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FORGOTTEN HISTORY: 12 - The Untold Story

Underlying Inflation Hits Lowest Level in Years. The Key Price Measures Show Progress Toward the Fed's 2% Target.

Data released for June showed that several "trimmed mean" inflation gauges fell to their lowest levels since the early years of the inflation surge that followed the pandemic.

International Business Times

Count-counterpoint: MPC's external members must have the courage to dissent, disagreement drives course correction

The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee is meeting to decide on interest rates. The committee must balance inflation concerns with the need to support economic growth. External factors are largely blamed for India's current economic challenges. The RBI's actions and communication are crucial for market stability. Greater dissent…

The Economic Times

Earnings, PMI and Other Key Things to Watch this Week

Markets enter an earnings-dominated week with a huge concentration of corporate results spanning technology, industrials, healthcare, consumer discretionary, and entertainment sectors. This will provide a critical assessment of economic health and corporate fundamentals amid persistent uncertainty about technology sector valuations and AI infrastructure spending.

Barchart

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Fed Chair Kevin Warsh talks a big game, but this market indicator will tell you if Wall Street trusts him after he caused a ‘credibility shock’

“The bottom line is that an important part of the Fed’s credibility is not just to say that it has certain goals but also to explain how it will achieve those goals.”

Fortune

Trump's 'Rocket Fuel' For Growth Remains Elusive. Republicans Face Uneasy November

The Fed's decision to keep interest rates unchanged has once again brought the spotlight back on November midterms, as the prospect of higher borrowing costs loom, posing uneasiness for the tense Republican camp. The Trump administration's own policies have helped drive an increase as policies, including the tariffs regime, have…

International Business Times

Trump's push for lower US interest rates faces setback as borrowing costs climb before midterms

Trump's promise of lower interest rates is under pressure as Treasury yields climb and financial markets move contrary to the administration's economic goals. Higher borrowing costs have impacted households, businesses and the federal government. Inflation concerns and policy uncertainty have kept investors cautious about US debt.

The Economic Times

Wall Street Week Ahead: Teetering US stock market faces jobs report, big earnings week

Investors await US employment data and corporate results this week. Market direction remains uncertain due to geopolitical tensions and interest rate policy. Big tech earnings showed mixed results, impacting investor sentiment significantly. The Federal Reserve's recent decision left many unclear about inflation plans. Upcoming economic reports will guide Wall Street's…

The Economic Times

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Stocks Rise on Big Amazon Earnings Beat: Stock Market Today

But yields on the 10-year and 30-year Treasuries hit their highest levels since 2007 Friday, which kept a lid on the stock market's advance.

Kiplinger

Fed's Warsh Sparks Bond Selloff, Apple Warns of '100-Year' Memory Flood: What Moved Markets This Week

The final week of July was not for the faint of heart.

Benzinga

A Situational Awareness Selloff, a Fed Inflation Blunder and Everything Else Moving Stocks, Bonds, and the U.S. Dollar Now

Let’s break down this week’s events in the stock, bond, and currency markets, and I’ll include my bias on price direction for each in the coming weeks.

Barchart

Two Fed dissenters say higher interest rates needed to combat inflation

Two Federal Reserve officials dissented, favoring an immediate interest rate hike this week. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack stated inflation remains stubbornly above the target. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari also expressed concern about entrenched inflation risks. Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan was the third policymaker supporting a rate increase.…

The Economic Times

Fed's Beth Hammack Warns Inflation Won't Fall on Its Own, Says Waiting Could Be a 'Costly' Mistake: 'Now Is the Time'

Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack said inflation remains too high and is unlikely to return to the Fed’s target without additional action from the central bank.

Benzinga

The Fed did exactly what Wall Street was expecting—so why are markets so concerned by Kevin Warsh?

“You’re dealing with the Fed that the market is still trying to understand,” J.P. Morgan’s Alex Wolf tells Fortune.

Fortune

The Fed Saw a Split Vote In Its Last Meeting. Those Who Favored a Hike Have Come Out To Say Action Is Needed Now

Federal Reserve officials who voted in favor of an interest rate hike this past meeting said action is needed to fend off inflation.

International Business Times

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Benzinga

US Mortgage Rates Hit Highest Level in a Year as Fed Uncertainty and Iran Tensions Loom

U.S. mortgage rates climbed to their highest level in a year, with the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage rising to 6.66% for the week ending July 30, according to Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey released Thursday.

International Business Times

Fed's 'Hawkish Hold' Leaves Wall Street Guessing. Stocks and Bonds Could Pay the Price

New Federal Reserve chair Kevin Warsh has decided to abandon the detailed forward guidance that characterized the Jerome Powell era and emphasize that incoming economic data will determine the central bank's next steps.

Bangkok Post

All eyes on next Fed meeting

Markets are shifting attention to the September meeting of the Federal Reserve after the US central bank left its interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, with analysts predicting another cut is possible this year.

Reason

The Bond Market Is Unhappy With the Federal Reserve's Unwillingness To Fight Inflation

The 30-year U.S. Treasury bond just hit its highest yield level since 2007.

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The Conversation

Americans feel the sting of high prices every day, so why does the Fed need so many ways to measure inflation?

From gas to housing to groceries, consumers can’t escape inflation in their everyday lives. So why can’t policymakers agree on what the data is telling them – and if prices are falling fast enough?

Evening Standard

FTSE 100’s early promise fades as Bank of England holds rates

The FTSE 100 Index closed down 11.14 points at 10,897.27.

Reason

Drones Over Egypt

Plus: City Without Children, Reihan Salam victorious, Kevin Warsh's new strategy, and more...

The Guardian - US

US economy grows sluggish 1.5% in second quarter as inflation tops Fed target

Consumer spending remained resilient even as policymakers kept interest rates on hold

The Guardian - UK

First Thing: US government borrowing costs hit new high as strikes on Iran resume

Federal Reserve votes to hold its key interest rate steady, sending stocks tumbling. Plus: the origins of Coca-Cola may have been found

International Business Times

The Federal Reserve Just Changed How It Talks About The Economy. Here's What's Different Under Kevin Warsh

While the central bank once again left interest rates unchanged, the statement revealed several notable changes that reflect Warsh's effort to simplify how the Fed communicates with financial markets.

Fortune

Wall Street reacts brutally to Fed chair Warsh’s interest rate hold: ‘the bond market puked on him’

Everything you need to know before you reach the office this morning.

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