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FORGOTTEN HISTORY: 26 | History Defined

Has Reform really overtaken the Tories in the polls? And does that mean it could beat them on July 4?

A YouGov poll has put Reform UK ahead of the Conservatives for the first time. After a terrible few weeks of election campaigning, the Tories are on 18% while Reform has edged ahead to 19%. The same poll gave Labour 37% and the Liberal Democrats 14%.

The Conversation

Sunak confident Tories will not come third at general election after latest damaging poll

Speaking at the G7 summit in Italy the PM said there was plenty of time for a ‘comeback’ for the Tories

The Independent UK

Hard-right Reform UK Outstrips Tories For First Time In Poll: YouGov

The new poll, conducted on Wednesday and Thursday, shows Brexiteer Nigel Farage's Reform with 19 percent support going into national elections next month, compared to the Conservatives' 18 percent. Both are trailing far behind the center-left Labor party.

International Business Times

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General election live: Starmer tells Nick Robinson he is ‘not complacent’ about becoming PM – as it happened

BBC presenter will sit down with Labour leader after interview with PM aired earlier this week

The Guardian - UK

Sunak warns of Labour ‘blank cheque’ as Tories fall behind Farage in poll

PM says he is still fighting for every vote as Reform UK overtakes Tories in pre-election survey for first time

The Guardian - UK

Tory members flood online groups with sexists slurs over Penny Mordaunt and declare Farage debate winner

Exclusive: Penny Mordaunt put up a feisty performance in the ITV election debate but was criticised by some Tory members

The Independent UK

Penny Mordaunt brands Nigel Farage 'Labour enabler' in heated TV debate

Reform UK overtook the Tories in a major poll for the first time in the election campaign on Thursday

Evening Standard

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Curtice warns that YouGov poll putting Reform ahead proves ‘things are going backwards’ for Tories

Polling experts are at odds over the accuracy of Reform’s real vote in the election surveys so far

The Independent UK

Queensland government splashes the cash around – but it’s unlikely to save it in the October election

Many a government has spent generously to woo voters in election years. Some might even say recklessly.

The Conversation

Nigel Farage’s Reform party overtakes Tories for first time in new YouGov poll

Former Ukip leader told millions of viewers watching ITV election debate ‘we are now the opposition to Labour’

The Independent UK

Sunak is ‘the gift that keeps giving’ for Starmer, claim Tory members after Sky debate

Exclusive: Members of a Tory members-only Facebook group were scathing about Rishi Sunak’s Sky News debate performance

The Independent UK

Taxes, immigration and a damning poll: Five key takeaways as Starmer and Sunak grilled in Sky election debate

Rishi Sunak and Sir Keir Starmer were put through their paces in live TV interviews

The Independent UK

Sunak’s campaign takes another blow as Starmer claims confident victory in YouGov poll after Sky debate

Sunak’s faltering election campaign takes another hit as voters give Labour leader Starmer a clear win in TV debate

The Independent UK

This is the election of MRP polls – but what are they and why are they showing such different results?

I say, I say, I say, when is a poll not a poll? When it’s a multilevel regression with post-stratification (MRP) model!

The Conversation

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The National (Scotland)

Fresh poll puts Reform UK just one point behind Conservatives

REFORM UK are trailing the Conservatives by just a single point, according to a fresh opinion poll.

Evening Standard

General Election 2024 seats: Who will be my MP in...Clacton with Nigel Farage standing?

Evening Standard analysis of key seats for the July 4 General Election

The Guardian - UK

Labour victory would be ‘positive for UK markets’, says JP Morgan; euro slides after European election results – as it happened

Investors are rattled after far right parties make gains in European elections, while analysts at JP Morgan say a Labour win would support UK stocks

The Conversation

Labor slumps in Newspoll to a tie with Coalition, with Albanese also down

A national Newspoll, conducted June 3–7 from a sample of 1,232, had Labor and the Coalition tied at 50–50, a two-point gain for the Coalition since the post-budget Newspoll, three weeks ago. This is Labor’s worst position in Newspoll since last November, following the fallout from the defeat of the…

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The Guardian - UK

UK voters against national service and split on pledges not to raise tax, poll shows

Lib Dem policy on sewage was most popular and Labour plan to lower voting age the least liked in YouGov survey

The Independent UK

Mapped: Tactical voting poses threat to half of projected Tory election wins

Analysis by The Independent maps the constituencies where tactical voting could make a difference on the left and the right of the political spectrum

The National (Scotland)

Two-thirds of UK say Rishi Sunak ditching D-Day event 'unacceptable', poll finds

RISHI Sunak’s decision to leave D-Day commemorations early is seen as “unacceptable” by two-thirds of the UK public, including a majority of…

Evening Standard

Will Michael Gove do Strictly? All the rumoured next jobs for Tory MPs

They ran the country, but now they’re moving on. What’s next for Matt Hancock, Sajid Javid, Nadhim Zahawi, Dominic Raab, and the rest?

The Guardian - UK

‘Cannot be trusted’: traditional farming voter base turns away from Tories

Many disenchanted farmers are seeking new political homes. Can Labour and the Lib Dems capitalise on this opportunity?

The Conversation

Election 2024: why it’s still worth watching the multi-party debate

The fallout from the first general election debate has left viewers and voters with a bad taste in their mouths. The Conservatives’ disputed claim about Labour’s tax plans shows precisely the problems of adversarial debate formats: they favour soundbites, attack politics and rhetorical tactics that can be misleading.

Evening Standard

General Election 2024 London seats: Who is my MP in...Chingford and Woodford Green?

Evening Standard analysis of all the key seats in London for the July 4 General Election

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