Why has inflation shot up and where will it go from here? Experts are predicting further inflation pain later this year caused by the ongoing Middle East conflict. Evening Standard · Aug 19
UK 'On Brink' Of Recession — 250,000 People Could Lose Jobs By Mid-2027 Due To Iran War EY Item Club warns the UK will 'flirt with recession' as the Iran conflict oil shock pushes unemployment to 5.8 per cent and halves GDP growth forecast. International Business Times UK · Apr 20
UK to narrowly avoid recession and jobless rate to surge, Item Club warns The independent forecasting group said interest rates will remain on hold in 2026 despite soaring inflation caused by the Iran war. Evening Standard · Apr 19
Quarter of a million people could lose their jobs by 2027 as UK ‘flirts with recession’ The job market will endure its ‘biggest hit since the pandemic’ The Independent UK · Apr 19
UK growth to slow and business investment to contract amid tax hikes – report The EY Item Club is forecasting growth to pull back to 0.9% in 2026 and for business investment to contract by 0.2%. Evening Standard · Feb 2
Bank of England ready to cut interest rates as jobs market slows, experts say The Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is widely expected to reduce the base rate by 0.25 percentage points to 4% on Thursday. Evening Standard · Aug 6, 2025
Bank of England forecast to cut interest rates amid rising unemployment and Trump tariffs City predicts quarter-point drop to 4% when MPC meets on Thursday The Guardian - UK · Aug 3, 2025
Why has inflation risen unexpectedly and what does it mean for households? Official data showed Consumer Prices Index inflation rose to 3.6% in June, up from 3.4% in May and the highest since January 2024. The Independent UK · Jul 16, 2025
Labour Government borrows almost £15bn more than expected The Labour Government borrowed almost £15 billion more than forecast in the last financial year, according to official figures ... The National (Scotland) · Apr 23, 2025
UK Government borrowing exceeds forecast as tariffs to weigh on public purse The latest figures from the Office for National Statistics show public sector net borrowing rose to £151.9 billion in the year to the end of March. Evening Standard · Apr 23, 2025
Wage growth accelerates despite flagging jobs market Official figures revealed that average regular pay surged again, to 5.6% in the three months to November. Evening Standard · Jan 21, 2025
Reeves may have to U-turn over no more tax rises, warn economists Dramatic economic slowdown means chancellor could face lower receipts and higher borrowing costs in 2025 The Guardian - UK · Dec 20, 2024
Bank of England holds interest rates at 4.75% but says UK economy stagnating The Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee said it was keeping rates unchanged on Thursday following a divided vote among policymakers. Evening Standard · Dec 19, 2024
Growth in UK construction sector slows amid housebuilding decline The latest S&P Global construction purchasing managers’ index (PMI) scored 54.3 in October, down from 57.2 in the previous month. Evening Standard · Nov 6, 2024
Evening Standard · Oct 23, 2024 UK economic growth forecasts downgraded for next two years – economists EY Item Club’s latest quarterly economic forecast points towards 0.9% growth in 2024.