention score of 48.2%, compared with Trump’s 45.8%, according to FiveThirtyEight, a website that looks at a range of polls.

The Conversation · Sep 27, 2024

Trump-Backed Eric Hovde's chances of winning a Wisconsin Senate seat, according to September polls

The latest surveys still show the Republican trailing incumbent Tammy Baldwin by more than 5 percentage points

Latin Times · Sep 11, 2024

The Trump-Harris debate: Do presidential debates change voter preferences?

Why do presidential debates matter? We look at history and data to find out.

Al Jazeera · Sep 10, 2024

Nate Silver gets heat for election model

X users say the FiveThirtyEight founder made some dubious data choices to boost Trump

Salon · Sep 6, 2024

Kamala Harris now leads in US polls but state-level data puts race on knife-edge

Analysis of 2024 polling and previous elections involving Donald Trump suggests race is still too close to call

The Guardian - UK · Sep 4, 2024

Harris’ win probability falls slightly after Democratic convention and Kennedy withdrawal

The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 48.8–45.0. In my previous US politics article last Sunday, Harris led Trump by 48.8–44.8.

The Conversation · Aug 30, 2024

Democrat Rep. Chris Deluzio's Chances Of Winning Tossup Pennsylvania District

He is battling Republican Rob Mercuri in a district that is nearly evenly split between the two parties

International Business Times · Aug 22, 2024

MAGA Republican Matt Gaetz's chances of surviving his Florida primary against challenger backed by Kevin McCarthy

The only poll appearing in FiveThirtyEight's aggregator has the incumbent with a solid lead over his main rival, Aaron Dimmock

Latin Times · Aug 20, 2024