The Week Ahead (Sept. 7-13): Canada Slaps Retaliatory Tariffs on U.S. Goods India prepares to host the 18th BRICS Summit; U.S. Treasury expands long-term bond buybacks Caixin Global · Sep 4
Jefferies’ Chris Wood sees a structural bear market in US bonds. What it means for stocks and gold Jefferies has warned that persistent pressure on US Treasury yields could create a challenging environment for equity markets, particularly for bond-sensitive assets such as REITs. While higher yields have weighed on Singapore REITs, the brokerage sees selective opportunities in the sector and remains constructive on gold and gold-mining stocks as… The Economic Times · Sep 4
US Fed rate cut bets fall below 50% after Governor Chris Waller’s comments. What did he say? Expectations of a US Federal Reserve rate cut at its September 16 meeting have weakened sharply, with traders now pricing in less than a 50% chance of a reduction, according to CME FedWatch data. Comments from Fed officials, including Christopher Waller and Kevin Warsh, have reinforced uncertainty over the policy… The Economic Times · Sep 4
Global Market: China stocks rebound, but weekly loss looms as AI rally cools China’s mainland stocks gained on Friday, but major benchmarks remained on track for weekly losses as fading momentum in AI shares and elevated US Treasury yields weighed on sentiment. The CSI300 and Shanghai Composite rose 0.4%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng advanced 2.1%, led by a rebound in technology stocks. The Economic Times · Sep 4
US Market: Rising R-star adds to pressure on US Treasury yields as AI investment, borrowing lift demand for capital US Treasury yields are rising partly on expectations that R-star, the economy’s neutral interest rate, may be structurally higher. Heavy government borrowing and AI investment are boosting capital demand, potentially keeping rates elevated longer. A higher R-star could limit Federal Reserve rate cuts, pressure Treasury prices and increase borrowing costs… The Economic Times · Sep 4
Fed's Waller says safety premium for Treasuries is gone, pushing neutral rate higher Fed Governor Christopher Waller said the loss of the traditional safety premium on US Treasuries is pushing the neutral interest rate higher, potentially keeping borrowing costs elevated. He also warned that the US cannot simply grow its way out of its $40 trillion debt burden without bringing structural deficits closer… The Economic Times · Sep 3
As U.S. Treasury moved to shore up its bond market, the Netherlands rushed 86 tons of gold out of America because of ‘geopolitical unrest’ The move to improve liquidity of gold is “not normal behavior,” said UBS’s Paul Donovan. Fortune · Sep 3
India bonds gain as RBI FX inflows lift liquidity, spur short-term debt buying Indian government bonds saw gains early Thursday, led by shorter-term debt. Larger dollar inflows boosted rupee liquidity and improved sentiment for Indian assets. Banks raised significant foreign currency, adding to domestic liquidity for several years. This influx strengthened India's ability to support the rupee and domestic markets. Elevated oil prices… The Economic Times · Sep 3
Indian bonds join global debt selloff, bruised by oil and US Treasury yields Indian government bonds faced further declines for the fifth consecutive session as U.S. Treasury yields approached three-year peaks. The surge in oil prices reignited inflation concerns, particularly impacting India due to its status as a major importer. This scenario intensified expectations for monetary policy adjustments by the RBI. Critical upcoming… The Economic Times · Sep 2
RBI backstop keeps Indian rupee stable, blunting importer dollar demand impact The Indian rupee showed little movement on Wednesday, hovering in a narrow range. Support from the Reserve Bank of India helped mitigate the growing dollar demand from importers. The fluctuations in oil prices and Treasury yields also played a role in the currency's stability. Experts predict the rupee will maintain… The Economic Times · Sep 2
Warren Buffett once called bonds a terrible investment but later massively invested in them. Here's why Warren Buffett has long warned against long-term bonds, calling them a poor investment for investors with extended horizons. Yet Berkshire Hathaway has amassed a huge short-term Treasury position, highlighting the distinction between long-duration bonds and cash-like instruments. As global yields surge, Buffett’s bond strategy offers a timely lesson for investors. The Economic Times · Sep 2
US Stock Market: Higher long-term Treasury yields face structural headwinds Long-term US Treasury yields are likely to remain elevated as persistent inflation concerns, rising government and corporate debt issuance, and a shifting investor base put upward pressure on borrowing costs. The changing Treasury market dynamics could limit policymakers’ ability to bring down long-term yields. The Economic Times · Sep 2
Bigger market crash ahead? Analysts weigh how Sensex, Nifty may react if US 10-year bond yield touches 5% Global bond yields are hitting multi-year highs, with the US 10-year yield nearing 5% amid rising oil prices, inflation fears and concerns over government debt. Indian 10-year yields also crossed 7%, raising concerns about the impact of higher borrowing costs and shifting investor preference on equities. The Economic Times · Sep 2
Global bond selloff deepens as inflation risks, oil prices jolt markets The global bond market is witnessing a significant retreat, causing an increase in borrowing expenses. The ongoing tensions in the Middle East have spiked energy prices, raising alarm over potential inflation implications for investors. Yields on U.S. Treasury notes are approaching a three-year high, which will likely affect government spending… The Economic Times · Sep 2
The Economic Times · Sep 2 Bond selloff deepens as inflation, oil prices jolt markets The bond market is undergoing a tumultuous selloff, resulting in elevated borrowing costs for potential borrowers. Concerns surrounding inflation and rising government debt are amplified by increasing energy prices. As yield rates climb, homeowners should brace for higher mortgage costs, adding fiscal strain for many. Additionally, bond investors are seeking…
The Economic Times · Sep 2 Gold hits over two-week low, US jobs data in focus On Wednesday, gold prices hit their lowest point in two weeks, driven down by rising Treasury yields and a stronger dollar that made the metal pricier for international customers. As investors look ahead to key U.S. jobs data for hints about interest rate trends, Federal Reserve officials have hinted at…
The Economic Times · Sep 1 Iran defiant as Scott Bessent says US likely to announce bank sanctions this week Washington plans to announce bank sanctions against Iran this week. Oil prices increased after direct attacks and tanker incidents. Iran warned it would prevent oil exports from the Persian Gulf. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent vowed to economically asphyxiate Iran's leadership. Tehran officials remain defiant, utilising all capabilities to respond.
The Economic Times · Sep 1 US Treasury bond yields ease from highs after data as Iran war escalation fans inflation concerns U.S. Treasury yields retreated from earlier highs on Tuesday after economic data emerged. The manufacturing PMI fell to 54.6 in August, while job openings rose slightly. Oil prices surged due to renewed Middle East conflict, reigniting inflation concerns globally. This led to a significant global bond selloff and increased Fed…
Barchart · Sep 1 As US Bond Selloff Accelerates, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent Says a Stronger Yen is Coming Japan is the largest international holder of US Treasury bonds, and Bessent weighed in on Tokyo’s monetary policy during the G20 summit.
Kiplinger · Sep 1 How to Support Local Communities With Your Fixed-Income Strategy Tired of lending money to Uncle Sam? There are other ways to invest your fixed-income dollars that are secure and can help you do good while doing well.
Euronews · Sep 1 Japan's 10-year yield hits 3%, a first since 1996 as rate hikes dominate the G20 Japan's 10-year government bond yield touched 3% on Tuesday for the first time since 1996, part of a deepening global sovereign debt sell-off, while US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent used the G20 finance meeting to press Tokyo for faster rate hikes.
The Economic Times · Sep 1 US Treasury selloff pushes India 10-year bond yield towards 7% Indian government bonds experienced a sharp decline, pushing yields higher. U.S. Treasury yields rose significantly due to escalating geopolitical risks. High oil prices are fueling inflation concerns and tighter monetary policy expectations. India's strong economic growth adds to potential monetary tightening pressures. Bond yields are nearing a key psychological level,…
The Economic Times · Sep 1 Global Market: Yen weakness puts BOJ under pressure for faster monetary tightening The US is urging Japan to adopt tougher monetary and fiscal policies after supporting the yen. Pressure is mounting on the BOJ to raise rates faster as inflation persists, while Japan’s expansionary fiscal stance fuels bond-market concerns and risks broader global financial volatility.
The Economic Times · Sep 1 Japan faces day of policy reckoning as Scott Bessent calls time on big stimulus While the BOJ was already widely expected to lift rates in September as inflation pressures grew, Bessent's recent comments effectively lock the bank into doing so and put pressure on it to step up hikes going forward.
The Economic Times · Sep 1 Market close: Sensex, Nifty end lower as losses in banking, auto drag Indian equity benchmarks ended marginally lower on Tuesday as banking, auto and pharma stocks dragged. Nifty fell 0.1% to 24,055.8, while Sensex slipped 0.02% to 76,944.28. Midcaps declined 1%. Maruti, SBI and IndiGo led losses, while ITC, HCL Tech and Bharti Airtel gained, cushioning the broader market decline.