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INSANE: 55 - The Real Truth

‘Inflationary surge’: Fed economists warn AI hype is overheating the economy whether or not the technology ever delivers

Economists from the St. Louis Fed said AI could inflate prices today even without a payoff tomorrow.

Fortune

Dollar Falls on Optimism Iran War Will End Soon

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is adding to Tuesday's losses and is down by -0.51%. The dollar is under pressure due to optimism that the war in Iran will end soon. Today's stock rally has also reduced liquidity demand for the dollar. The dollar recovered from its worst level...

Barchart

S&P Futures Climb on Hopes of Middle East Conflict Resolution, U.S. ADP Jobs Report and Retail Sales Data on Tap

June S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESM26) are trending up +0.51% this morning as oil prices fall and risk appetite improves on hopes for an imminent end to the conflict in the Middle East.

Barchart

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Credit card delinquencies among millennials and Gen Z have soared because of sports betting—even in states where it's illegal, new Fed study finds

Credit delinquencies among sports bettors rose 10% after legalization—and surged 26% for bettors under 40, a Federal Reserve Bank of New York study found.

Fortune

A ‘Golden’ Way to Trade the Volatility in Gold Prices for Low Risk, High Reward

GLD is a prime candidate for a collar — owning the shares, buying a protective put, and selling a covered call.

Barchart

Hiring just hit a level not seen since the economy was ‘closed down literally’ during COVID, top economist says

The war with Iran could make companies start firing, Navy Federal Credit Union’s Heather Long said.

Fortune

Dollar Declines as President Trump Signals He May End Iran War

The dollar index (DXY00 ) fell from a 10.5-month high today and is down by -0.43%. The dollar retreated today after President Trump signaled he is willing to end the war in Iran. Also, today’s stock rally has curbed liquidity demand for the dollar. In addition, lower T-note yields today...

Barchart

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Trump Fed pick Kevin Warsh could shake up the central bank with his ‘family fight’ model

Since President Donald Trump named Kevin Warsh as his choice for Federal Reserve chair on Jan. 30, 2026, financial markets have focused on one question: Is he still the inflation hawk he once was, or is he now more comfortable with the lower interest rates that the president has long…

The Conversation

Stock Index Futures Rally on Prospect of End to Middle East Conflict, U.S. Economic Data and Fed Speak in Focus

June S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESM26) are up +1.02%, and June Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQM26) are up +0.94% this morning as sentiment got a boost after President Trump reportedly told aides he was willing to end the U.S. military campaign against Iran.

Barchart

Jerome Powell says $39 trillion national debt is ‘not unsustainable,’ but warns the trajectory ‘will not end well’

“The federal government debt is growing substantially faster than our economy,” the Fed chair told a roomful of Harvard students.

Fortune

Stocks Pressured by Economic Fallout from Iran War

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Monday closed down -0.39%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up +0.11%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed down -0.78%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26 ) fell -0.43%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...

Barchart

Dow Rises Amid Another Crude Oil Spike: Stock Market Today

Crude oil was up, and Papa Dow was too, but the Nasdaq fell further into correction territory amid persistent uncertainty for global financial markets.

Kiplinger

Dollar Rises as Iran War Continues

The dollar index (DXY00 ) rallied to a 10.5-month high on Monday, finishing up by 0.40%. The dollar gained on safe-haven support on Monday amid concerns of a protracted war in Iran. President Trump told the Financial Times on Sunday that he wants to "take the oil in Iran" and...

Barchart

A 'World Cup' for immigrant girls uses the joy of sport to counter ICE fears

A Portland soccer tournament brought girls from immigrant and refugee families together to push back against fear tied to federal immigration enforcement

The Independent UK

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The Independent UK

Powell says Fed is monitoring energy price spikes, but that it's limited in what it can do

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell says it's important to closely monitor inflation amid a spike in energy prices from the Iran war as the average price for for gasoline nears $4 a gallon in the U.S. But he also said Monday, addressing students at Harvard University, that there isn't a…

Fortune

Trump said the Iran war was ‘very complete’ three weeks ago. Oil has surged 50% since, and analysts are warning of stagflation

Gas prices just hit their highest level since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and Wall Street is bracing for stagflation as the conflict spreads.

Axios

Powell: Fed yet to decide on whether to "look through" war's impact

Powell said that the Fed has to consider the economic backdrop against which the energy shock is occurring.

Barchart

Markets Turn Negative as Crude Oil Prices Surge

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down -0.75%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.21%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down -1.18%. Stock indexes turned lower this afternoon as the market digests the first $100+ oil...

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Fortune

Bond yields are falling even as oil tops $102, showing that Wall Street fears recession more than inflation

“The risks to economic growth begin to take precedence over the risks to inflation,” Oxford Economics said in a note on Monday.

Barchart

Dollar Supported by Concerns of a Protracted Iran War

The dollar index (DXY00 ) climbed to a 2-week high today and is up by +0.35%. The dollar has safe-haven support on concerns of a protracted Iran war after President Trump told the Financial Times on Sunday that he wants to "take the oil in Iran" and could seize the...

Barchart

Stocks Rebound as T-note Yields Tumble

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.42%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +0.64%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.32%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26 ) are up +0.40%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...

International Business Times UK

Robert Kiyosaki Says US Boomers Face a Wave of Homelessness as Inflation to Wipe out Social Security

Robert Kiyosaki warns that US baby boomers face mass homelessness as hyperinflation threatens to liquidate Social Security. The Rich Dad Poor Dad author labels the Federal Reserve a 'criminal organisation' amid rising US stagflation risks. Financial experts fear the US-Iran war will drive oil prices higher despite efforts to open…

Barchart

Stocks Set to Open Higher as Bond Yields Fall on Fading Rate-Hike Bets, U.S. Jobs Data and Powell’s Remarks Awaited

June S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESM26) are up +0.69%, and June Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQM26) are up +0.70% this morning, pointing to a higher open on Wall Street as Treasury yields retreated, while investors continued to monitor developments in the Middle East.

Barchart

Iran, Oil Prices and Other Key Things to Watch this Week

Markets enter a huge week as the final days of March bring an explosive convergence of catalysts including Friday's jobs report, Q1 vehicle production and delivery numbers from Tesla (TSLA), Rivian (RIVN), and major Chinese EV makers, and escalating Iran war concerns as President Trump's 10-day warning window approaches.

The Guardian - US

US treasury department demands retraction of story on increased oversight of Federal Reserve

Treasury department said Financial Times article about Scott Bessent’s views on Fed oversight was ‘manufactured’

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