EXPLAINED: 3 - The Real Truth

Soaring gas prices threaten to wipe out Trump’s tax refund gains

Gas prices are likely to remain elevated for some time, as shipping and production disruptions will take time to recover

The Independent UK · Mar 22

Economists are loathe to mention recessions, but odds just hit 49% for the next 12 months according to Moody’s top economist

"If oil prices remain elevated for much longer (weeks and not months), a recession will be difficult to avoid," Zandi said.

Fortune · Mar 18

There's an oil price scenario that would bring the US economy to a 'standstill;

Higher-for-longer oil prices would lead to economic spillover effects that are much harder to control.

Fortune · Mar 16

Why has the Iran war sparked fears of stagflation for the global economy?

Conflict in the Middle East risks knocking growth worldwide and boosting prices, economists warn, amid global market turbulence

The Guardian - AU · Mar 9

Why an Iran war inflation shock could wreck global economic recovery

Central bankers and economists warn prolonged conflict could raise retail prices and rip up growth forecasts

The Guardian - UK · Mar 8

Iran war: How exposed are European economies?

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has sent gas prices surging by 60%, putting additional strain on Europe's already-depleted winter inventories and prompting economists to revise their 2026 growth and inflation outlooks.

Euronews · Mar 5

Jerome Powell is facing a ‘puzzlement’ of economic data, with contradictions likely to freeze any immediate action on the base rate

“Such confusion often leads to inertia, and we suspect that there will be no knee-jerk policy reaction to any of the week’s reports,” Oxford Economics’ Bob Schwartz wrote.

Fortune · Feb 17

Illegal ciggies tipped to soon stub out retail sales

One of Australia's biggest retailers has warned nine in 10 cigarettes will be bought illegally by the end of the decade unless the tobacco excise is cut.

AAP · Feb 17

Top analyst warns the economy is figuring out how to grow without creating new jobs, leaving a major vulnerability

The economy will grow because of higher productivity, aided in part by AI, says Michael Pearce of Oxford Economics. But people aren’t core to that story.

Fortune · Feb 13

Milano-Cortina 2026: What's the economic impact of the Winter Olympics?

The Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are estimated to generate €5.3bn in total economic value, including €2.3bn in tourism spending.

Euronews · Feb 11