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DARK SECRETS: 20 | Vintage Vibes

Quote of the day by Bernard Baruch: "Not even the “safest” investment is without some risk and some element of speculation"

Bernard Baruch’s investing wisdom highlights that no asset is completely risk-free. Even conservative investments face inflation, interest-rate and credit risks. Investors should understand these uncertainties, assess risk-reward trade-offs and use diversification while aligning portfolios with financial goals.

The Economic Times

The three reasons behind the bond market shock and what it means for Andy Burnham’s first Budget

Ten-year gilts have risen well above 5% this year on the back of the Iran war

The Independent UK

Trump pledged fiscal restraint. Instead, debt tops $40 trillion as borrowing costs rise

US debt: While voters may not focus on the issue until the country's fiscal problems translate into benefit cuts or tax hikes, the fallout hits them just the same in the form of high mortgage interest rates that track yields on government debt and inflation outpacing wage hikes.

The Economic Times

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S&P Futures Tick Higher as Oil Prices and Bond Yields Fall, U.S. ADP Jobs Report and Broadcom Earnings on Tap

September S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESU26) are up +0.12% this morning, finding some footing after three straight sessions of losses as oil prices and bond yields retreated.

Barchart

View: Leveraging monetary policy for India’s youth

Q1 GDP: The release of the latest data coincided with the significant assertion at the SCO meet, of India’s vision of ‘transforming shared geography into shared opportunities through the three pillars off Security, Connectivity, and Opportunity’.

The Economic Times

Global Market: European shares hover near one-month low as bond yields, oil prices surge

European shares hovered near a one-month low on Wednesday as rising government bond yields and escalating US-Iran tensions fuelled concerns over higher energy prices and inflation. The STOXX 600 was broadly flat, while Germany’s 10-year bond yield hit its highest level since April 2011, raising expectations of tighter ECB policy.

The Economic Times

Global bond sell-off intensifies as US-Iran tensions stoke inflation fears

UK borrowing costs driven up, adding to challenges facing John Healey as he prepares for first budget

The Guardian - UK

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Global Market: UK gilt yields hit 18-year high as global bond selloff intensifies

UK government bond yields climbed to fresh 18-year highs as a global sovereign debt selloff intensified amid rising oil prices and renewed inflation concerns. Higher borrowing costs are adding pressure on Britain’s debt-servicing burden and complicating the fiscal outlook ahead of the upcoming budget.

The Economic Times

Sharp rise in utility bills pushes Russia's inflation further off target

The October increase follows a January rise and is the first double tariff hike in four years. The central bank warned it would push annual inflation further above its 4% target in an economy already squeezed by the costs of its war, sanctions and a 21% key interest rate.

Euronews

Why are global bond yields surging to multi-decade highs?

Global government borrowing costs are reaching multi-decade highs as inflation persists. Bond yields in major economies like the United States and Japan have sharply increased. Renewed oil price gains and substantial government debt add to market pressures. Higher borrowing costs impact households, businesses, and government finances significantly. Investors watch for…

The Economic Times

Explained: How multi-decade high global bond yields spell caution for Indian stock market investors

Global bond yields are surging as oil-driven inflation, rising debt, heavy AI borrowing and hawkish central-bank expectations unsettle markets. With US, Japanese and Indian yields climbing, the bond selloff is spilling into equities and emerging markets. For India, higher oil prices could add to imported inflation, pressure the rupee, lift…

The Economic Times

US Stock Market: Higher long-term Treasury yields face structural headwinds

Long-term US Treasury yields are likely to remain elevated as persistent inflation concerns, rising government and corporate debt issuance, and a shifting investor base put upward pressure on borrowing costs. The changing Treasury market dynamics could limit policymakers’ ability to bring down long-term yields.

The Economic Times

Bigger market crash ahead? Analysts weigh how Sensex, Nifty may react if US 10-year bond yield touches 5%

Global bond yields are hitting multi-year highs, with the US 10-year yield nearing 5% amid rising oil prices, inflation fears and concerns over government debt. Indian 10-year yields also crossed 7%, raising concerns about the impact of higher borrowing costs and shifting investor preference on equities.

The Economic Times

Chicago Fed’s Austan Goolsbee wants to get back to ‘old-school’ economics: Focused on ordinary Americans, mindful of AI hype, and sharp on inflation

Exclusive: “If there were going to be something that shook the consumers, it would shake the economy,” president Goolsbee tells Fortune.

Fortune

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The Economic Times

Indian 10-year bond yield tops 7% on global debt rout, oil rally

Indian government bonds declined early Wednesday, with yields briefly exceeding seven percent. A global debt selloff and rising oil prices are impacting investor sentiment. Higher developed market yields reduce emerging market debt attractiveness and can spur outflows. Brent crude prices surged, increasing India's vulnerability to inflation and fiscal strain. Markets…

The Economic Times

Global bond selloff deepens as inflation risks, oil prices jolt markets

The global bond market is witnessing a significant retreat, causing an increase in borrowing expenses. The ongoing tensions in the Middle East have spiked energy prices, raising alarm over potential inflation implications for investors. Yields on U.S. Treasury notes are approaching a three-year high, which will likely affect government spending…

The Economic Times

Global Market: China, Hong Kong stocks fall as global bond selloff, oil surge weigh on sentiment

Chinese and Hong Kong stocks fell as rising oil prices, higher bond yields and geopolitical tensions intensified inflation and interest-rate concerns. Major indexes declined, while gold, technology, auto and property stocks weakened. A lacklustre Shein debut added pressure in Hong Kong, although Chinese officials signalled openness to U.S. businesses.

Euronews

ECB rate hike looms as energy shock pushes inflation to 3.3%

With eurozone inflation at 3.3% and energy costs surging, markets are pricing in another ECB rate rise on 10 September. ECB economists say this energy-driven episode looks nothing like the demand-fuelled surge of 2021-22.

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The Economic Times

Global Market: BOJ’s Ueda signals fresh rate hike discussion at September meeting

The Bank of Japan is set to debate a September rate hike as Governor Kazuo Ueda signals that policymakers will closely assess rising inflation risks, the weak yen and global economic conditions. Markets are increasingly pricing in a rate increase, with Japanese bond yields climbing to multi-decade highs.

The Economic Times

Global Market: South Korean stocks slide more than 3% as Iran conflict deepens global market selloff

South Korea’s Kospi plunged over 3% as rising bond yields, higher oil prices and escalating US-Iran tensions hit investor sentiment. Foreign investors sold heavily, while major technology and auto stocks declined. Korean Treasury yields climbed across maturities, although the won strengthened against the dollar as August inflation rose modestly.

The Economic Times

Bond selloff deepens as inflation, oil prices jolt markets

The bond market is undergoing a tumultuous selloff, resulting in elevated borrowing costs for potential borrowers. Concerns surrounding inflation and rising government debt are amplified by increasing energy prices. As yield rates climb, homeowners should brace for higher mortgage costs, adding fiscal strain for many. Additionally, bond investors are seeking…

The Economic Times

Uday Kotak warns of 'roller coaster' ride in interest rate markets

Japan’s 10-year bond yield crossing 3% and rising US yields are raising concerns over tighter global liquidity, higher inflation and interest rates. Veteran banker Uday Kotak warned that central banks may have to expand their balance sheets, potentially pushing short-term rates higher and making global interest-rate markets more volatile.

AAP

Aussie shares fall as uncertainty hangs over markets

Miners have sold off sharply after fresh strikes between the US and Iran sent oil prices higher, while bond yields soared as inflation fears swelled.

The Conversation

Interest rates have gone up again. Why it won’t affect the prices that matter most

As anticipated, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand has raised the official cash rate (OCR) by 0.25 basis points to 2.75%.

The Economic Times

Gold hits over two-week low, US jobs data in focus

On Wednesday, gold prices hit their lowest point in two weeks, driven down by rising Treasury yields and a stronger dollar that made the metal pricier for international customers. As investors look ahead to key U.S. jobs data for hints about interest rate trends, Federal Reserve officials have hinted at…

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