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DARK SECRETS: Kresearch - The Real Truth

New US tariff could threaten Thai exports

A new US tariff could pose a severe threat to Thai exports in the latter half of this year, causing fresh trade uncertainties, say economists and businesses.

Bangkok Post

Interest rates static as inflation deemed brief

While elevated oil prices have caused inflation to rise, economists expect the Bank of Thailand to maintain its policy interest rate for the rest of 2026, assuming the higher costs will be temporary.

Bangkok Post

Thailand likely to avoid interest rate hike

The Bank of Thailand is expected to keep interest rates steady as the nation lacks significant inflationary pressure, even as some regional central banks hiked rates to cope with rising prices.

Bangkok Post

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Electronics drive export upgrade

Economists recently upgraded Thailand's export growth outlook for 2026, projecting shipments of electronic components will continue to expand amid improving global trade, while elevated oil prices will drive imports to grow at a faster rate.

Bangkok Post

Record April trade deficit as imports rise sharply

The trade deficit hit an all-time high in April of about US$10 billion, as imports surged 45% year-on-year to $41.6 billion, driven by shipments of raw materials, semi-finished products, capital goods, and energy, according to the Trade Policy and Strategy Office (TPSO) under the Ministry of Commerce.

Bangkok Post

Volatile politics set to hit economy

Kasikorn Research Center (K-Research) expects the domestic political situation to be a key factor affecting the Thai economy in the second half of this year.

Bangkok Post

Drowning in debt

Household debt has long been a concern for Thailand, impeding consumer spending and hindering economic growth.

Bangkok Post

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A tall order for the new government

An online entrepreneur using the alias Maddy was among the record turnout of almost 39 million Thais who cast a ballot in the general election earlier this month.

Bangkok Post

Exploring efforts to ease dollar volatility

Regulations have limited growth of yuan-baht trade payment even as the central banks of Thailand and China have encouraged local currency settlement for quite some time.

Bangkok Post

Economists anticipate 0.25% hike

Local economists are predicting the Bank of Thailand will increase its policy rate to a terminal level of 2% this month after estimating the Fed's funds rate has already peaked.

Bangkok Post

Listed banks post flat loan growth

The banking sector is expected to post marginal loan growth in the first quarter this year, attributed to sluggish demand caused by the global economic slowdown and Thailand's uneven economic recovery.

Bangkok Post

Thailand will be 'super-aged' by 2029

Due to a decrease in the population in the past three years, Thailand is expected to become a super-aged society by 2029, according to research conducted by Kasikorn Research Centre (KResearch).

Bangkok Post

Thailand will be 'super-aged' by 2029

Due to a decrease in the population in the past three years, Thailand is expected to become a super-aged society by 2029, according to research conducted by Kasikorn Research Centre (KResearch).

Bangkok Post

BoT poised to raise rate by quarter-point

The Bank of Thailand is expected to raise its policy rate by 0.25 percentage points on Wednesday to contain inflation amid the economic recovery while trying to ease baht volatility, say economists.

Bangkok Post

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Bangkok Post

KResearch projects exports contracting 1.2% this year

Exports are forecast for a deeper contraction of 1.2% this year, attributed to the global economic slowdown and the banking debacle in the US and Europe, according to Kasikorn Research Center (KResearch).

Bangkok Post

Analysts pick modest Fed rate increase

Kasikorn Research Center (KResearch) expects the Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 0.25% on Wednesday to tame inflation as the banking crisis in the US and Europe has eased somewhat.

Bangkok Post

K-Research sees slight dip in debt

Kasikorn Research Center (K-Research) forecasts household debt-to-GDP will decline to 84-86.5% this year from 86.8% in 2022.

Bangkok Post

Fed expected to slow policy rate hikes

The Federal Reserve is expected to raise policy interest rates at a slower pace, by 0.25 percentage points to 4.50-4.75% when it meets on Tuesday and Wednesday, as US inflation continues to weaken, says Kasikorn Research Center (K-Research).

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Bangkok Post

Rise of online payments accelerates march to cashless society

Former magazine editor Kaysinee Sutthavarangkul never used to give much thought to making cashless payments, as it seemed unlikely to her that every transaction could be made online. But she has changed her buying behaviour since the pandemic.

Bangkok Post

Food deliveries set to decline next year

The value of Thailand's food delivery market is expected to decline by between 0.8% and 6.5% next year as people return to a normal lifestyle and eat out more, says Kasikorn Research Center (K-Research).

Bangkok Post

Last-mile delivery set to grow by up to 15%

Thailand's last-mile delivery business is expected to grow 10-15% to 98 billion baht in 2022 despite intense competition and rising fuel costs, says Kasikorn Research Center (K-Research).

Bangkok Post

Oil spike eats into listed firms' profits

Total profits earned by Thai listed companies, excluding the energy sector, will likely shrink by 8.3% this year as soaring oil prices raise production costs in many industries, according to Kasikorn Securities (KS).

Bangkok Post

Economic outlook turns dour as committee meets

All eyes are on the Bank of Thailand as rising inflation, spiking energy prices, a weakened baht and the impact of the war in Ukraine could all combine to influence a revision of key economic figures, especially GDP growth and interest rates, at the central bank's rate-setting committee meeting on…

Bangkok Post

Thai growth rate to take big hit from Russia-Ukraine war

Kasikorn Research Center (K-Research) has slashed its forecast for Thai economic growth this year to 2.5%, mainly as a result of the Russia-Ukraine war.

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