SHOCKING: 4 - You Need To See This

Does Your Portfolio Have Room for a 79% 5-Year Track Record ETF?

Equity investors often overlook market seasonality. Unfortunately, seasonality is usually tied to future markets. However, there are instances where the seasonality of commodities can enhance an Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF). Two significant commodities are entering a seasonal buy that will impact an outperforming homebuilder ETF. The Federal Reserve (FED) appears ready…

Barchart · Sep 22, 2024

Holding Corn? Ready to Sell at Higher Prices?

A corn trader should look to buy when prices approach levels near the cost of production, as further downside risk may be limited. With corn futures already down about 18% year-to-date due to increased supply expectations, traders should consider that prices at or below production costs tend to create upward…

Barchart · Sep 17, 2024

Cheaper Gasoline Prices And Higher Crude Oil Prices: But Why?

Gasoline prices typically fall in the autumn and early winter as demand decreases and gasoline retailers switch to cheaper winter-blend fuels. Additionally, Americans take fewer trips during this period, further reducing demand. OPEC is expected to increase production in December, which could contribute to further price declines. These combined factors…

Barchart · Sep 14, 2024

Tumbling Corn Prices Have More Room to the Downside

Corn market participants have seen a steep fall after prices peaked in the Spring of 2022. Last year's planting season rally saw prices peak at $6.30 based on the new crop December 2023 futures. Many farmers/producers held onto their crops, anticipating higher prices. However, record production in the US and…

Barchart · Jul 16, 2024

CPI Report Indicating Lower Inflation: What to Buy and What to Sell?

After the recent CPI numbers were released, investor sentiment indicated an 85% likelihood of a rate cut at the Federal Reserve's September meeting, up from approximately 70% the prior trading session. This expectation shift has boosted the appeal of gold, as declining interest rates make gold more attractive. Following the…

Barchart · Jul 11, 2024

The Spring Doldrums in The Gold Market May Be Changing Soon

Over the past five years, data shows distinct patterns in the seasonality of gold prices. September has consistently been weak, with prices often closing lower than they opened, suggesting a decrease in market confidence or a shift in investment focus. In contrast, due to increased buying, July has shown a…

Barchart · Jul 3, 2024

The Corn Bulls Continue Their Chatter as Prices Keep Making New Lows

This time last year, new crop corn futures traded above $6.00 due to low supply caused by adverse weather and geopolitical issues, including the invasion of Ukraine. US farmers expected these trends to persist and held onto their crops, anticipating price increases. However, a record production year in the US…

Barchart · Jun 25, 2024

Stock Market: Will New Quarter Bring New Money?

As a new quarter approaches, investors are eager to see if fresh capital will flow into the stock market. With economic indicators showing mixed signals and the Federal Reserve pausing, market participants closely watch for signs of renewed investment. Will the promise of cooling inflation and a potential easing cycle…

Barchart · Jun 23, 2024

Seasonal Downtrend in Interest Rates Gains Momentum

Another Federal Reserve Board meeting has left the Fed Funds rate unchanged at 5.25 to 5.50%. Due to the stickiness of inflation being higher than their 2% target, they have reduced the chances of rate cuts to only once this year instead of the original 3-4 times. The 10-year Treasury…

Barchart · Jun 14, 2024

Corn Prices – Sub $3.25 Before $6.00 Per Bushel?

Based on the continuous futures contract, corn prices peaked at nearly $8.25 in May 2022. The rally was in response to the Russian attack on Ukraine, forcing international grain prices to rally. Since that time, the price has declined to $4.50. Corn has a bullish seasonal pattern after the planting…

Barchart · Jun 7, 2024