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RARE PHOTOS: 11 | Vintage Vibes

Retail Earnings, Fed Minutes and Other Key Things to Watch this Week

Markets face a retail-dominated week where Home Depot (HD), Target (TGT), TJX Companies (TJX), and Walmart (WMT) report earnings providing critical consumer spending assessment across income segments.

Barchart

Interest rate dilemma for central banks as inflation rises but growth slows

The Federal Reserve, the ECB and the Bank of England appear unclear on how to tackle inflation amid the Iran war

The Guardian - UK

Don’t Rule Out a September Rate Hike. Despite Cooler Inflation Data, This Fed Dissenter Says ‘We Need To Act Now’ on Interest Rates.

One of the Fed’s policy hawks explains why traders shouldn’t get too excited about this week’s favorable economic data.

Barchart

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The Warsh Rate-Hike Trade Just Collapsed: What It Means for Markets

Financial markets have spent much of August preparing for a potential interest-rate increase by the Federal Reserve, under the leadership of Kevin Warsh. But as of this week, that prospect increasingly looks like a trade from another world.

Benzinga

How ‘Phantom’ Data Center Projects Are Making It Impossible to Forecast AI Power Demand — ‘Grid Operators Don’t Know Which Ones Are Real’

Electricity bills are rising, but how much of the AI-fueled demand surge for power is real? As it turns out, we don't really know.

Barchart

Inflation slowed last month as gas prices fell but costs remain elevated

Cost increases continue to outpace average wage growth, maintaining financial pressure on American households managing higher bills for groceries, fuel, and healthcare

The Independent UK

US inflation cooled slightly to 3.4% in July but prices still elevated

Energy is cheaper than at its peak in late April, but gas is still nearly $1 a gallon more expensive than before the Iran war

The Guardian - US

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Fed says too little, RBI is too predictable. Both may have a problem

The US Fed and RBI face opposite communication risks: Kevin Warsh’s reduced guidance leaves markets uncertain about how the Fed will react, while RBI’s predictable rate decisions risk convincing investors that hikes are unlikely, potentially making future policy changes more disruptive.

The Economic Times

Fed may talk less and let markets lead. That could spell more volatility for India

US Federal Reserve chief Kevin Warsh’s push to reduce forward guidance and shrink the Fed’s balance sheet could increase global market volatility and capital flows. RBI may need a more flexible policy approach to respond quickly to interest-rate and currency swings.

The Economic Times

Inflation Date, Earnings Momentum and Other Key Things to Watch this Week

Markets enter a data-heavy week pivoting toward inflation assessment with Wednesday's July CPI report at 8:30am and Thursday's PPI establishing critical price pressure trends as investors evaluate Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's policy trajectory.

Barchart

CNN guest suffers on-air disaster but chokes his way through interview

Host Omar Jimenez attempted to keep the segment moving with a question about interest rates while his guest struggled to clear his throat after mishap

The Independent UK

How Scott Bessent used financial engineering to fund the $2 trillion deficit while leaving it untouched

The alarm is coming from inside the house. The Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee says the borrowing math no longer adds up.

Fortune

Trump renews bid to fire Fed governor Lisa Cook despite supreme court ruling

White House continues to target Cook despite decision from justices that upheld Federal Reserve’s independence

The Guardian - US

Market cuts odds of Fed hike after jobs data, but economists still see case for tightening

The weak job report for July has tempered expectations surrounding a Federal Reserve rate increase. Consequently, futures markets now indicate a diminished probability of a rise in interest rates next month. Despite calls from several Fed officials for tighter monetary policy to counteract inflation, the economic community remains split on…

The Economic Times

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The Independent UK

Trump can’t stop gushing over new Fed boss Kevin Warsh’s appearance

IN FULL

International Business Times

Trump And Warsh Reportedly Held Multiple Calls Over The Past Weeks, Renewing Scrutiny Over Fed Independence

According to people familiar with the discussions, Trump has sought Warsh's views on economic forecasts and broader issues affecting the U.S. economy, but has not pressured him to pursue a specific monetary policy.

The Independent UK

Trump swoons over the looks of his hand-picked Fed chair Kevin Warsh: report

President Trump has previously complimented the Syrian president’s looks as well as the mayor of New York City

International Business Times UK

Markets Hold Their Breath for Friday's Jobs Number, the First Real Test of a Fed That Refuses to Guide

The Fed's silence under new Chair Kevin Warsh impacts the July jobs report and the bond market. Experts predict 83,000 new jobs and a steady 4.2% unemployment rate, sparking market reactions.

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The Economic Times

US Stock Market: Warsh's Fed leaves markets searching for policy clues

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh is changing the central bank’s communication approach, reducing reliance on forward guidance and leaving markets to interpret economic data more independently. The shift has triggered volatility in bond markets, with investors seeking clarity on future rate moves. As inflation remains elevated, the Fed’s new strategy…

The Economic Times

Dollar drifts higher as traders eye Iran talks ahead of US jobs data

The dollar surged on Friday, gaining strength over the yen and euro as uncertainties regarding a peace deal in Iran heightened demand for safe-haven assets. Support for the dollar was also found in increasing Treasury yields due to expectations of forthcoming rate increases. Market participants are eagerly awaiting the U.S.

Fortune

Jamie Dimon waves off Wall Street ‘squealing like stuck pigs’ over Warsh’s Fed: ‘It makes tremendous sense’

“I wish them the best. They will, over time, do the right thing,” Dimon said.

Kiplinger

Weak July Jobs Report Cools Rate-Hike Odds

The July jobs report was released Friday morning. Here's what the data show.

International Business Times

The Fed Is Considering Fewer Policy Meetings. The Proposal Could Mark the Biggest Process Change in Decades.

Kevin Warsh's proposal to hold fewer meetings would cut the Fed's current schedule of eight policy meetings per year to six, while adding two separate meetings dedicated to broader economic issues rather than interest rate decisions.

Fortune

Kevin Warsh told Wall Street he’d be sharing less—Goldman Sachs fears a void of Fed facts will only amplify misinformation and instability

“Even without providing explicit forward guidance, central bankers still have an obligation to explain the economic framework behind their decisions. On that score, this press conference fell well short,” chimed professor Jeremy Siegel.

Benzinga

JPMorgan Says Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's Shaky Press Conference Could Force a Rate Hike Before Year-End: 'The Market Didn't Like What It Heard...'

JPMorgan economists criticized Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s recent FOMC performance, saying a lack of forward guidance and shifting inflation targets created uncertainty and destabilized bond markets.

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