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DARK SECRETS: 2 | Vintage Vibes

Labor leads in two Victorian state polls, but Premier Jacinta Allan’s approval tanks

Labor leads in Victorian state polls by Newspoll and Redbridge, but Premier Jacinta Allan is very unpopular. Two federal polls give Labor big leads and a Tasmanian poll suggests Tasmanians would support Labor seeking to form a government with the Greens and independents.

The Conversation

Final counting shows polls understated Labor in 2025 election almost as much as they overstated it in 2019

With almost all primary votes now counted to two-party preferred (as I explained on May 29), Labor has won the national two-party vote by a 55.3–44.7 margin, although this may drop to a 55.2–44.8 margin once the remaining votes from Bradfield come in.

The Conversation

The polls were off in Australia’s election – but it’s the uniformity that has experts really asking questions

While there is growing transparency in the industry, issues such as sample sourcing, response rates and weighting still present challenges

The Guardian - AU

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Major YouGov poll has Labor easily winning a majority of seats in election

A YouGov MRP poll has Labor clearly winning a majority of seats in the federal election – 84 of the 150 seats in the House of Representatives.

The Conversation

Politics with Michelle Grattan: pollster Kos Samaras on how voters are leaving the major parties behind

As we enter the final days of campaigning, Labor leads with its nose in front on most polls, but the devil is in the detail of particular seats.

The Conversation

Newspoll shows Labor’s lead steady at 52–48

While last week’s Morgan and YouGov polls had Labor continuing its surge, Newspoll is steady for the fourth successive week at 52–48 to Labor. A Redbridge poll of the marginal seats was again very strong for Labor, while YouGov and KJC seat polls were respectively good and bad for Labor.

The Conversation

Labor’s poll surge continues in YouGov, but it’s barely ahead in Freshwater

Labor increased its lead again in a YouGov poll, but Freshwater put the party ahead by just 50.3–49.7. This article also covers the final WA upper house results for the March 8 election.

The Conversation

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The trend is in, but Australian voters’ views are soft and fragmented – how should we read the polls?

After the 2019 election result confounded the polling, research companies went back to the drawing board. But a changing electorate poses ever knottier challenges

The Guardian - AU

Newspoll steady but Albanese’s ratings jump; swing to Labor in marginal seats

A national Newspoll, conducted April 7–10 from a sample of 1,271, gave Labor a 52–48 lead, unchanged since the March 31 to April 4 Newspoll. Primary votes were 35% Coalition (down one), 33% Labor (steady), 12% Greens (steady), 8% One Nation (up one) and 12% for all Others (steady).

The Conversation

Labor gains 5-point lead in a YouGov poll, taken during Trump tariff chaos

A national YouGov poll, conducted April 4–10 from a sample of 1,505, gave Labor a 52.5–47.5 lead, a 1.5-point gain for Labor since the March 28 to April 3 YouGov poll. This is Labor’s best result in YouGov for 18 months, and slightly better for Labor than the 2022 election…

The Conversation

'I'm a fighter': premier to box on after 'grim' polling

Jacinta Allan is wearing the unwanted crown of Australia's most unpopular leader, with polling suggesting she could be a drag on Labor's federal election hopes.

AAP

Labor gains 52–48 lead in Newspoll and Redbridge as poll trend to Labor continues

A national Newspoll, conducted March 31 to April 4 from a sample of 1,250, gave Labor a 52–48 lead, a one-point gain for Labor since the March 27–29 post-budget Newspoll. This is Labor’s biggest lead in Newspoll since May 2024. This poll was mostly taken before Donald Trump’s tariff announcement…

The Conversation

Labor gains lead in post-budget Newspoll; would be one seat short of majority in YouGov MRP poll

Labor’s regaining of polling momentum has continued into the first week of the formal election campaign. A national Newspoll, conducted March 27–29 from a sample of 1,249, gave Labor a 51–49 lead, a two-point gain for Labor since the previous Newspoll, three weeks ago. This is Labor’s first Newspoll lead…

The Conversation

Labor gains big lead in a Morgan poll, but drops back in YouGov

A national Morgan poll, conducted March 10–16 from a sample of 2,097, gave Labor a 54.5–45.5 lead by headline respondent preferences, a three-point gain for Labor since the March 3–9 Morgan poll. This is Labor’s largest lead in a Morgan poll since August 2023.

The Conversation

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Turns Out We’re All *Vastly* Overestimating How Much Our Govt Spends On Mental Health

“There is a deep silence from Canberra when it comes to youth mental health."

The Conversation

Labor gains in Redbridge poll of marginal seats and seizes lead in a Morgan poll

A poll of 20 marginal seats by Redbridge and Accent Research was conducted for the News Ltd tabloids on February 20–25, from a sample presumably over 1,000. The Coalition led by 50.5–49.5, a 1.5-point gain for Labor since the February 4–11 marginals poll.

Evening Standard

Labour MP Jas Athwal criticised as landlord of 'mould and ant-infested' homes stands down as councillor

Mr Athwal's resignation from Redbridge Council comes after he was elected MP for Ilford South at last year’s general election

AAP

Growing ranks of homeless seen as society in decline

An appetite for change has developed among voters as Australia's housing crisis becomes symbolic of wealth inequality, disempowerment and societal decline.

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AAP

Struggle Street residents last to benefit from rate cut

Rate relief has been delivered to Australian mortgage holders, yet the Reserve Bank governor says renters may have to wait a while longer to gain any benefit.

AAP

Voters' attitudes to refugees revealed in fresh polling

Polling has shown how Australians feel about refugees and asylum seekers ahead of the federal election, with the major parties put on notice over one big issue.

The Conversation

Coalition leading narrowly in four polls and would likely win an election held now

A national Newspoll, conducted February 10–14 from a sample of 1,244, gave the Coalition a 51–49 lead, unchanged from the previous Newspoll, three weeks ago. Primary votes were 38% Coalition (down one), 31% Labor (steady), 12% Greens (steady), 7% One Nation (steady) and 12% for all Others (up one).

The Guardian - AU

Majority of Australian voters expect fair and humane approach to refugees, poll shows

Exclusive: Research in lead-up to federal election shows more than half of those surveyed want asylum seekers to have more rights while they await visa decisions

The Independent UK

Millwall vs Dagenham & Redbridge LIVE: FA Cup latest score, goals and updates from fixture

Follow all the action from The Den

The Independent UK

Millwall vs Dagenham & Redbridge prediction: Daggers may prove handy in cup battle

Check out our free football betting tips as Championship side Millwall host non-league Dagenham in an all-London FA Cup third round tie

The Conversation

Newspoll returns to a tie after Coalition leads, but Labor has worst result this term in Resolve

A national Newspoll, conducted December 2–6 from a sample of 1,258, had a 50–50 tie, a one-point gain for Labor since the previous Newspoll in early November. Primary votes were 39% Coalition (down one), 33% Labor (steady), 11% Greens (steady), 7% One Nation (up two) and 10% for all Others…

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