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EXPLAINED: 21 | Vintage Vibes

Remember, you don't have to wait for election results to profit from presidential bets

Traders on presidential election prediction markets can close their positions by holding them until settlement or cashing them in early.

Fortune

Polymarket says one French whale is responsible for the lion's share of bets on a Trump win, to the tune of $28 million worth of crypto

Four accounts owned by one French national have poured $35 million into the prediction market, and they’re all betting on Donald Trump to win the 2024 election.

Fortune

Here’s why you shouldn’t put your faith - or money - on election betting markets

Betting on the US election is a new opportunity with no historical accuracy but that hasn’t stopped people from making wagers

The Independent UK

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Kalshi points to a Trump win. Its 28-year-old CEO says the betting market is more reliable than polling

Meet the man trying to turn electoral betting into a $1 trillion market.

Fortune

Investor Mark Cuban Says Polymarket Results Don't Really Indicate Anything – Is He Right?

Polymarket is a popular go-to for crypto users when they want to put their money on their views about the upcoming elections, but for Mark Cuban, the event contracts' numbers don't really indicate anything regarding the elections.

International Business Times

Donald Trump’s odds of winning the White House are now higher than they were before he debated Joe Biden

Polymarket gave Trump a 64.1 percent chance of winning while Harris had a 35.9 percent chance of winning

The Independent UK

Polymarket bets tilt toward a Trump victory—but how accurate is it?

Polymarket odds offer a useful gauge for predicting the upcoming election, but there are significant caveats.

Fortune

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Candidates Ignoring Crypto Risk Losing A Growing, Informed Voter Base: Ripple CEO

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse believes that U.S. voters care about crypto and want policies to drive innovation and he believes candidates who ignore the industry risk losing a key voter base.

International Business Times

Mark Cuban On Election: 'It's The Harris Campaign Versus Elon'

The Kamala Harris supporter says the election is coming down to voter turnout.

International Business Times

Arizona: The Rising Swing State Leaning Trump So Far On Polymarket

Polymarket bettors believe Trump has higher chances of taking Arizona in this year's elections, but Harris still has a chance, given the state's battleground status that may all boil down to two key demographics.

International Business Times

$30 Million In Polymarket 'Voodoo' Bets Favoring Trump May Be Work Of One Wealthy Backer

The wagers placed by four anonymous accounts shifted the odds from even to 60-40 for the Republican nominee

International Business Times

‘That’s a good thing for democracy’: Is gambling making politics fun?

Is election betting good fun, civic engagement, or a threat to democracy itself? asks Josh Marcus

The Independent UK

A handful of pro-Trump bettors have dumped more than $25 million into Polymarket, swaying election odds in his favor

Polymarket’s “Presidential Election Winner 2024” market showed bettors giving Trump a whopping 60.3% chance of winning.

Fortune

Four mystery accounts dished out $30 million of crypto on bets that Trump will win White House

‘There’s strong reason to believe they are the same entity,’ a crypto expert said

The Independent UK

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news in one place.

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International Business Times

Republican Sweep More Likely In 2024 US Elections: Polymarket Bettors

With less than three weeks left before the elections, Polymarket bettors are rushing to get their predictions in as they pushed the Republican Party's chances of a sweep in Congress after the general elections.

International Business Times

Trump Takes Nevada, Now Leads Harris In All Swing States: Polymarket US Elections Forecast

Donald Trump is now ahead of Kamala Harris in all six swing states being monitored by Polymarket, marking the first time the ex-president has taken the lead in all battleground states since his race with the vice president started.

International Business Times

Trump Sets Record High Lead Over Harris, Ties Nevada: Polymarket US Elections Forecast

Donald Trump has just logged his largest lead over Kamala Harris on Polymarket's event contract for the presidential elections – he also tied Nevada, the remaining swing state on the platform that Harris previously led.

Fortune

Donald Trump gains the upper hand in the prediction markets—an indicator more accurate than polls, expert claims

More than $1.9 billion in crypto has been wagered on this presidential election on Polymarket. Here's why that matters

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Fortune

Harris-Trump polls tighten, but PredictIt and Polymarket tell a different story

Prediction markets currently show Trump is more likely to win the 2024 presidential election.

International Business Times

Trump Takes Michigan, Wisconsin – Now Leads Harris In 5 Of 6 Polymarket Swing States

Former President Donald Trump has taken five of six swing states on Polymarket, leaving Vice President Kamala Harris with only Nevada and marking a significant milestone in the GOP frontrunner's standings, at least for Polymarket bettors.

The Independent UK

Harris sees betting odds shrink over Trump to razor-thin margin less than a month before the election

Harris’s lead over Trump has significantly narrowed to a single point as bets surge in favor of the Republican, according to a betting odds tracker

International Business Times

Satoshi Nakamoto Trends – Len Sassaman Leads $4.6M Polymarket Bet For HBO's Bitcoin Creator Reveal

Satoshi Nakamoto trended on X from Sunday night through early Monday as the crypto community discussed who HBO will reveal as the "real" creator of Bitcoin – Len Sassaman is the leading persona on a Polymarket event contract.

International Business Times

Trump Flips Harris, Retakes Pennsylvania With 10-Point Lead: Polymarket US Presidential Election Forecast

Trump has retaken the lead from Harris on Polymarket, and he has also snatched back Pennsylvania, but this time, with a double-digit lead – did the rally featuring Elon Musk help change the tides?

International Business Times

$KAMA, $TRUMP Lead PolitiFi Tokens Surge Amid Tight Polymarket Race

Many politics-themed memecoins have been surging overnight as the race between VP Kamala Harris and ex-President Donald Trump heat up on Polymarket, where crypto users gather to bet on who they think will be the 47th president of the United States.

International Business Times

Polymarket Bets On Likely Presidential Winner Pass $1B – $300M Collectively On Trump, Harris

Less than two months into the November elections, Polymarket bets on who will win the presidential race have passed $1 billion, and the numbers keep climbing.

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