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THE TRUTH ABOUT: 4 - The Untold Story

CEA warns of looming oil and rate pressures in India’s H2, sees Q2 growth at 7.3%

Chief Economic Adviser V Anantha Nageswaran noted that the second half of the fiscal year would be challenging. Rising oil prices and increased global growth risks create a tougher economic environment for India. The economy saw a 7.8% GDP growth in the first quarter, backed by strong indicators like GST…

The Economic Times · Sep 30

Crisil lifts India FY27 growth forecast to 7% on strong H1 momentum

Crisil has raised its GDP growth forecast for India in FY27 to 7%, reflecting strong domestic demand. Resilient consumer spending and government investment are key factors supporting this growth projection. However, potential inflation risks from a strengthening El Nino and elevated energy prices may pose challenges. The Reserve Bank of…

The Economic Times · Sep 30

India Inc can weather 50 bps rate hike, El Nino impact: Crisil

Crisil Ratings stated that India Inc will manage the expected 0.50 percentage point rate hike. The agency also indicated that rural demand would remain unaffected by weather-related shortfalls. Credit performance outlook is stable despite geopolitical tensions from Middle Eastern conflicts. Growth in the banking system's credit and overall corporate credit…

The Economic Times · Sep 30

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India's net claims of non-residents rise to USD 220.3 billion in June 2026: RBI

Net claims of non-residents on India increased significantly in the first quarter of FY26-27. The rise was driven by an increase in external liabilities and a decline in foreign-owned assets. Total international financial assets also decreased during this period, affecting the asset-to-liability coverage ratio. Foreign direct investment liabilities rose while…

The Economic Times · Sep 30

India’s external debt rises to $778.2 billion in June quarter: RBI

India's total external debt rose by USD 15.4 billion to reach USD 778.2 billion by June 2026. The external debt-to-GDP ratio showed a slight improvement, decreasing to 20.8 percent. Long-term obligations grew to USD 624.7 billion, while short-term debt slightly increased to 19.7 percent of overall external debt.

The Economic Times · Sep 30

India bonds end choppy quarter at over 2-year lows as rate hike bets mount

Indian government bonds closed the quarter at their weakest levels in more than two years. Fluctuations in oil prices and rising global yields influenced market conditions significantly. Anticipations regarding rate increases by the Reserve Bank of India affected bond supply fears after increased long-term bond issuance. India's inflation rate in…

The Economic Times · Sep 30

October 2026 holiday list: Check when schools, banks and government offices will remain closed for festivals

October 2026 full holiday list includes national and festival-related holidays for schools and banks across India. Gandhi Jayanti falls on October 2, while Dussehra, Vijayadashami, Maharishi Valmiki Jayanti and Karva Chauth are among the other important dates. School breaks will differ by state and institution, while bank closures will also…

The Economic Times · Sep 30

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Rupee lingers around bottom of Asia FX pile as global headwinds deepen

The Indian rupee has experienced a decline impacted by elevated crude prices and increasing global bond yields. During the last quarter, the currency fell 1.2%, and monthly losses reached 0.7%. Despite the downturn, the Reserve Bank of India managed to stabilize the rupee through interventions and support measures. Analysts expect…

The Economic Times · Sep 30

SGB premature redemption dates in October 2026: Check tranche-wise dates and request deadlines

Sovereign Gold Bond (SGB): In a recent announcement, the Reserve Bank of India disclosed the premature redemption dates for Sovereign Gold Bonds, spanning from October 2026 to March 2027. Investors should be aware of the allocated timeframes for submitting their redemption applications.

The Economic Times · Sep 30

Will RBI rate hikes intensify selloff in bank stocks? Analysts explain why fears may be overdone

Bank shares have endured steep declines as investors brace for imminent interest rate hikes from the RBI. Some analysts suggest that the recent selloff may be excessive, presenting an opportunity to pick up quality stocks at lower prices. The forthcoming Monetary Policy Committee meeting will clarify the scope of any…

The Economic Times · Sep 30

Has government increased SSY, PPF, NSC, other small savings schemes' interest rates for October-December 2026 quarter?

The Ministry of Finance has announced that the interest rates for small savings schemes will remain steady for the next quarter. This decision comes after two years of rate stability since December 2024. The review took into account inflation and bond yields, which hinted at possible rate increases. However, the…

The Economic Times · Sep 30

RBI may raise repo rate by 100 bps through H1 2027: BofA Securities

Bank of America Securities has revised its forecast for the Reserve Bank of India’s interest rate hikes. It now anticipates a total increase of 100 basis points by mid-2027. The first hike is expected during the monetary policy meeting in October. Economic growth remains strong, while inflation risks are increasing,…

The Economic Times · Sep 30

D-Street set for a cautious opening as GIFT Nifty signals muted start

Nifty fell significantly, closing at 22,716 after hitting a six-month low during the trading session. Foreign investors continued selling shares, contributing to market volatility, while domestic institutions showed buying interest. The rupee settled marginally higher due to RBI interventions and falling oil prices. Immediate support levels are identified around 22550-22500,…

The Economic Times · Sep 30

Noel Tata says Tata Sons' proposed restructuring complies with RBI rules, could avoid listing

Tata Trusts, led by Noel Tata, has proposed merging two companies with Tata Sons to prevent a public listing. This restructuring aims to address new Reserve Bank of India requirements without exposing Tata Sons to market scrutiny. By enhancing the revenue composition, the Trusts believe they can change Tata Sons'…

The Economic Times · Sep 29

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The Economic Times · Sep 29

India 10-year bond snaps four-day losing run as US yields ease

On Tuesday, Indian government bonds rebounded, marking the end of a four-day downturn spurred by softer US Treasury yields and declining crude oil prices. Despite this rally, apprehensions linger over persistently high global yields and the risk of inflation. The Reserve Bank of India may soon increase rates, complicating the…

The Economic Times · Sep 29

RBI may face two hikes, one dilemma as repo rate is seen hitting 5.75% soon: Report

The Reserve Bank of India is projected to increase its repo rate by 25 basis points in October and December. Inflationary pressures, primarily from food and energy prices, are influencing this expected change. Nomura forecasts consumer inflation rising before gradually declining over the next few quarters. Economists predict this rate…

The Economic Times · Sep 29

BSE shares rise 2% ahead of Nifty 50 entry tomorrow. Top brokerages share mixed outlook

BSE shares rose ahead of their Nifty 50 inclusion, with the move expected to trigger significant passive fund inflows. While Macquarie remains bullish on BSE’s growth prospects, Jefferies and Nuvama flag regulatory changes, CAS and trading-related headwinds.

The Economic Times · Sep 29

Nifty Bank crashes 1,800 points in 2 days, slips below 54K for first time in 4 months. What’s next?

Banking stocks have come under heavy pressure, with the Nifty Bank index plunging nearly 1,800 points in two days and slipping below 54,000 for the first time since early June. The selloff has been driven by concerns over potential RBI rate hikes and rising bond yields.

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The Economic Times · Sep 29

Tata Chemicals, Tata Motors PV, other Tata stocks slide up to 4% as Tata Sons rejig clouds listing prospects

Tata group stocks declined after Tata Trusts proposed restructuring Tata Sons to potentially remove its NBFC and CIC classification, which could allow the holding company to remain private and ease regulatory requirements linked to a listing.

The Economic Times · Sep 29

Best dynamic bond funds to invest in September 2026

If you are planning to invest for three to five years, but don’t want to take a call on interest rates, you can bet on dynamic bond funds. Kotak Dynamic Bond Fund, one of the recommended schemes, has been in the third quartile for the last 30 months. ICICI Prudential…

The Economic Times · Sep 28

Ahead of Market: 10 things that will decide stock market action on Tuesday

Indian equities plunged on Monday as the Sensex fell 1,124 points and Nifty dropped over 360 points, wiping out nearly Rs 8 lakh crore in market value. Surging oil prices, bond yields, geopolitical tensions and rate-hike concerns drove broad-based selling.

The Economic Times · Sep 28

India 10-year yield scales two-year high as supply, global rout bite

On Monday, Indian government bond yields rose due to increasing global yields and domestic supply concerns. The benchmark 10-year bond yield reached its highest level since April 2024 at 7.1848%. Traders are reacting to India's borrowing calendar which shifted toward longer maturity bonds, increasing duration risk. Additionally, fears of more…

The Economic Times · Sep 28

RBI completes 1 trillion rupee net debt sale for first time in a decade

In a historic move, India's central bank has recorded net sales of bonds amounting to 1 trillion rupees this financial year. With predictions suggesting this figure may double by December, market analysts anticipate stricter monetary policies. The Reserve Bank of India has also reduced liquidity in the banking system, responding…

The Economic Times · Sep 28

RBI may shift govt borrowing towards shorter tenures in H2

The RBI is expected to tilt the government’s borrowing towards shorter-tenure bonds in the second half of FY27 as surplus banking liquidity remains elevated. Traders expect short-term securities to account for 35% of borrowing, up from 31% in the first half, while strong demand for 5-7 year bonds could shape…

The Economic Times · Sep 28

Motilal Oswal sees 4 factors boosting risk-reward after market’s sharp fall from 2024 high, lists 27 stock picks

Motilal Oswal Financial Services sees improving risk-reward for Indian equities as valuations cool, earnings recover and domestic liquidity remains strong. The brokerage also highlights sectoral rotation and names 27 stocks across large-, mid- and small-cap segments as top ideas.

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