Kalshi points to a Trump win. Its 28-year-old CEO says the betting market is more reliable than polling Meet the man trying to turn electoral betting into a $1 trillion market. Fortune · Oct 23, 2024
LNP lead reduced as Queensland election approaches; US election remains very close The Queensland state election is this Saturday, with polls closing at 7pm AEDT. There are 93 single-member seats, with Queensland having no upper house. At the 2020 election, Labor won 52 of the 93 seats, the Liberal National Party (LNP) 34 and all others seven. Labor won the two-party statewide… The Conversation · Oct 23, 2024
Labor retains office at ACT election; US presidential election remains on a knife’s edge The Labor Party has won a seventh consecutive ACT election. The Conversation · Oct 19, 2024
Kamala Harris' Chances of Sweeping the Swing States With 3 Weeks Left to Election Day The vice president is ahead in four battleground states. However, all margins are extremely slim and Trump seems to be gaining ground Latin Times · Oct 17, 2024
Donald Trump's Chances of Sweeping the Swing States With 3 Weeks Left to Election Day The former president is ahead in three of the seven largest swing states. However, all margins are extremely slim and Trump seems to be gaining ground Latin Times · Oct 16, 2024
Boots on the Ground Plus: California tries to punish Musk, China's economic recovery, and more... Reason · Oct 14, 2024
Kamala Harris dips in key states, making US election contest a toss-up The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 49.3–46.5, a slight gain for Trump since last Monday, when Harris led by 49.3–46.2. The Conversation · Oct 13, 2024
2024 US presidential election: can we believe the polls? Nationwide polls are often of limited relevance, considering the unique structure of the US electoral system. To gain a better understanding of the upcoming presidential election, we need to focus on surveys conducted in the pivotal battlegrounds – the so-called swing states. After the missteps in previous elections, it’s hard… The Conversation · Oct 13, 2024
Can Latinos Stomach Harris? Plus: Possible deceptive editing from CBS, public transit discourse, Trump is not literally Hitler, and more... Reason · Oct 11, 2024
Trump pitches tax write-off for auto loans in Detroit speech - Roll Call Former President Trump proposed making interest on car loans tax-deductible Thursday in the latest of a series of tax cuts he has promised. Roll Call · Oct 10, 2024
Floridaposting Plus: Kamala's Florida possibility, Columbia's Hamas sympathizers, and more... Reason · Oct 10, 2024
Kamala Harris maintains narrow lead in key states in US presidential race The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 49.3–46.2, a slight gain for Trump since last Monday, when Harris led Trump by 49.3–46.0. The Conversation · Oct 7, 2024
RFK Jr’s endorsement of Trump moved the needle more than Taylor Swift backing Harris, top pollster says Veteran election forecaster Nate Silver described RFK Jr’s endorsement as the ‘most important’ of the race so far The Independent UK · Oct 3, 2024
The Guardian - US · Oct 2, 2024 ‘Show me the money’: how Eric Adams made it to the top – and fell back down The New York mayor was hailed as the Democrats’ future. But the ex-Republican cop has a history of scandals
Roll Call · Oct 1, 2024 Hurricane relief funds stable for now, officials say - Roll Call Fears of an immediate cash crunch at FEMA that could necessitate congressional action before the elections receded on Tuesday.
Roll Call · Sep 30, 2024 Biden floats recess action on Helene supplemental - Roll Call President Joe Biden said he expects to request an emergency spending package to finance the recovery efforts from Hurricane Helene.
The Conversation · Sep 30, 2024 Kamala Harris the slight favourite to win US election as she narrowly leads in key states The US presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 49.3–46.0 – a slight widening of the competition since last Monday, when Harris led Trump by 49.2–46.2.
Reason · Sep 27, 2024 More Vance Than Anyone Could Ever Need Plus: Long live Eric Adams, Electoral College bias, and more...
Reason · Sep 26, 2024 Joe Biden's Fact-Check-Free Interview on The View His polling was not "always in range" of beating Donald Trump.
The Conversation · Sep 23, 2024 Harris’ post-debate gains sustained in US polls, but Republicans likely to gain Senate control The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 49.2–46.2. In my previous US politics article last Wednesday, Harris led Trump by 48.9–46.0.
The Independent UK · Sep 21, 2024 Leading pollster warns Americans ‘should make contingency plans’ ahead of possible Trump win Outcome of 2024 White House race is still a ‘toss-up’, Nate Silver says
The Guardian - UK · Sep 21, 2024 ‘People should be making their contingency plans, like, right away’: America’s leading forecaster on the chances of a Trump win Nate Silver’s election model is once again being pored over by millions of anxious voters. The gambler turned statistician talks about the race for White House, the risk-takers redefining our culture, and the probability of God
The Conversation · Sep 17, 2024 Harris gains in post-debate US national polls, but will her gains be sustained? The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 48.9–46.0. In my previous US politics article on September 9, Harris led Trump by 48.7–46.2.
Sports Illustrated · Sep 17, 2024 NFL Power Rankings: Straddling the Line Between Seeing and Believing Two games aren’t enough to completely dispose of preseason expectations, but it’s enough to reexamine what we thought we knew.