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HISTORICAL FACTS: 3 - Caught on Camera

Heavy Labour losses in May could decide Starmer’s future – expert

Gains in London councils such as Westminster or Barnet could help shore up Kemi Badenoch’s position as Conservative leader, an expert said.

The Independent UK

The Guardian view on May 2026 elections: a new political geography is coming into view across Britain

Editorial: Over the holiday period, the Guardian leader column is looking ahead at the themes of 2026. Today we look at the impact of devolution on growing volatility of party political allegiance

The Guardian - UK

Welsh first minister vows to keep Labour ‘most successful democratic party on the planet’

Eluned Morgan says Welsh Labour would retain crown, despite polls indicating Reform UK and Plaid Cymru could win more seats in elections

The Guardian - UK

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Keir Starmer planning new king’s speech after May elections

Timing seen as moment to reset after potential loss of hundreds of council seats in England and defeat in Wales and Scotland

The Guardian - UK

UK politics: Trump talks ‘complete nonsense’ about crime in London, says Met police commissioner – as it happened

Mark Rowley says capital is a safe city, and claims of no-go areas are ‘completely false’

The Guardian - UK

Farage and the Tory right will unite because they want power. Will the left just stand by?

It’s time for a harsh reality check. A progressive bloc of parties refusing to see a common threat risks disaster, says Neal Lawson of Compass

The Guardian - UK

Leaders hope budget funding will boost Labour in next year’s Scotland and Wales elections

Scottish Labour’s Anas Sarwar and the Welsh first minister, Eluned Morgan, both face humiliating defeat in next year’s elections, according to polling

The Guardian - UK

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Plaid Cymru accuses First Minister of having ‘no influence’ on UK Government

Eluned Morgan came under scrutiny in the Welsh Parliament ahead of the Budget on Wednesday.

Evening Standard

Reform’s Welsh hopes damaged after Senedd member suspended for ‘vile’ racial slur

Parliament suspends Laura Anne Jones, Reform’s only Senedd member, for two weeks in further blow after party lost Caerphilly byelection

The Guardian - UK

Why did the polls get the Caerphilly byelection wrong? They ignored the fact Reform is an English nationalist party

The results of the Caerphilly Senedd byelection held on October 23 were certainly a shock to Labour and to the Conservatives, but they also cast doubt on the reliability of polling as well. It had for some time appeared that Reform was in the running to win the seat but…

The Conversation

SNP and Plaid would resist ‘consuming of UK politics by far-right’, says Swinney

The Scottish First Minister met Plaid Cymru leader Rhun ap Iorwerth at Bute House in Edinburgh on Thursday.

Evening Standard

SNP and Plaid Cymru seek to give voters a ‘positive alternative’ to Westminster

SNP leader and Scottish First Minister John Swinney will hold talks with Plaid Cymru leader Rhun ap Iorwerth in Edinburgh on Thursday.

The Independent UK

Could tactical voting block Reform in future elections? Lessons from the Caerphilly byelection

Plaid Cymru’s overwhelming victory in the recent Caerphilly Senedd byelection shattered over a century of political tradition. Lindsay Whittle took the seat with 15,691 votes. Labour, which had held the seat since it was created, came away with just 3,713 votes.

The Conversation

Nigel Farage could be denied a Commons majority by tactical voting, says polling expert

But Reform UK set to be the largest party in the Commons after the next election, according to polls

Evening Standard

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International Business Times UK

Shocking Spray-Paint Slur: How 'F* Off Home' Message Rocked Reform UK After By-Election Loss?

Spray-paint slur hits Reform UK's Caerphilly office after by-election defeat. Powell condemns 'dark tricks' as Plaid Cymru claims victory.

Evening Standard

Shadow home secretary fails to name leader of Welsh Conservatives five times

Chris Philp was asked the question during an interview on GB News.

The Guardian - UK

Local election wipeout would see off Starmer, MPs say after Caerphilly rout

Crushing defeat in Welsh byelection triggers renewed outpouring of anger and concern within Labour

The Independent UK

‘Disappointed’ Starmer in firing line over historic by-election defeat for Labour in Caerphilly

‘We clearly need to do much more’ admits prime minister

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The Guardian - UK

The Guardian view on the Caerphilly byelection: Labour’s collapse in its Welsh heartland signals a wider loss

Editorial: Plaid Cymru’s win in Caerphilly marks more than a local upset. It exposes the exhaustion of Labour’s moral imagination – and a deeper British crisis of purpose

The Conversation

Plaid Cymru’s staggeringly large victory in Caerphilly is a warning to both Labour and Reform

If any seat has a claim to be part of Labour’s electoral heartland, it is Caerphilly. Labour’s electoral dominance there reaches all the way back to the creation of the constituency in the 1918 UK general election, when Alfred Onions became the the first of many Caerphilly Labour MPs. This…

The Guardian - UK

Caerphilly byelection a triumph of positivity over division, says Plaid Cymru leader

Rhun ap Iorwerth says party’s win was more than just rejection of immigration-obsessed Reform or rudderless Labour

The Guardian - UK

‘Reform didn’t have any idea about south Wales’: Plaid Cymru supporters celebrate byelection win

Welsh nationalists secured a hefty 47% of votes in what had been framed as a close two-horse race against Reform

The Independent UK

Reform-led council slammed over plan to spend £75,000 on flags

The 164 flags are set to be displayed across 82 locations, costing Nottinghamshire council £475 each

The Independent UK

What does Plaid Cymru stand for?

Plaid Cymru’s leader Rhun ap Iorwerth has hailed the by-election result as ‘real evidence’ that people are putting their ‘faith’ in the party

The Guardian - UK

Reform swaggered into Caerphilly, ready for a coronation. An unpleasant surprise lay in store

Predictions of a Reform win were wide of the mark. But Labour’s crushing byelection defeat offers important lessons too, says Guardian columnist Will Hayward

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