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EXPLAINED: 3 | Vintage Vibes

Nancy Guthrie Case: Backlash Erupts as $188,000 Wagered on Kidnap Arrest

As Polymarket users wager over $188,000 on an arrest in 84-year-old Nancy Guthrie's disappearance, critics warn prediction markets are profiting from a live case.

International Business Times UK

‘Tax nerd’ risks it all betting against Elon Musk’s promises, and the numbers vindicated him in the end

He knew what he was doing.

We Got This Covered

MrBeast’s editor suspended by prediction market after ‘near-perfect trading success’

The editor failed to cooperate with Kalshi’s investigation into the alleged insider trading, according to the company

The Independent UK

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Kalshi fines MrBeast employee $20,000 for insider trading, cofounder issues salty warning to others

Kalshi also fined a political candidate, and its cofounder issued an off-color warning to others thinking of insider trading.

Fortune

Everything can be a bet now – the rise and risks of prediction markets

Yes or no? It’s a simple question that now drives more than US$13 billion (£9.7 billion) a month on prediction markets – companies like Polymarket, PredictIt and Kalshi.

The Conversation

These phrases have the biggest betting odds to come up during tonight’s State of the Union

There’s a better-than-not chance he will mention aliens, AI and hockey, according to an online prediction market

The Independent UK

Sports-focused prediction market Novig raises $75 million to challenge Kalshi and Polymarket

Novig’s Series B values the startup at $500 million with backing from Pantera Capital, Multicoin, and Forerunner.

Fortune

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Trump administration backs Kalshi, Polymarket as states move to ban prediction markets

The Trump administration has backed Kalshi and Polymarket in a court fight over whether prediction markets constitute gambling

The Independent UK

Surging prediction markets face legal backlash in US: ‘Lines have been blurred’

At least 20 federal suits filed against companies like Kalshi and Polymarket as lawmakers call it ‘loophole’ for gambling

The Guardian - US

‘Another way to gamble money’: booming prediction markets prompt confusion and concern

Polymarket and Kalshi are less regulated than betting sites, but users can win or lose large sums on the platforms

The Guardian - US

First Thing: Congress members name six wealthy men ‘likely incriminated’ in Epstein files

Democrat Ro Khanna and Republican Thomas Massie reveal names they say DoJ redacted ‘for no apparent reason’. Plus, at least 10 dead, including suspect, after school shooting in Canada

The Guardian - UK

Bad Bunny's Super Bowl show: Why is Cardi B upsetting traders?

Cardi B joined singers Karol G and Young Miko, along with actors Jessica Alba and Pedro Pascal, during the halftime spectacle.

Euronews

How one small Super Bowl halftime cameo sparked betting chaos

IN FULL

The Independent UK

Cardi B’s Super Bowl cameo sparks formal complaint to US regulator

Cardi B was part of Bad Bunny’s Super Bowl halftime show on Sunday but a dispute has arisen as to whether the star was singing

The Independent UK

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The Independent UK

Cardi B's cameo in Bad Bunny's Super Bowl halftime show leads to dispute on prediction markets

Cardi B was part of Bad Bunny’s Super Bowl halftime show

Barchart

I Created My Own Prediction Market. What It’s Telling Me About the S&P 500 Now, and What Comes Next.

My proprietary ROAR score acts akin to Polymarket or Kalshi. It’s showing the odds of an up move in the S&P 500 are lower than the odds of a down move coming next.

Fortune

America's new love affair with gambling drives Kalshi to $871 million haul on Super Bowl Sunday

Days before the Super Bowl, Michael Lewis warned that sports gambling is "especially predatory toward young men."

Barchart

The Super Bowl Is Over, And Cathie Woods Is Ditching This Key Sports Betting Stock

Cathie Wood is dumping DKNG stock. Which online betting stock should investors pounce on?

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The Guardian - US

Prediction market Kalshi reached $1bn in trading volume during Super Bowl

Kalshi says ‘incredible weekend’ after $145m in bets on Bad Bunny’s opening song and guests during half-time show

GOBankingRates

Gamblers Placing Bets on $2K Tariff Dividend Check — What Are the Odds?

Prediction markets grow as Americans bet on politics, policy and economy. Meanwhile, odds of Trump’s proposed tariff dividend checks remain low across platforms

The Guardian - US

‘We all on Kalshi now’: Giannis Antetokounmpo and the quiet collapse of sporting trust

The Bucks star has become a shareholder in one of the world’s largest prediction markets. It only ushers the NBA further into the fetid swamp of sports betting

Sports Illustrated

NBA Fans Enraged After Giannis Antetokounmpo Takes Stake in Prediction Market Kalshi

The superstar remained in Milwaukee through the trade deadline.

Reason

The Private Sector Handles Hunger Better Than Mamdani Could

Polymarket’s pop-up grocery and Kalshi’s food money giveaways are the latest examples in New York’s decades-long history of food charity.

Fortune

Kalshi gave away $50 in free groceries for 3 hours in New York City. A line 4 blocks long full of students and people on food stamps formed

“They’re helping the community,” 28-year-old Kayla told Fortune. “So even if they’re also hurting the community, it kind of balances out.”

Fortune

Kairos, which is building a cross-platform tool for professional prediction markets traders, raises $2.5 million from a16z crypto

The startup’s platform will display bets from Kalshi and Polymarket.

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