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DARK SECRETS: Kresearch - The Real Truth

What's on tap for the Thai shrimp industry?

The shrimp industry has become a hot topic for the government after Malaysia suspended imports of Thai shrimp on June 1. Although this trade dispute may soon be resolved following meetings in early July, Thailand's shrimp industry continues to grapple with a longstanding and more significant challenge that has persisted…

Bangkok Post

Home loans to stay weak in 2026 on flat confidence

Mortgage lending is expected to remain weak this year as persistently high loan rejection rates continue to weigh on home transfers, while weak consumer confidence is prompting more buyers to withdraw from purchases despite having secured financing.

Bangkok Post

Bond market shrinks as investors mull quality

Thailand's corporate bond market contracted during the first five months of 2026 as investors became increasingly selective amid concerns over credit quality, higher funding costs and a fragile economic outlook.

Bangkok Post

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Baht slide continues as BoT likely to hold interest rate

The baht is likely to continue its depreciation trend in the near term after falling below 33 to the dollar, unless the Bank of Thailand sends a hawkish signal on Wednesday about a potential interest rate increase, says Kasikorn Research Center.

Bangkok Post

Bank of Thailand set to hold firm on its policy rate

The Bank of Thailand (BoT) is widely expected to leave its benchmark policy rate unchanged at 1% at Wednesday's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, with research houses noting that subdued inflationary pressures and heightened external uncertainties warrant a steady stance.

Bangkok Post

K-Research sees H2 nadir, then a stimulus rebound

Kasikorn Research Center (K-Research) expects the Thai economy to bottom out in the second half of this year, gradually recovering in the third quarter driven by government stimulus measures.

Bangkok Post

Foreign condo purchases projected to dip 20% this year

Kasikorn Research Center (K-Research) forecasts foreign purchases of condo units will decline by 20% this year, marking the first annual contraction since the pandemic.

Bangkok Post

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Middle East conflict hits hard disk drive shipments

Thailand's hard disk drive (HDD) exports to the Middle East are expected to contract by 18% to US$79 million this year as the Iran conflict disrupts maritime shipping and weighs on regional trade, according to Kasikorn Research Center (K-Research).

Bangkok Post

New US tariff could threaten Thai exports

A new US tariff could pose a severe threat to Thai exports in the latter half of this year, causing fresh trade uncertainties, say economists and businesses.

Bangkok Post

Interest rates static as inflation deemed brief

While elevated oil prices have caused inflation to rise, economists expect the Bank of Thailand to maintain its policy interest rate for the rest of 2026, assuming the higher costs will be temporary.

Bangkok Post

Thailand likely to avoid interest rate hike

The Bank of Thailand is expected to keep interest rates steady as the nation lacks significant inflationary pressure, even as some regional central banks hiked rates to cope with rising prices.

Bangkok Post

Electronics drive export upgrade

Economists recently upgraded Thailand's export growth outlook for 2026, projecting shipments of electronic components will continue to expand amid improving global trade, while elevated oil prices will drive imports to grow at a faster rate.

Bangkok Post

Record April trade deficit as imports rise sharply

The trade deficit hit an all-time high in April of about US$10 billion, as imports surged 45% year-on-year to $41.6 billion, driven by shipments of raw materials, semi-finished products, capital goods, and energy, according to the Trade Policy and Strategy Office (TPSO) under the Ministry of Commerce.

Bangkok Post

Volatile politics set to hit economy

Kasikorn Research Center (K-Research) expects the domestic political situation to be a key factor affecting the Thai economy in the second half of this year.

Bangkok Post

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Drowning in debt

Household debt has long been a concern for Thailand, impeding consumer spending and hindering economic growth.

Bangkok Post

A tall order for the new government

An online entrepreneur using the alias Maddy was among the record turnout of almost 39 million Thais who cast a ballot in the general election earlier this month.

Bangkok Post

Exploring efforts to ease dollar volatility

Regulations have limited growth of yuan-baht trade payment even as the central banks of Thailand and China have encouraged local currency settlement for quite some time.

Bangkok Post

Economists anticipate 0.25% hike

Local economists are predicting the Bank of Thailand will increase its policy rate to a terminal level of 2% this month after estimating the Fed's funds rate has already peaked.

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Bangkok Post

Listed banks post flat loan growth

The banking sector is expected to post marginal loan growth in the first quarter this year, attributed to sluggish demand caused by the global economic slowdown and Thailand's uneven economic recovery.

Bangkok Post

Thailand will be 'super-aged' by 2029

Due to a decrease in the population in the past three years, Thailand is expected to become a super-aged society by 2029, according to research conducted by Kasikorn Research Centre (KResearch).

Bangkok Post

Thailand will be 'super-aged' by 2029

Due to a decrease in the population in the past three years, Thailand is expected to become a super-aged society by 2029, according to research conducted by Kasikorn Research Centre (KResearch).

Bangkok Post

BoT poised to raise rate by quarter-point

The Bank of Thailand is expected to raise its policy rate by 0.25 percentage points on Wednesday to contain inflation amid the economic recovery while trying to ease baht volatility, say economists.

Bangkok Post

KResearch projects exports contracting 1.2% this year

Exports are forecast for a deeper contraction of 1.2% this year, attributed to the global economic slowdown and the banking debacle in the US and Europe, according to Kasikorn Research Center (KResearch).

Bangkok Post

Analysts pick modest Fed rate increase

Kasikorn Research Center (KResearch) expects the Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 0.25% on Wednesday to tame inflation as the banking crisis in the US and Europe has eased somewhat.

Bangkok Post

K-Research sees slight dip in debt

Kasikorn Research Center (K-Research) forecasts household debt-to-GDP will decline to 84-86.5% this year from 86.8% in 2022.

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