THE TRUTH ABOUT: 10 | History Defined

Let’s face it – we’re addicted to polls, even if they’ve got things so wrong in the past

CAMPAIGN DIARY: Dennis Atkins lays out a guide to what the polls have told us and what we might learn in the last hours of this exhausting campaign.

The New Daily · May 20, 2022

Newspoll and Ipsos both give Labor clear leads in final polls; counting of early votes

The federal election is on Saturday. Polls close at 6pm local time; that means 6pm AEST in the eastern states, 6:30pm in SA and the NT and 8pm in WA. 124 of the 151 House of Representatives seats are in the eastern time zone, 12 combined in SA and the…

The Conversation · May 20, 2022

Labor's lead narrows in three new national polls; and seat polls galore

The final Resolve poll for Nine newspapers, conducted May 12-17 from a sample of 2,049, gave Labor just a 52-48 lead by 2019 election preferences, a two-point gain for the Coalition since last fortnight’s Resolve. By respondent preferences, Labor’s lead was narrower at 51-49, a three-point gain for the Coalition.

The Conversation · May 18, 2022

Labor's lead steady in Newspoll and gains in Resolve; how the polls moved during past campaigns

This week’s Newspoll, conducted April 27-30 from a sample of 1,538, gave Labor a 53-47 lead, unchanged since last week. Primary votes were 38% Labor (up one), 36% Coalition (steady), 11% Greens (steady), 5% One Nation (up two), 4% UAP (steady) and 6% for all Others (down three).

The Conversation · May 2, 2022

View from The Hill: Labor strongly ahead in Newspoll and Resolve, as election race enters final half

Labor’s confidence will be boosted by two polls showing it holding a strong lead, as Anthony Albanese carried off a well-orchestrated party launch in Perth on Sunday.

The Conversation · May 1, 2022

Labor retains clear Newspoll lead and large Ipsos lead as record number of candidates nominate

This week’s Newspoll, conducted April 20-23 from a sample of 1,538, gave Labor a 53-47 lead, unchanged from last week. Primary votes were 37% Labor (up one), 36% Coalition (up one), 11% Greens (down one), 4% UAP (steady), 3% One Nation (down one) and 9% for all Others (steady).

The Conversation · Apr 26, 2022

Labor maintains election-winning leads in Newspoll and Ipsos, as opposition to unveil Pacific initiatives

Labor has maintained unchanged its solid two-party leads in both Newspoll and the Australian Financial Review’s Ipsos poll.

The Conversation · Apr 25, 2022

Explainer: how to read political polls - and why we can expect a lot of drama on election night

The single most important measure in Australian election polls is the two-party preferred vote (2PP). It captures the two central characteristics of Australian House of Representatives elections: that it is a preferential voting system, in which the flow of preferences can be crucial in determining who wins a seat; and…

The Conversation · Apr 20, 2022

Labor still has clear lead in Newspoll and Resolve, but Albanese’s ratings slump

This week’s Newspoll, conducted April 14-17 from a sample of 1,510, gave Labor a 53-47 lead, unchanged since last week. Primary votes were 36% Labor (down one), 35% Coalition (down one), 12% Greens (up two), 4% One Nation (up one), 4% UAP (steady) and 9% for all Others (down one).

The Conversation · Apr 19, 2022

View from The Hill: Labor holds 53-47% lead but Albanese takes a hit in Newspoll

Labor has clung to its 53-47% two-party lead in the latest Newspoll, but Anthony Albanese’s ratings have taken a knock after his error-prone first week of the campaign.

The Conversation · Apr 18, 2022