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UNCOVERED: Niesr - The Untold Story

Iran War Shock Leaves UK Policymakers Trapped Between Inflation and Recession Risks

The UK economy is threatened by a £35bn loss due to rising energy prices from the Iran conflict, risking recession and high inflation, warns NIESR.

International Business Times UK

UK economy faces £35bn blow and recession risk amid Iran war energy crisis

IN FULL

The Independent UK

UK faces £35bn hit and risk of recession this year over impact of Iran war, thinktank warns

Niesr says even under best-case scenario, economy would grow at slower pace in 2026 and 2027 because of conflict

The Guardian - UK

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UK economy set for £35bn hit from Middle East energy crisis, think tank says

The National Institute of Economic and Social Research said the UK could enter a recession this year if the crisis is particularly protracted.

Evening Standard

Middle East energy crisis could wipe £35bn off UK economy – even in best-case scenario, think tank warns

Impact of Donald Trump’s Iran war a ‘serious blow’ to Keir Starmer’s economic hopes

The Independent UK

UK interest rates could go back above 4% if energy shock persists, Niesr warns

The National Institute of Economic and Social Research said the Bank of England will have to contend with a ‘shock’ to energy costs.

Evening Standard

Zero net migration would shrink UK economy by 3.6%, says thinktank

Jump of £37bn in budget deficit by 2040 would force government to increase taxes, NIESR predicts

The Guardian - UK

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Net zero migration would require major tax rises to plug £37bn black hole, experts warn

Leading economic think tank predicts that net zero migration would lead to slower employment growth and a smaller workforce, causing a decline in overall GDP growth

The Independent UK

Younger and lower-paid workers hit hardest by rising labour costs, figures show

Higher labour costs have raised the marginal cost of hiring by around 7%, in real terms, for an entry level position, Niesr found.

Evening Standard

Reaching net zero migration would squeeze public finances, warns think tank

If net migration stayed positive, a larger working-age population would broaden the tax base and help stabilise the debt to GDP ratio, Niesr said.

Evening Standard

Reeves accused of misleading public on Budget black hole to justify £26bn tax raid

Badenoch claims chancellor ‘lied to the public’ and was ‘bribing Labour MPs to save her own skin’

The Independent UK

Chancellor under rising pressure amid warning UK finance blackhole must be plugged ‘with 2p income tax hike’

Rachel Reeves has given strong indications she will break Labour’s manifesto promise not to raise taxes on “working people” at her Budget on November 26

Evening Standard

Thinktanks urge Rachel Reeves to overhaul ‘broken’ tax system

Coalition says ‘arbitrary and nonsensical’ rules are penalising work and discouraging investment

The Guardian - UK

Income tax hike of at least 2p likely needed to plug Budget hole, warns Niesr

The economic think tank said the Chancellor needed to make ‘brave choices’ at the upcoming November 26 Budget.

Evening Standard

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The Independent UK

Budget 2025: Experts reveal which tax increase will have ‘least damaging’ impact

Economic analysis has revealed whether a income tax or VAT increase will be the better option for the economy

Evening Standard

Raising income tax is ‘least damaging’ option for Reeves, says think tank

An economic think tank analysed the economic impact of raising income tax, corporation tax and value added tax (VAT).

The Independent UK

Starmer faces cabinet revolt over Budget tax rises that could drive wealthy away

‘The trouble is we have crossed a line in trying to encourage aspiration. The non-dom change and the VAT on school fees have sent the opposite message,’ minister tells The Independent

International Business Times UK

Reeves Blocks Wealth Tax Plan: Defies Labour Hopeful, Gambles with Public Finance Chaos

Chancellor Rachel Reeves blocks wealth tax, defying Labour MPs, risking £50B fiscal chaos. Can she balance the Budget without breaking promises?

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The Independent UK

Reeves warned she will have to break manifesto commitment on tax to deal with economic black hole

Leading economists have questioned strategy of ‘fiddling around’ with new small taxes – such as the mansion and gambling taxes – to avoid economic crisis

The Guardian - UK

The Guardian view on Labour’s feelgood economy: it’s not for everyone – especially the poorest

Editorial: Ministers boast of rising wages. But for low earners, the cost of living crisis endures – with food and rent inflation erasing any pay gains

The Guardian - UK

Both left and right agree taxes must rise. Time for Labour to get creative

The faux row will be ear-splitting whether Reeves takes a lot or a little. Scepticism about a wealth tax is rising, but there are many ways to skin fat cats, says Guardian columnist Polly Toynbee

Evening Standard

Labour's plans to tax people's savings accounts explained

New legislation will see workers taxed directly from their pay packets

The Guardian - UK

Keir Starmer plays down warnings that taxes will have to be raised in autumn

PM says he doesn’t recognise some figures in independent forecast that projects £51bn shortfall in public finances

The Independent UK

Starmer dodges tax question ahead of autumn budget

IN FULL

The Independent UK

Starmer opens door to income tax rise in autumn Budget as pressure to fill £50bn hole mounts

Labour prime minister pledged that plans to be set out in the autumn would make ‘sure people feel better off’

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