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EXPLAINED: 7 - The Real Truth

Curtice warns Tories heading for worst ever result ‘by a country mile’

After a series of devastating polls yesterday for the Tories, Britain’s leading polling guru explains how bad things will be on 4 July

The Independent UK

Labour hold four-point lead over SNP – but independence question remains tight

LABOUR hold a four-point lead over the SNP in a new Scotland-only Westminster poll, new data has shown...

The National (Scotland)

Campaign catchup: Farage crossover, Swinney knee-shower, Curtice rhubarb-grower

In today’s newsletter: What a poll showing Reform UK ahead of the Tories means – and what it doesn’t

The Guardian - UK

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‘Uncharted waters’: elections guru Prof Sir John Curtice on 4 July predictions

His exit poll model has previously proved accurate, but ‘we will spend a lot of the day really worrying’, he says

The Guardian - UK

Nigel Farage's Reform UK torpedoes Rishi Sunak getting to 'base camp' to close gap on Labour, says poll expert

Professor of Politics Sir John Curtice stressed that former Tory voters were deserting the party for Reform

Evening Standard

Curtice warns that YouGov poll putting Reform ahead proves ‘things are going backwards’ for Tories

Polling experts are at odds over the accuracy of Reform’s real vote in the election surveys so far

The Independent UK

Thursday briefing: Why public trust in politicians is at rock bottom – and what we can do about it

In today’s newsletter: As confidence in politicians hits a record low, we look at how the public lost their faith in government

The Guardian - UK

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Brexit betrayal: Leave voters turn against UK government over broken promises on borders and economy

Leave support...has basically gone back to being extremely doubtful about our politicians, says polling expert Sir John Curtice

Evening Standard

Professor John Curtice — things you didn’t know about TV's most famous general election expert

All you need to know about Professor John Curtice, the eminent TV general election guru.

WhatToWatch

Brexit driving greater wedge between voters with government trust at all time low, pollster John Curtice warns

Record percentage of people rarely trust any government to prioritise the needs of the country over internal party interests, National Centre of Social Research finds

The Independent UK

Pollster John Curtice’s six types of voter, from Middle Britons to Urban Progressives – which are you?

Professor of politics says the electorate is ‘not just divided between left and right, but also between liberals and authoritarians’

The Independent UK

Nigel Farage live: Two arrested after Reform leader has milkshake thrown at him in Clacton

Farage launches campaign in Essex constituency and announces intention to take over the Tory party

The Independent UK

John Curtice says Nigel Farage could cost Tories up to 60 seats

Farage’s return to frontline politics, first revealed exclusively by The Independent at Monday lunchtime, coincides with devastating new polling figures for Rishi Sunak’s party

The Independent UK

How seriously should we take Scotland's General Election polls?

THE polls have made for pretty torrid viewing for the SNP and pro-independence supporters of late...

The National (Scotland)

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The National (Scotland)

Labour to take most seats in Scotland at General Election, new poll suggests

SCOTTISH Labour are on course to win up to 28 seats at the General Election, a new poll suggests...

The Independent UK

John Curtice warns Sunak his national service plan will not close poll gap with Labour

Exclusive: Top pollsters have warned that the national service plan will not help Rishi Sunak beat Keir Starmer’s Labour

The Independent UK

John Curtice warns Sunak that Tory election victory would ‘biggest turnaround in history’

Leading pollsters believe that Sunak’s monumental task of winning the general election would defy history

The Independent UK

Polling guru John Curtice’s general election prediction for ‘brave or foolhardy’ Rishi Sunak

Polling guru John Curtice gives his views on Rishi Sunak and Sir Keir Starmer’s chances in the general election on 4 July

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The Guardian - UK

Labour gains in leave areas may cut swing needed for overall majority

Analysis reveals voters switching from the Tories in pro-Brexit seats could make a Starmer election victory easier to achieve

The Guardian - UK

Labour are ahead in the polls, but have they won hearts and minds? These charts suggest not

There are signs the party’s polling lead is a bit soft. But with the Tories trailing in leadership and economy, experts are not sure it will matter

Evening Standard

OPINION - If the Tories didn't like last night, they may not enjoy the upcoming local elections

This isn't going to be one of those newsletters that opens with a Tony Blair reference, a convoluted 1990s pop culture storyline or a self-deprecating yet witty personal anecdote. We can leave those at home. Instead, allow me to regurgitate three things the godfather of psephology, Sir John Curtice, said…

The Guardian - UK

Starmer’s £28bn green plan was bungled but Labour still has bold hopes for the country – and the planet

Even if pared back, the party still has the only real growth policy in town, says Guardian columnist Polly Toynbee

The Guardian - UK

Low general election turnout likely with ‘dull as dishwater’ Sunak and Starmer

Polling expert says similarity between two main parties and clear Labour lead also likely to suppress voting numbers

The Independent UK

Rishi Sunak faces triple by-election washout, polling gurus warn

Exclusive: Rishi Sunak has been warned by Britain’s top pollsters that his party faces failure in three upcoming by-elections

The Guardian - UK

Rishi Sunak refuses to criticise Tory MP who said struggling children in his town were ‘products of crap parents’ – UK politics as it happened

Asked if he agreed with MP for Bury North’s comments, PM says it’s important children grow up in household where parents work

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