MYSTERIOUS: 3 - What They Never Told You

Fake polling from mysterious company highlights danger of unvetted election surveys

A mysterious political firm admitted to fabricating multiple election polls this month

The Independent UK · Aug 18

'Big Short' Investor Steve Eisman Says AI Has an 'Achilles' Heel' — But It's Too Early to Short the Boom

“Big Short” investor Steve Eisman says the AI boom has an “Achilles’ heel”: its enormous dependence on OpenAI and Anthropic.

Benzinga · Aug 17

JPMorgan Debanked Polymarket Last Year. Now It's Keeping the Door Open for an IPO.

JPMorgan informed Polymarket in October that it would need to find another bank, and the prediction market platform has since moved its banking business to another lender, whose identity was not disclosed.

International Business Times · Aug 17

Prediction markets place election odds

Add betting markets to the list of things election officials are worried about this year

Salon · Aug 13

Bernie Sanders Slammed Google Co-Founder for Spending Millions to Stop California's Billionaire Tax Proposal—Crypto Punters Weigh Passage Odds

Cryptocurrency bookmakers slightly raised odds that California’s one-time billionaire wealth tax will pass in this year’s general election.

Benzinga · Aug 13

Nate Silver's New Election Model Makes Democrats Favorites to Flip Senate—Prediction Markets Aren't so Sure

Nate Silver‘s new midterm model launched Tuesday with a striking call: Democrats are 57.3% favorites to win the Senate, a chamber where they need a net gain of four seats against a 53-47 Republican majority.

Benzinga · Aug 12

New York Says Prediction Markets Are Predatory. It Is Investigating Them.

New York City announced that it is investigating prediction market betting websites, alleging that the companies use predatory marketing tactics to target young people.

International Business Times · Aug 12

The U.S. economy is a giant betting app

Senators oppose gambling on wildfire outcomes, but the financial sector rewards amoral wagers

Salon · Aug 12

Kalshi's CEO is racing to build a futures market for AI's most precious resource, which could be worth $100 trillion by 2030

Compute is the new oil—but building its futures market may be just as messy.

Fortune · Aug 12

Government Shutdown Odds Just Dropped: Bitcoin Traders Are Reading It Wrong

The House passed a stopgap funding bill 220-205 on July 21, shoving the government's spending deadline from September 30 to December 4 and conveniently clear of the midterms.

International Business Times · Aug 11