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THE TRUTH ABOUT: 2 - Caught on Camera

S&P Futures Tick Higher With All Eyes on Key U.S. Jobs Report

March S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESH26) are trending up +0.05% this morning as investors await the all-important U.S. payrolls report for more cues on the path of interest rates this year.

Barchart

Dollar Rises Alongside T-Note Yields

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Tuesday rose by +0.30% but remained below Monday's 3.5-week high. The dollar rallied on Tuesday as higher T-note yields strengthened the dollar's interest rate differentials. Also, comments on Tuesday from Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin were supportive of the dollar when he said he...

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Dollar Climbs With T-Note Yields

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is up by +0.27%. The dollar is stronger today as higher T-note yields strengthened the dollar's interest rate differentials. Also, comments today from Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin were supportive of the dollar when he said he expects tax cuts and deregulation to lift...

Barchart

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S&P Futures Muted With U.S. GDP Data in Focus

March S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESH26) are trending down -0.04% this morning, steadying after a three-day rally as investors await a trio of reports delayed by the government shutdown, with a particular focus on the initial estimate of third-quarter GDP.

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Stocks Fall Ahead of US November Payroll Report

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Monday closed down by -0.16%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed down by -0.09%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed down by -0.51%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25 ) fell -0.14%, and December...

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Dollar Falls Ahead of Tuesday's US Payrolls Report

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Monday fell by -0.09%. The dollar posted modest losses on Monday ahead of Tuesday's US Nov payrolls report. The dollar came under pressure on Monday after the Dec Empire manufacturing survey of general business conditions unexpectedly contracted, a dovish factor for Fed policy. The...

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Stocks Turn Lower on AI Spending Concerns

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down by -0.15%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down by -0.24%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down by -0.26%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25 ) are down -0.18%, and December...

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Dollar Falls on Expectations of Easier Fed Policy

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is down by -0.24%. The dollar is moving lower today after the Dec Empire manufacturing survey of general business conditions unexpectedly contracted, a dovish factor for Fed policy. Also, the strength in stocks today has reduced liquidity demand for the dollar. The dollar dropped...

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Stocks Climb in Anticipation of Fed-Friendly US Economic News

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up by +0.39%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up by +0.27%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up by +0.50%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25 ) are up +0.40%, and December...

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The Fed just ‘Trump-proofed’ itself with a unanimous move to preempt a potential leadership shake-up

“If I’m reading this properly, they just Trump-proofed the Fed.”

Fortune

Federal Reserve Defers to Donald Trump by Cutting Interest Rates by 25 Points

The Federal Open Market Committee lowered the federal funds rate for the third meeting in a row despite elevated inflation.

Reason

Top economist Diane Swonk: Jerome Powell risks losing the Fed’s credibility on a gamble over AI and immigration

It all comes down to the reason behind the weakness in unemployment and Powell’s diagnosis of the “low-hire, low-fire” economy of 2025.

Fortune

How keeping down borrowing costs for mortgages and other loans is built into the Fed’s ‘dual mandate’

What’s the point of monetary policy?

The Conversation

JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs Predict Fed Will Cut Rates In December

JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs have realigned their interest rate outlooks, now forecasting that the Federal Reserve will deliver a quarter-point cut after its Dec. 9-10 meeting.

Benzinga

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Benzinga

Fed Governor Stephen Miran Reportedly Says He Won't 'Inflict Real Harm' On The Economy Just To Prove A Point — Pushes For A Rate Cut

Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran signaled his willingness to support the Fed’s decisions if it pursues another interest rate cut, instead of issuing another symbolic dissent as he has in the past.

Benzinga

December Rate Cut Back On The Radar After Fed Officials Signal Dovish Tilt

After weeks of mixed signals, the Federal Reserve's tone on monetary policy turned noticeably more dovish Friday, driving a sharp repricing in interest-rate expectations ― with traders now seeing an almost 3-in-4 chance of a December cut.

Axios

Key Fed official was under investigation over stock trades

Adriana Kugler abruptly resigned from the Fed's Board of Governors in August.

Barchart

Stock Index Futures Plunge on Valuation Concerns

December S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESZ25) are down -1.01%, and December Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQZ25) are down -1.31% this morning as quarterly results from AI bellwether Palantir failed to impress investors and Wall Street executives cautioned about a potential correction due to sky-high valuations.

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Stocks Close Higher on M&A and AI Optimism

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Monday rose +0.10%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) fell -0.52%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) rose +0.37%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25 ) rose +0.09%, and December E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQZ25 ) rose...

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Dollar Sees Support as T-note Yields Rise

The dollar index (DXY00 ) is trading slightly higher by +0.06%. The main supportive factor is today’s +2.5 bp rise in the 10-year T-note yield, which improved the dollar’s interest rate differentials. The dollar also has carry-over support from Fed Chair Powell’s warning last week that another rate cut in...

Barchart

Stocks See Support From M&A and AI Optimism

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.08% the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.41%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.55%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25 ) are up +0.16%, and December E-mini Nasdaq futures...

Reason

A Divided Fed

Plus: "Freeze the rent" hypocrisy, B-52s near Caracas, the Armani class votes Mamdani, and more...

Benzinga

Trump Loyalist Stephen Miran's 'Utterly Incoherent Case For Rate Cuts' Convinces 'No-One,' Says Economist After His Dissent

The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate by a quarter-percentage point on Wednesday, but the decision was overshadowed by sharp internal dissent and scathing external criticism of one of its governors.

Euronews

Fed cuts key rate yet Powell says future reductions are not locked in

The Conversation

Trump’s ‘golden age’ economic message undercut by his desire for much lower interest rates – which typically signal a weak jobs market

President Donald Trump seems to want to have it both ways on the U.S. economy.

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