US pollsters taking heat – again – for failing to predict Trump triumph Polling experts called on to explain surveys that showed Trump and Harris deadlocked in a race deemed too close to call The Guardian - US · Nov 6, 2024
Betting markets swing hard to Trump with early election tallies Apps such as Polymarket and Kalshi place Trump as likely winner as election officials continue to count ballots The Guardian - US · Nov 6, 2024
Trump’s lead over Harris in betting market erodes as platforms tighten odds Top platforms had placed Republican ahead but Democrat is catching up and even leads on one app The Guardian - US · Nov 4, 2024
Trump leads Harris on Robinhood’s new prediction market with 100 million contracts traded Robinhood rolled out its new prediction market last month. Fortune · Nov 4, 2024
Exclusive: Election betting site Polymarket is rife with fake ‘wash’ trading, researchers say Blockchain evidence points to users carrying out market manipulation to inflate trading volumes on the popular political betting platform. Fortune · Oct 30, 2024
Exclusive: Prediction market Kalshi launches crypto deposits as Trump maintains big lead on betting sites Kalshi still lags behind Polymarket, the offshore leader among electoral betting markets. Fortune · Oct 28, 2024
Noted oddsmaker JD Vance says Trump has a 60% chance to win the election Ohio senator polls shouldn’t be trusted because ‘if you’re a higher education level Democrat, you’re much more willing to answer pollster questions’ The Independent UK · Oct 23, 2024
Here’s why you shouldn’t put your faith - or money - on election betting markets Betting on the US election is a new opportunity with no historical accuracy but that hasn’t stopped people from making wagers The Independent UK · Oct 23, 2024
Kalshi points to a Trump win. Its 28-year-old CEO says the betting market is more reliable than polling Meet the man trying to turn electoral betting into a $1 trillion market. Fortune · Oct 23, 2024
‘That’s a good thing for democracy’: Is gambling making politics fun? Is election betting good fun, civic engagement, or a threat to democracy itself? asks Josh Marcus The Independent UK · Oct 19, 2024
Donald Trump gains the upper hand in the prediction markets—an indicator more accurate than polls, expert claims More than $1.9 billion in crypto has been wagered on this presidential election on Polymarket. Here's why that matters Fortune · Oct 15, 2024
Last-minute Legal Ruling Allows Betting On US Election Millions of dollars have poured into bets on who will win the US election after a last-minute court ruling opened up gambling on the vote, upping the stakes on a too-close-to-call race that has already put voters on edge. International Business Times · Oct 12, 2024
Short Circuit: A Roundup of Recent Federal Court Decisions Stem cells, boondoggles, and watering flowers. Reason · Oct 4, 2024
At the Races: Please bet responsibly - Roll Call This week, there’s a certain irony to our newsletter being called “At the Races.” And no, it’s not because Pete Rose, Major League Baseball’s all-time hits leader who was banned from baseball for betting on the Cincinnati Reds, died Monday at age 83. Betting on the outcome of the congressional… Roll Call · Oct 3, 2024
The Independent UK · Oct 3, 2024 Betting on the election will soon be legal in US after massive court ruling Betters have already poured hundreds of millions of dollars into the political prediction market
Fortune · Sep 24, 2024 Polymarket reportedly seeks to raise an additional $50 million amid election fever The popular betting site may also launch a native token.
Top News · Sep 16, 2024 Federal Agency Warns Against Betting On U.S. Elections The Commodities and Futures Trading Commission opposes betting on U.S. elections to safeguard against market manipulation and protect election integrity.
International Business Times · Sep 13, 2024 US Judge Comes In Crosshairs With Regulators After Clearing Election Betting The CFTC was concerned about the propagation of activities not in the best interest of the public. It also drew concerns over unlawful gaming.
Latin Times · Sep 12, 2024 Path to Betting on US Elections Opened Just in Time For Harris Trump Showdown A federal judge ruled in favor of New York-based Kalshi, allowing the financial institution to offer bets on the outcomes of congressional races in some states
Top News · Sep 12, 2024 Federal Judge Rules In Favor Of Betting On U.S. Elections A federal judge's ruling may pave the way for legal gambling on U.S. elections, impacting the industry and regulators.
Fortune · Sep 9, 2024 Polymarket likely to remain offshore for now despite ruling in favor of U.S. election betting The predictions market Kalshi successfully sued the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which might appeal the ruling.
Al Jazeera · Jan 10, 2024 Some companies want to bet on US elections. Not everyone agrees. Critics are concerned platforms like Kalshi’s plans to offer bets on upcoming elections could sway the outcome.
Tribune News Service · Apr 21, 2023 The startup that lets hedge funds bet millions on real-life events With its bid to let Americans wager on elections put on ice by federal watchdogs, Kalshi Inc. is now shopping a plan to let hedge funds easily wager millions of dollars on more real-life events.
Reason · Feb 15, 2023 PredictIt Helps Forecast Election Results. Bureaucrats Are Trying To Kill It. Election betting markets are often more reliable than pundits. Did the site steal user funds? No. Did they lie to people? No. Harm anyone? No.
Tribune News Service · Aug 26, 2022 US elections may be the next big bet for Wall Street WASHINGTON — American political junkies may get to bet tens of thousands of dollars legally on the outcome of November’s U.S. congressional elections.